মূল মুদ্রার জোড়াগুলির বিশ্লেষণাত্মক পর্যালোচনা 2026.06.18

The EUR/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.1610
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.1510
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.94%

On Wednesday, the US dollar Index exceeded 100.3 points, updating its highest level since March amid the market’s reaction to the results of the Federal Reserve meeting. Although at the first meeting, chaired by Kevin Warsh, the regulator kept interest rates unchanged as expected, the updated projections turned out to be more hawkish than the consensus forecast. About half of the FOMC members supported at least one rate hike before the end of the year, which forced traders to fully price in a 25‑basis‑point increase in the coming months. Against such a pronounced hawkish stance from US authorities, the dollar demonstrated confident upward movement across the entire FX market, showing the strongest gains against the euro and the British pound.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.1514, 1.1490, 1.1450
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.1559, 1.1592, 1.1617, 1.1640, 1.1651

The euro fell sharply yesterday amid dollar strength following the FOMC meeting. Typically, after such moves, the price begins forming a flat accumulation. Given the MACD divergence and the strong deviation from the moving averages, intraday buy trades can be considered from 1.1514 or 1.1490, but with confirmation. For sell trades, evaluate the price reaction at 1.1538 or at the EMA lines.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1514
• Res: 1.1559
• Note: Buy trades are appropriate from 1.1514 or 1.1490, but with confirmation. For sell trades, evaluate the price reaction at 1.1538 or the EMA lines.

The GBP/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.3428
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.3293
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: +0.11%

Consumer inflation in the UK for May delivered a surprise, remaining at 2.8% despite analysts’ expectations of an acceleration to 3%. The core CPI also came in slightly below estimates, at 2.6% versus the expected 2.7%, while services inflation accelerated to 3.7%, fully matching expert estimates. Overall, the data indicated that underlying price pressures in the country were weaker than initially feared, giving strong arguments to supporters of a wait‑and‑see approach within the Bank of England. Against this backdrop, the consensus view suggests that the Bank of England will keep the key interest rate at 3.75% at today’s meeting.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.3267, 1.3179
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.3327, 1.3390, 1.3413, 1.3443

The British pound, like the euro, fell sharply against the US dollar. The price dropped to the support level of 1.3327, where selling pressure was absorbed. After that, the price corrected slightly, but it remains strongly deviated from the moving averages. The most likely scenario now is the formation of a flat accumulation range between 1.3267 and 1.3327. Under such market conditions, the most optimal option is intraday buying from 1.3267, and selling from 1.3327 or from the EMA lines, but with confirmation.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3267
• Res: 1.3327
• Note: Buy trades should be considered from 1.3267, but with confirmation. For sell trades, evaluate the price reaction at 1.3327 and at the EMA lines, also with confirmation.

 

The USD/JPY currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 160.39
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 160.65
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: +0.16%

On Thursday, the Japanese yen weakened to around 160.6 per dollar, updating its lowest level since July 2024 and fully erasing the effect of Tokyo’s large‑scale FX intervention conducted on April 30. The decline occurred despite the actions of the Bank of Japan, which earlier this week raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to 1% to combat inflation caused by rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict. Pressure on the yen intensified due to the strengthening US dollar, as the Fed kept interest rates unchanged but hinted at readiness to raise them before year‑end. The persistent deep interest‑rate gap between the US and Japan continues to keep the yen under selling pressure.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 160.53, 160.20, 160.05, 159.60, 159.45, 159.14, 158.65
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 161.29

The Japanese yen fell sharply against the dollar, updating a yearly low. The price impulsively consolidated above 160.53, which potentially opens the path toward 161 and higher. Sellers’ reaction is currently weak, so intraday buying from the support level of 160.53 or from the EMA lines is the most optimal approach, but with confirmation. A sharp, impulsive return below 160.53 will invalidate the buy scenario.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 160.53
• Res: 161.29
• Note: For buy trades, evaluate the price reaction at 160.53 or at the EMA lines, but with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for sell trades.

 

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 4334
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 4256
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -1.83%

On Wednesday, gold prices retreated to 4,275 dollars per ounce, ending a four‑day rally in response to the results of the Federal Reserve meeting. The regulator kept monetary policy unchanged as expected, but half of FOMC members supported a possible rate hike before year‑end, citing risks of entrenched core inflation due to the Middle East conflict. The strong condition of the US labor market gave the Fed room to focus solely on price stability. Against this backdrop, yields on short‑term US Treasuries jumped sharply, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non‑yielding precious metals and triggering a local sell‑off.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 4220, 4177, 4130, 4031, 3877
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 4355, 4378, 4429, 4467

Gold fell sharply yesterday following the FOMC meeting. Technically, a zone of “trapped” buyers has formed above 4355. At the same time, the price closed Monday’s gap and partially recovered after the decline. Currently, the price is trading near the EMA lines. The most likely scenario now is the formation of a flat accumulation. For sell trades, the resistance level of 4355 can be considered, but with confirmation. For buy trades, the support level of 4220 can be reconsidered.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4220
• Res: 4355
• Note: Sell trades are considered from 4355, but with confirmation. For buy trades, the support level of 4220 can be reconsidered.