মূল মুদ্রার জোড়াগুলির বিশ্লেষণাত্মক পর্যালোচনা 2026.02.13

The EUR/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.1877
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.1870
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.05%

The euro traded slightly below $1.19 in anticipation of the US inflation data release, which could provide a short-term impulse to the market, although the direct impact on the Eurozone is likely to be limited. The pair faced pressure from strong US employment data, which reduced expectations for an early Fed pivot and supported the dollar. Earlier, the euro found support from signals of the ECB’s calm reaction to the currency’s appreciation, as well as news of the upcoming resignation of Bank of France Governor Villeroy de Galhau. Christine Lagarde noted that the inflation outlook remains “in good shape,” emphasizing that decisions should not be made based on fragmented data.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.1833, 1.1777, 1.1754, 1.1726
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.1894, 1.1955, 1.2050, 1.3000

The situation remains virtually unchanged compared to yesterday. Following the euro’s drop to 1.1833 post-NFP, the currency entered a flat phase within the 1.1833-1.1894 range. It is vital for buyers to hold 1.1830: an impulsive consolidation below this level could open the path for a decline toward 1.1777. Selling is advisable near 1.1894, but only upon confirmation of seller initiative.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1833
• Res: 1.1894
• Note: Consider buy deals from the 1.1833 support level. For sales, evaluate the price reaction at 1.1894.

The GBP/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.3622
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.3620
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.01 %

The British pound hovered around $1.36 following weak UK economic data. Q4 GDP grew by 0.1%, below the 0.2% expectations, while annual growth slowed to 1.0% – the weakest performance since Q2 2024. Additional pressure came from an unexpected contraction in industrial production and construction. The weak statistics reinforced expectations of further Bank of England policy easing. Although the rate was maintained at 3.75%, the regulator adopted a more dovish stance, indicating that inflation could return to the 2% target as early as April.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.36054, 1.3547, 1.3514
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.3675, 1.3697, 1.3732, 1.3787, 1.3871, 1.4000

The British pound continues to trade near 1.3605, with buyer reaction weakening with each approach. This increases the risk of an impulsive breakout: consolidating below this level could trigger a decline toward 1.3547. If buyers manage to hold 1.3614 and a reversal is confirmed, intraday buys can be considered with a target near 1.3675.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3605
• Res: 1.3675
• Note: Intraday, it is appropriate to look for buys from the 1.3605 support level, but only with confirmation. An impulsive break of 1.3605 will lead to a sell-off down to 1.3547.

 

The USD/JPY currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 153.21
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 152.72
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.32 %

On Friday, the Japanese yen dipped below 153 per dollar; however, the currency is on track to post its strongest weekly gain since November 2024. The yen was supported by expectations that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s fiscal program will stimulate economic growth without worsening public finances. The convincing general election victory reduced political uncertainty and provided the government with a mandate for expanded budget spending and targeted tax relief. Further support came from verbal interventions by currency authorities: top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura stated that the government remains on high alert to respond to excessive exchange rate fluctuations.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 152.17, 152.17, 151.54
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 153.83, 154.58, 155.19

The yen is forming a flat accumulation ahead of the 152.17 support level. There is a high probability the price will test liquidity below 152.17; therefore, the intraday priority remains on selling. The optimal zone for shorting is the 153.83 resistance. Buys can be considered upon the formation of a false breakout of 152.17 and the emergence of bullish initiative following the test.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 152.17
• Res: 153.83
• Note: Looking for sell deals from the 153.83 level, but with confirmation. For buys, expect bullish initiative from 152.17.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 5092
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 4922
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -3.45 %

On Thursday, gold plummeted by more than 3%, falling below $4,950 per ounce, continuing a sharp correction amid a massive reallocation of assets. Investors liquidated positions in precious metals to cover margin calls and losses in other market segments. The drop occurred even as US 10-year Treasury yields fell to more than two-month lows, indicating liquidity stress and profit-taking after a prolonged rally rather than a reassessment of rate expectations. Despite the current decline, markets still price in two Fed rate cuts this year and expect inflation to slow. Gold continues to find medium-term support from steady central bank demand and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 4897, 4815, 4745, 4605, 4400
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 4983, 5039, 5086, 5145, 5230

Gold fell sharply yesterday, leaving the accumulation zone behind. As long as the price remains below 5040, the intraday priority remains on selling. Resistance levels at 4983 and 5040 can be considered for short positions, but only with confirmation from sellers. There are currently no buying scenarios, as no optimal entry points have been formed.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4897
• Res: 4983
• Note: Consider selling from the 4983 or 5039 resistance levels, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for buying.