نظرة عامة تحليلية على أزواج العملات الرئيسية في 2025.08.29

The EUR/USD currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 1.1631
• الإغلاق السابق: 1.1683
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.44 %

The euro rose on Thursday due to the dollar’s weakness. In addition, the optimistic summary of the ECB meeting on July 23–24 gave the euro fuel for growth after policymakers said that the Eurozone economy is still resilient to external shocks. Another bullish factor for the euro was Thursday’s report that new car registrations in the Eurozone rose at their fastest pace in 15 months in July. The euro’s gains were limited after the Eurozone Economic Confidence Indicator for August unexpectedly declined.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 1.1656, 1.1629, 1.1611, 1.1589, 1.1528, 1.1485, 1.1375
• مستويات المقاومة: 1.1687, 1.1737, 1.1770

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bullish. Yesterday, the euro reached the resistance level of 1.1687, where buyers began to close their previously opened positions, which led to a corrective movement to 1.1656. At this level, it is important to assess the price action. If buyers react here, intraday purchases up to 1.1687 can be considered again. If the price breaks through the level of 1.1656 and consolidates below it, a sell-off to 1.1629 should be expected.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks the support level of 1.1590 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 1.3491
• الإغلاق السابق: 1.3511
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.15 %

In July 2025, car production in the UK grew by 5.6% year-on-year to 69,127 units, marking the second consecutive monthly increase, although overall output was held back by weak commercial vehicle production. Production for both the domestic and export markets improved. The EU remains the main destination for UK car exports with a 45.6% share, followed by the US (18.1%), China (7.7%), Turkey (7.2%) and Japan (3.4%). While shipments to the EU and China fell by 7.9% and 7.1% respectively, exports to Turkey and Japan rose sharply by 35.4% and 14.9%. Shipments to the US rose by 6.8% to almost 10,000 units, ending a three-month losing streak.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 1.3490, 1.3445, 1.3396, 1.3313, 1.3214, 1.3137
• مستويات المقاومة: 1.3530, 1.3586

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is bullish. Yesterday, the price reached the resistance level of 1.3530, where previously opened purchases began to be fixed. Currently, the price is retesting the support level of 1.3490, where it is important to assess the price action. A breakdown and consolidation below this level will open up opportunities for selling to 1.3445. If buyers react to 1.3490, intraday buy deals can be considered to 1.3530.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.3396 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 147.36
• الإغلاق السابق: 146.92
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: -0.30 %

The Japanese yen traded around 147 per dollar on Friday, remaining in a sideways trend for almost four weeks as investors digested a series of economic reports. July data showed that industrial production and retail sales fell short of expectations, while core inflation in Tokyo remained above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. At the same time, the unemployment rate fell to 2.3% from 2.5% in June, indicating continued strength in the labor market. On the trade front, Japan’s chief negotiator canceled a planned trip to Washington this week as Tokyo seeks to resolve issues in its trade agreement with the US before finalizing a deal.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 146.74, 146.35
• مستويات المقاومة: 147.10, 147.94, 148.03, 148.52, 149.18, 150.34

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bearish. The Japanese yen has settled below 147.10 and is now trapped between 146.74 and 147.10. It is very important for sellers not to let the price settle above 147.10 again, otherwise it will lead to a sharp rise in price. If the price settles below 146.74, it will open the way to the support level of 146.35.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 148.53 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 3396
• الإغلاق السابق: 3422
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.76 %

On Thursday, gold prices rose above $3415 per ounce, reaching a five-week high, as the weakening dollar and demand for safe metals contributed to the price increase. The dollar’s 0.4% decline made bullion more affordable for foreign buyers, boosting demand. Prices have been rising for more than a week, fueled by concerns that political pressure on the Federal Reserve could lead to faster and deeper rate cuts. Markets are now pricing in an 87% chance of a quarter-point rate cut in September, with attention turning to Friday’s PCE inflation report for further guidance.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 3402, 3383, 3374, 3362, 3350, 3327, 3311, 3281
• مستويات المقاومة: 3433

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. Gold continues its rally. The price has consolidated above 3402, and now it is very important for buyers not to let the price consolidate below this level again. Otherwise, given the MACD divergence, there could be a sharp sell-off to 3383. But if buyers can defend the 3402 level, the price could continue to rally to 3433.

السيناريو البديل:

if the price breaks the support level of 3351 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.