主要貨幣對的分析概要 2026.05.26

The EUR/USD currency pair

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 1.1638
• 前一收盤價: 1.1643
• 過去一天的變化%: +0.04%

The euro strengthened to 1.163 dollars, showing a confident recovery after falling to a six‑week low. The main driver behind euro purchases was large‑scale geopolitical optimism triggered by long‑awaited progress in the diplomatic standoff between Washington and Tehran. The easing of tensions in the Middle East immediately affected commodity markets. For the Eurozone economy, exhausted by the energy crisis, de‑escalation is critically important, although current macroeconomic indicators remain alarming. PMI business activity indices published last week showed that in May the economic downturn in the bloc accelerated to its fastest pace since late 2023, and S&P Global warned of risks of inflation accelerating to 4% due to cost pass‑through by businesses.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 1.1630, 1.1583, 1.1547
• 阻力價位: 1.1657, 1.1659, 1.1681, 1.1696, 1.1722

The situation has barely changed compared to yesterday. On Monday, the euro opened with a gap above 1.1630, and now buyers will defend the area below this level for further growth. It is also worth paying attention to volume spikes followed by impulsive upward movements inside the accumulation zone 1.1583-1.1630. As a rule, this may indicate an accumulation phase followed by a breakout to start a trend. Under such market conditions, intraday trades should focus on buying from EMA lines or from the area below 1.1630 with a target of 1.1657 and higher. For selling, evaluate the price reaction at 1.1657.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1630
• Res: 1.1657
• Note: Long positions are appropriate from EMA lines or from below 1.1630 with a target of 1.1657 and above. For selling, evaluate the price reaction at 1.1657.

The GBP/USD currency pair

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 1.3451
• 前一收盤價: 1.3505
• 過去一天的變化%: +0.40%

The British pound strengthened to 1.35 USD, updating its highest level since May 13. The rise of the British currency was supported by the weakening of the dollar amid geopolitical de‑escalation, as well as a sharp revision of investor expectations regarding the Bank of England’s next steps. The prospect of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz resuming soon immediately pushed Brent oil prices back below 100 dollars per barrel, easing global inflation concerns. By the end of the week, market participants will shift their focus to scheduled speeches by Bank of England officials, from whom clear signals on future monetary policy in the new economic environment are expected. An additional factor of uncertainty remains domestic politics: investors are closely watching the position of Prime Minister Keir Starmer, which has noticeably weakened after the Labour Party’s painful defeat in the May regional elections.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 1.3475, 1.3453, 1.3400, 1.3381, 1.3300, 1.3252
• 阻力價位: 1.3491, 1.3550, 1.3596

After Monday’s gap, buyers managed to form additional support around 1.3475. Slightly below lies another support level at 1.3453. Together, the 1.3453-1.3475 zone creates a good basis for searching for long positions. But it is important to see the price reaction at one of the levels. For selling, evaluate the price reaction at 1.3491.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3475
• Res: 1.3491
• Note: Long positions are appropriate in the 1.3453–1.3475 zone, but with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for selling at the moment.

The USD/JPY currency pair

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 158.74
• 前一收盤價: 158.91
• 過去一天的變化%: +0.11%

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino confirmed the regulator’s hawkish stance on further interest rate hikes. However, the exact timing and pace of tightening remain fluid, as the Bank of Japan is forced to assess large‑scale macroeconomic risks. Himino named the prolonged conflict in the Middle East and the resulting energy crisis as the main source of uncertainty, as it directly affects the cost of imported fuel and overall price growth in Japan.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 158.65, 158.28, 158.00, 157.33, 156.98
• 阻力價位: 159.14, 159.42

The situation in the currency pair has barely changed. The yen continues to fluctuate within the sideways corridor 158.65-159.14. Sellers are trying hard to defend 159.14, while buyers are not allowing the price to fall below 158.65. Monday opened with a downward gap, which may potentially lead to a decline toward 158.65, where buying opportunities may be considered — but only with confirmation from buyer reaction.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Uptrend
• Sup: 158.65
• Res: 159.14
• Note: Buying is appropriate from 158.65, but with confirmation. Selling is appropriate intraday from 159.14, also with confirmation.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

貨幣對的技術指標:

• 前一開盤價: 4567
• 前一收盤價: 4569
• 過去一天的變化%: +0.04%

On Monday, global precious metals prices showed confident growth amid a weakening US dollar and improving market sentiment. During London trading, spot gold rose by 1.2%. Silver showed even stronger dynamics, while platinum and palladium also ended the session in the green. Investor optimism was driven by Donald Trump’s statements that negotiators have nearly completed the framework of a peace agreement with Iran. However, on Tuesday, uncertainty returned to the market after US strikes in southern Iran, which reminded investors of the persistent risks of negotiation failure.

交易建議

• 支撐價位: 4506, 4431, 4350
• 阻力價位: 4581, 4616, 4648, 4707

Gold continues to trade within a wide, volatile range between 4506 and 4581. The price reached the upper boundary at 4581, after which a bearish reaction followed. Under such market conditions, intraday buying from the 4506 level is preferable, but with confirmation. For selling, EMA lines may be considered, but only as intraday levels targeting 4506.

選擇場景:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4506
• Res: 4581
• Note: Intraday long positions are possible from the 4506 support level, but with confirmation. For selling, EMA lines may be considered only as intraday levels targeting 4506.