মূল মুদ্রার জোড়াগুলির বিশ্লেষণাত্মক পর্যালোচনা 2026.06.24

The EUR/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.1424
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.1381
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.38%

Due to another decline in quotations, the single European currency fell below 1.14 USD, updating a yearly low (the lowest level since June 2025). The main driver of EUR/USD weakness was the powerful rally of the US dollar, triggered by a series of hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, which strengthened market expectations that the Fed will proceed with another rate hike before the end of the year. Pressure on the euro intensified after Christine Lagarde’s speech. Despite the ECB raising rates by 25 basis points this month, the head of the regulator explicitly stated that there is no need for emergency or more aggressive tightening in response to the Middle East crisis. An additional negative factor for the euro was weak macroeconomic data that reinforced recession fears: preliminary PMI readings showed that Germany’s private sector is contracting at the fastest pace since 2024.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.1279
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.1383, 1.1452, 1.1415, 1.1488, 1.1523, 1.1559

The euro continues to weaken against the US dollar. The price consolidated below the daily support level of 1.1383 – buyer reaction is absent, increasing the likelihood of further decline toward 1.1279. The MACD divergence indicates fading downside momentum, but without buyer initiative, any correction may be very weak. Under such market conditions, sell trades are considered from 1.1383 or from the EMA lines, but with confirmation. For buy trades, a sharp bullish impulse with consolidation above 1.1383 is required.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Downtrend
• Sup: 1.1279
• Res: 1.1383
• Note: Sell trades from 1.1383 or EMA lines with confirmation. No optimal buy entries at the moment.

The GBP/USD currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 1.3245
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 1.3203
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -0.32 %

The British pound moderately corrected against the broadly stronger US dollar but managed to stay above the key support of $1.32. Market optimism was driven by a sharp reduction in uncertainty surrounding the Labour Party’s leadership transition: after Keir Starmer’s official resignation announcement, Andy Burnham became the frontrunner for prime minister. The risk of a prolonged internal power struggle has nearly vanished, as former health secretary Wes Streeting publicly withdrew his ambitions and endorsed Burnham, paving the way for a swift leadership transition without political confrontation. However, this political positive is overshadowed by troubling economic signals. Preliminary UK PMI data for June showed worsening conditions: the composite Index fell to a 14‑month low of 49.4, significantly below market expectations (50.6).

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 1.3184, 1.3126, 1.3093
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 1.3251, 1.3327, 1.3390

The British pound looks stronger than the euro. An SMT divergence has formed between the instruments: one asset updates an extreme (the euro), while the other does not (the pound). Such divergences often precede reversals, though not guaranteed. At the moment, GBP/USD is trading at the support level of 1.3184, and it is crucial for buyers to defend this level. An impulsive break below 1.3184 will trigger a sharp sell‑off toward 1.3126. For buy trades, consolidation above 1.3205 is required.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Downtrend
• Sup: 1.3184
• Res: 1.3251
• Note: Consider sell trades after an impulsive break of 1.3184. For buy trades, wait for consolidation above 1.3205.

The USD/JPY currency pair

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 161.52
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 161.57
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: +0.03%

On Wednesday, the Japanese yen showed elevated volatility around 161.5 per dollar, remaining dangerously close to multi‑decade lows last seen in 1986. Traders continue to ignore regular verbal interventions from Tokyo. Skepticism among FX speculators regarding real action from Japan’s Ministry of Finance is rapidly growing. Large players understand that the massive intervention wave conducted nearly two months ago (late April) cost Tokyo record liquidity and significantly depleted its net FX reserves. With the Fed maintaining a hawkish stance and US Treasury yields remaining high, any isolated attempts by Japan to artificially strengthen the yen appear ineffective due to the persistent deep interest‑rate differential.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 161.50, 161.19, 160.53, 160.20, 160.05, 159.60, 159.45
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 161.66, 162.00

The yen is forming a flat accumulation near the EMA lines. Volatility has decreased noticeably. The intraday resistance level of 161.66 is preventing further upside. On the other hand, the EMA lines support the trend, acting as dynamic support. Under such market conditions, buy trades are appropriate after consolidation above 161.66. Sell trades may be considered from this level, but only with short targets, as there are no fundamental reasons for yen strengthening at the moment.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Uptrend
• Sup: 161.19
• Res: 161.66
• Note: Buy trades are appropriate after consolidation above 161.66. FX intervention from Japanese authorities in the 161.85-162.00 zone cannot be ruled out.

 

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

মুদ্রা জোড়ার প্রযুক্তিগত সূচক:

• পূর্ববর্তী খোলা: 4192
• পূর্ববর্তী বন্ধ: 4110
• সর্বশেষ দিন ধরে % chg.: -1.99%

On Tuesday, gold fell below $4,100 per ounce, losing all of the previous session’s modest gains. Strong pressure came from a sharp shift in monetary expectations toward a hawkish scenario: major investment institutions, including Deutsche Bank and Bank of America Global Research, officially revised their predictions to include a Fed rate hike in September. Investors are massively reducing gold positions ahead of the May PCE inflation report, fearing that a hot release will give Fed Chair Kevin Warsh full justification for further tightening.

ট্রেডিং সুপারিশসমূহ

• সহায়তার মাত্রা: 4067, 4031, 3877
• প্রতিরোধের মাত্রা: 4138, 4171, 4232, 4273, 4323, 4378, 4467

Gold fell to the support level of 4067, where buyers showed initiative. This increases the likelihood of a rise toward the resistance level of 4138. Under such market conditions, intraday long trades may be considered, but with a stop below 4067, as the weekly bias remains bearish. For sell trades, evaluate the price reaction at 4138.

বিকল্প দৃশ্যকল্প:

• Trend: Downtrend
• Sup: 4067
• Res: 4138
• Note: Intraday long trades from 4067 are appropriate with a tight stop. For sell trades, evaluate the reaction at 4138.