主要貨幣對的分析概要 2026.04.09

The EUR/USD currency pair

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 1.1594
• 前一收盤價: 1.1662
• 過去一天的變化%: +0.59%

The euro posted an impressive rally, reaching 1.17 dollars – its highest level since late February. This sharp strengthening was driven by the diplomatic pause in the Persian Gulf. For the eurozone economy, which is highly sensitive to the cost of imported energy, the agreement brought immediate relief. The steep drop in oil and European natural‑gas prices reduced the likelihood of an uncontrolled inflation scenario. As a result, investors quickly revised their expectations for the European Central Bank: before the ceasefire, markets were pricing in three rate hikes by the end of 2026, but consensus has now shifted toward only two rounds of tightening.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 1.1666, 1.1639, 1.1605
• 阻力價位: 1.1724, 1.1747, 1.1766

Technically, the situation has not changed much compared to yesterday. The euro reached resistance at 1.1722, after which the first profit‑taking triggered a correction. The overall bias remains bullish. Long positions may be considered from support at 1.1639 or from the EMA lines. There are no optimal short setups at the moment.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1666
• Res: 1.1724
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.1639 or the EMA lines. No optimal short setups at this time.

The GBP/USD currency pair

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 1.3285
• 前一收盤價: 1.3392
• 過去一天的變化%: +0.80%

The British pound surged, approaching the psychological level of 1.34 dollars – its strongest performance since late February. This sharp strengthening of the cable occurred amid global de‑escalation. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz became a key signal for investors, who quickly exited safe‑haven assets and returned to the British currency. Despite the current optimism, the pound’s rise toward 1.34 remains fragile, as the underlying causes of the Middle East conflict remain unresolved. Markets understand that this is only a two‑week window of opportunity, and if negotiations fail to produce a long‑term agreement, rate expectations may spike again. For now, the pound benefits from cheaper energy and a weaker U.S. dollar.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 1.3378, 1.3321, 1.3252
• 阻力價位: 1.3457, 1.3508, 1.3556

The British pound reached resistance at 1.3457, where the first profit‑taking occurred. The price is now correcting and moving toward liquidity below 1.3378. The overall bias remains bullish, so the focus is on long positions. The most optimal entry levels are support at 1.3378 or the EMA lines. There are no optimal short setups at the moment.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3378
• Res: 1.3457
• Note: Long positions are appropriate from 1.3378 or the EMA lines. No optimal short setups at this time.

The USD/JPY currency pair

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 159.62
• 前一收盤價: 158.54
• 過去一天的變化%: -0.68%

On Thursday, the Japanese yen resumed its decline, falling to 159 per dollar and losing much of the gains achieved the previous day. The main reason for the reversal was the extremely fragile situation surrounding the 14‑day ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran. Markets that celebrated de‑escalation on Wednesday were confronted with a harsh reality on Thursday: Iranian officials accused Israel of violating the agreement due to continued strikes on Lebanon, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains nearly paralyzed despite expectations. Financial pressure on the Bank of Japan is intensifying – former BOJ officials openly state that Kazuo Ueda may have to raise rates at the April 28 meeting to prevent uncontrolled growth in imported inflation.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 158.74, 158.37
• 阻力價位: 159.32, 159.97

After testing liquidity below 158.02, the yen sharply corrected. Initially, further downside was expected from resistance at 158.74, but the price consolidated above it, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction toward 159.32. As long as the price remains above 158.74, intraday long positions may be considered. A move below 158.74 would return control to sellers.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 158.74
• Res: 159.32
• Note: For short positions, wait for a renewed break below 158.74. While the price is above this level, intraday long positions toward 159.32 are appropriate.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 4730
• 前一收盤價: 4720
• 過去一天的變化%: -0.21%

Volatility in the gold market on Wednesday clearly reflected the battle between geopolitical relief and long‑term inflation concerns. After a sharp spike above 4800 dollars, the price corrected but held above 4700 per ounce. On one hand, gold received support from a weaker dollar and falling bond yields triggered by news of the two‑week ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. On the other hand, the return of investors to risk assets and equities prompted profit‑taking, which limited the metal’s overall gains. Meanwhile, the FOMC minutes added further uncertainty: Fed officials are seriously concerned that military conflict could trigger persistent inflation requiring tighter monetary policy.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 4700, 4608
• 阻力價位: 4801, 4900, 4963

After testing liquidity above 4801, gold corrected toward the psychological level of 4700. It is crucial for buyers to defend this level to maintain the bullish bias. Long positions become relevant once the price consolidates above the EMA lines – in that scenario, the path toward 4801 opens. A break and consolidation below 4700 may shift the intraday bias and trigger a sell‑off toward 4608.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4700
• Res: 4800
• Note: Long positions become relevant once the price consolidates above the EMA lines. A break below 4700 may trigger a sell‑off toward 4608.