نظرة عامة تحليلية على أزواج العملات الرئيسية في 2025.07.02

The EUR/USD currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 1.1783
• الإغلاق السابق: 1.1806
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.19 %

Investors assessed comments from European Central Bank policymakers after inflation in the Eurozone exceeded the ECB’s 2% target. Speaking at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, President Christine Lagarde welcomed June’s inflation data, which came in line with expectations, but warned of “two-sided risks” posed by growing economic fragmentation and escalating geopolitical tensions. Other ECB officials said interest rates are likely to remain unchanged at this month’s meeting. The single currency was also supported by the weakening of the US dollar, as markets continue to expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 1.1748, 1.1709, 1.1666, 1.1642, 1.1581, 1.1518
• مستويات المقاومة: 1.1913

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bullish. The situation has not changed significantly compared to yesterday. The euro continues to rally. The price has the potential to reach 1.1913, so any pullback should be used to join the uptrend. For buy deals, it is worth considering the EMA lines or the support level of 1.1748, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.1589 and consolidates below it, the downward trend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 1.3711
• الإغلاق السابق: 1.3746
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.25 %

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey noted that inflation is determined by administrative prices and acknowledged some softening in the economy and labor market. He indicated that interest rates are likely to fall, and economists expect a 25 basis point cut in August, which would bring the base rate down from 4.25% to 4%. Attention is also focused on a key vote on social security reform, as Prime Minister Keir Starmer has scaled back benefit cuts amid party opposition.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 1.3675, 1.3652, 1.3591, 1.3509, 1.3471, 1.3450, 1.3388
• مستويات المقاومة: 1.3748, 1.4000

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is bullish. A so-called SMT divergence has formed between the EUR and GBP (when one instrument updates its extreme, but the other does not), which usually leads to a corrective movement. However, given the five-day accumulation of GBP, a sharp decline is not expected. It is best to focus on buying in continuation of the upward trend. It is best to consider the EMA lines or the support level of 1.3675. There are no optimal entry points for selling at this time.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.3470 and consolidates below it, the downward trend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 144.00
• الإغلاق السابق: 143.41
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: -0.41 %

The Japanese yen weakened to 143.70 per dollar on Wednesday, retreating from more than three-week highs after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 35% tariffs on Japanese imports in an attempt to force Tokyo to make trade concessions. Trump called negotiations with Japan “very difficult,” once again criticizing the country’s unwillingness to accept cars and rice from the US. Meanwhile, domestic data released earlier this week showed an unexpected rise in business sentiment among large manufacturers in the second quarter, indicating the resilience of the economy.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 143.37, 142.64
• مستويات المقاومة: 143.93, 144.48, 144.96, 145.95, 146.62, 148.28

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bearish. On Tuesday, the price reached a liquidity pool below 143.37, after which buyers took the initiative. Against the backdrop of MACD divergence, a deeper correction is possible here. For sales, it is best to consider resistance levels of 143.93 or 144.48, but only with confirmation. For intraday buy deals, the support level of 143.33 can be considered.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 145.95 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 3303
• الإغلاق السابق: 3340
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +1.12 %

On Wednesday, gold remained above $3340 per ounce, gaining more than 1% compared to the previous session, helped by the continued weakening of the US dollar amid budget problems and trade uncertainty. The Senate passed Trump’s mega tax and spending bill and sent it back to the House of Representatives. The bill is expected to increase the national debt by $3.3 trillion. Trump also expressed dissatisfaction with trade negotiations between the US and Japan, threatening to impose 35% tariffs on Japanese imports. On the monetary policy front, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the Fed remains patient about cutting rates but does not rule out a cut this month, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects a rate cut by September.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 3327, 3301, 3274, 3246
• مستويات المقاومة: 3350, 3357, 3393, 3405, 3444, 3500

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is downward, but close to a reversal. The price has reached the priority change level, but sellers have responded with initiative. The price is now forming a flat accumulation before the level, which increases the likelihood of further growth. For buy deals, it is best to consider the support level of 3328 or 3301 in the event of a stronger decline. For sell deals, you can consider the resistance zone of 3350-3357, but only with confirmation.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks through and consolidates above the resistance level of 3350, the upward trend will likely resume.