মূল মুদ্রার জোড়াগুলির বিশ্লেষণাত্মক পর্যালোচনা 2026.05.22

The EUR/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.1622
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.1617
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.04%

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair showed high volatility, ending the session lower after reaching a six‑week low. Pressure on the European currency came from weak Eurozone business‑activity data: the manufacturing PMI fell to 51.4, and the composite PMI dropped to 47.5, marking the sharpest contraction in the past 2.5 years. However, the euro managed to recover a significant portion of its losses thanks to an unexpected rise in the Consumer Confidence Index to –19.0 points and a notable decline in oil prices, which is beneficial for the energy‑dependent regional economy. Despite pessimistic predictions from the European Commission, projecting GDP growth slowing to 0.9% and inflation accelerating to 3.0% this year, market expectations for ECB action remain hawkish. Amid persistent inflationary pressure, swaps indicate an 87% probability of a 25‑basis‑point rate hike at the upcoming June 11 meeting.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.1583, 1.1547
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.1629, 1.1656, 1.1659, 1.1681, 1.1696, 1.1722

The euro failed to consolidate above the 1.1630 resistance level and retested liquidity below the weekly low of 1.1583. The price is now forming a sideways accumulation between these two levels. Ideally, long positions require a breakout above 1.1630. Until that happens, the price is likely to continue ranging within the corridor.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1583
• Res: 1.1630
• Note: Long positions may be considered after a breakout above 1.1630 or from 1.1583, but with confirmation. No optimal short‑entry points at the moment.

The GBP/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.3436
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.3429
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.05%

Preliminary May PMI data showed the first contraction in the UK economy in a year amid political instability and supply‑chain disruptions. The current economic picture is mixed: weak business‑activity indicators, slowing April inflation, and a cooling labor market contrast with the expected inflation shock from energy prices. Under these conditions, the Bank of England faces a difficult dilemma, while markets continue to price in at least two rate hikes by the end of the year.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.3400, 1.3381, 1.3300, 1.3252
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.3453, 1.3514, 1.3553, 1.3596

The British pound looks more resilient than the euro and more resistant to US dollar strength. The pair is currently trading within the 1.3400-1.3453 range. The intraday bias favors buyers, so long positions may be considered from 1.3400 or after consolidation above 1.3453. No optimal short‑entry points at the moment.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3400
• Res: 1.3453
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.3400 or after consolidation above 1.3453. No optimal short‑entry points now.

The USD/JPY currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 158.88
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 158.95
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: +0.04%

On Friday, the Japanese yen weakened toward 159 per dollar, ending the week in negative territory for the second consecutive time. The main factor pressuring the currency was fresh macroeconomic data: Japan’s core inflation unexpectedly slowed to 1.4% in April, down from 1.8% in March. This is the lowest reading in four years and the third consecutive month below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. Such cooling of price growth significantly weakened expectations of imminent monetary tightening by the BOJ. The slowdown is largely due to government fuel subsidies, which softened the impact of high oil prices. The yen continues to hover dangerously close to the 160 per dollar threshold – the level that prompted large‑scale currency interventions by Japanese authorities in April and May.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 158.65, 158.28, 158.00, 157.33, 156.98
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 159.14, 159.42

The situation in the pair has barely changed. The price still cannot consolidate above 159.14. Sellers are defending the level, while buyers prevent the price from falling below 158.65, creating an accumulation range. For long positions, wait for a breakout above 159.14, which would open the path toward 159.86. However, small interventions from 159.05 are possible, potentially pushing the price back to 158.65 or lower.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Uptrend
• Sup: 158.65
• Res: 159.14
• Note: Long positions are appropriate after consolidation above 159.14 or from 158.65 in case of a correction. No optimal short‑entry points now.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 4547
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 4542
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.11%

On Thursday, gold and silver showed a confident recovery, ending the session in positive territory after an initial morning decline. The main trigger for the reversal was a sharp pullback in oil prices, which prompted broad short‑covering in precious metals. Easing energy‑related pressure reduces inflation expectations, fueling optimism about the possibility of a softer monetary‑policy stance from global central banks – historically supportive for gold and silver.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 4509, 4431, 4350
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 4581, 4616, 4648, 4707

The situation in gold remains almost unchanged from yesterday. Buyers must prevent the price from consolidating below 4509 – otherwise, gold selling will resume. For long positions, EMA lines or the 4509 support level may be considered.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4509
• Res: 4581
• Note: Intraday long positions are possible from EMA lines or from 4509. Profit target – 4581. No optimal short‑entry points now.