نظرة عامة تحليلية على أزواج العملات الرئيسية في 2026.04.13

The EUR/USD currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 1.3433
• الإغلاق السابق: 1.3459
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.19%

The British pound continues to hold above 1.34 dollars. The currency draws strength from a fragile mix of hopes for de‑escalation in Europe and persistent inflationary pressure caused by the Persian Gulf crisis. The pound is supported by hawkish rate expectations, as inflationary pressure from the energy crisis forces investors to price in at least one Bank of England rate hike before the end of 2026. For now, the pound is supported solely by confidence in the BoE’s determination to fight inflation – but this foundation may prove too fragile in a prolonged energy shock.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
• مستويات المقاومة: 1.3478, 1.3508, 1.3556

Like the euro, the pound opened with a downside gap. The currency continues to trade within a wide, volatile corridor between 1.3380 and 1.3478. Traders should focus on 1.3380: if buyers show initiative after a liquidity test, long positions may be considered with a target of closing the gap. A break and consolidation below 1.3380 may trigger a sell‑off toward 1.3300.

السيناريو البديل:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3380
• Res: 1.3478
• Note: Long positions are appropriate from 1.3380 with confirmation. A break below 1.3380 may trigger a decline toward 1.3300.

The GBP/USD currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 1.3433
• الإغلاق السابق: 1.3459
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.19%

The British pound continues to hold above 1.34 dollars. The currency draws strength from a fragile mix of hopes for de‑escalation in Europe and persistent inflationary pressure caused by the Persian Gulf crisis. The pound is supported by hawkish rate expectations, as inflationary pressure from the energy crisis forces investors to price in at least one Bank of England rate hike before the end of 2026. For now, the pound is supported solely by confidence in the BoE’s determination to fight inflation – but this foundation may prove too fragile in a prolonged energy shock.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
• مستويات المقاومة: 1.3478, 1.3508, 1.3556

Like the euro, the pound opened with a downside gap. The currency continues to trade within a wide, volatile corridor between 1.3380 and 1.3478. Traders should focus on 1.3380: if buyers show initiative after a liquidity test, long positions may be considered with a target of closing the gap. A break and consolidation below 1.3380 may trigger a sell‑off toward 1.3300.

السيناريو البديل:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3380
• Res: 1.3478
• Note: Long positions are appropriate from 1.3380 with confirmation. A break below 1.3380 may trigger a decline toward 1.3300.

The USD/JPY currency pair

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 158.93
• الإغلاق السابق: 158.29
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: +0.22%

At the start of the week, the Japanese yen continued to weaken, breaking above 159.5 per dollar. This three‑day decline was triggered by another surge in oil prices following the collapse of peace talks between the US and Iran in Islamabad. The energy market is heating up amid Donald Trump’s statements about a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and preparations for new strikes on Iranian territory, raising fears of a global crisis. Under such conditions, the Bank of Japan faces increasing difficulty in deciding whether to raise interest rates. A split has emerged within the central bank: some officials insist on fighting accelerating inflation, while others fear economic stagnation. The outcome of this debate will be revealed after the April 27-28 meeting.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 159.30, 158.66, 158.37
• مستويات المقاومة: 159.97, 160.46

The yen opened with an upside gap, consolidating above resistance at 159.30. Technically, the price is likely to test the liquidity pool above 159.97, where seller reaction is highly probable – offering good opportunities for short positions targeting the morning gap. For long positions, focus on support at 159.30.

السيناريو البديل:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 159.30
• Res: 159.97
• Note: For short entries, focus on resistance at 159.97 with confirmation. For long entries, focus on support at 159.30.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

المؤشرات الفنية لأزواج العملات:

• الافتتاح السابق: 4778
• الإغلاق السابق: 4749
• تغيُّر بنسبة% خلال اليوم الماضي: -0.61%

On Monday, gold prices corrected to 4700 dollars per ounce, losing the gains accumulated last week. The decline was driven by rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz: after unsuccessful weekend talks in Pakistan, the US announced a blockade of ships heading to or from Iranian ports. The diplomatic failure stemmed from mutual accusations – Washington demanded the dismantling of Iran’s nuclear program, while Tehran insisted on military reparations, control over the maritime route, and unfreezing of assets. The threat of a de facto shutdown of a critical logistics hub triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, which in turn boosted inflation expectations. Against this backdrop, investors began pricing in tighter central‑bank policy.

توصيات التداول

• مستويات الدعم: 4700, 4608
• مستويات المقاومة: 4801, 4900, 4963

Gold opened with a downside gap, but buyers quickly pushed the price back into the 4700-4800 range. On one hand, a false breakout below 4700 has formed; on the other hand, there is no confirmation yet, as the price has not returned above Friday’s close. Under such conditions, there is a high probability of an intraday decline toward 4700 or lower. Long positions should be considered only after the price consolidates above Friday’s close.

السيناريو البديل:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4700
• Res: 4800
• Note: Long positions are appropriate only after the price consolidates above Friday’s close. Until then, intraday focus remains on short positions from the EMA lines.