The EUR/USD currency pair
Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:
- Prev. Abrir: 1.1547
- Prev. Cerrar: 1.1405
- % cambio. en el último día: -1.24 %
The euro continued to fall to $1.14, its lowest level since mid-June, under pressure from a strengthening dollar as traders reacted to the latest FOMC decision. The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged, as expected, but Chairman Powell noted that no decisions had been made regarding September, and his hawkish tone dampened expectations of a rate cut at the next meeting. Meanwhile, fresh data showed that the Eurozone economy grew by a modest 0.1% in the second quarter, slowing sharply from 0.6% in the first quarter but still exceeding expectations of no growth. However, the data revealed asymmetry: Germany and Italy’s GDP contracted by 0.1%, while France and Spain recorded growth. In addition, investors remain concerned that the recently announced trade agreement between the US and the EU will disproportionately benefit the US.
Recomendaciones de trading
- Niveles de soporte: 1.1375, 1.1313
- Niveles de resistencia: 1.1445, 1.1503, 1.1550, 1.1612, 1.1710, 1.1770
The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. The euro continues to decline without any signs of buyers. Any pullback should be used to open sell trades. The best levels are 1.1445 (with confirmation) or 1.1503. There are currently no optimal entry points for buying, despite the MACD divergence.
Escenario alternativo:if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.1770 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.
Noticias para: 2025.07.31
- German Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 10:55 (GMT+3);
- Eurozone Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+3);
- German Inflation Rate (m/m) at 15:00 (GMT+3);
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
- US Core PCE Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
- US Chicago PMI (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).
The GBP/USD currency pair
Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:
- Prev. Abrir: 1.3346
- Prev. Cerrar: 1.3236
- % cambio. en el último día: -0.83 %
The GBP/USD pair fell for the fifth consecutive session on Wednesday as the US dollar caught broad market demand after the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged and stuck to its stubborn wait-and-see stance, dampening hopes for a September rate cut. The British pound, on the other hand, may struggle to attract buyers amid growing confidence that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting on August 7. This could contribute to a further decline in the GBP/USD pair.
Recomendaciones de trading
- Niveles de soporte: 1.3252, 1.3214
- Niveles de resistencia: 1.3313, 1.3368, 1.3402, 1.3452, 1.3470
In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is bearish. The British pound has found support below 1.3252. There has been some profit-taking on previously opened short positions, but it is too early to talk about a reversal. A corrective rise is possible to 1.3313, where one can look for sell trades, provided there is an appropriate reaction. Cautious purchases can be considered intraday up to 1.3313, provided that the price does not fall below 1.3252 again.
Escenario alternativo:if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.3470 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.
Noticias para: 2025.07.31
The USD/JPY currency pair
Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:
- Prev. Abrir: 148.45
- Prev. Cerrar: 149.50
- % cambio. en el último día: +0.70 %
The Japanese yen rose to 149 per dollar on Thursday, recovering from the previous session’s losses after the Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous decision, as expected. This is the fourth consecutive meeting at which the Bank of Japan has paused after raising rates by 25 basis points to 0.5% in January. The Central Bank maintained a cautious stance, saying that core inflation is expected to slow temporarily due to weaker growth and then start rising again. Although the inflation outlook remains balanced, economic risks are skewed to the downside. Policymakers also noted growing uncertainty about the development of global trade and its potential impact on the Japanese economy.
Recomendaciones de trading
- Niveles de soporte: 148.54, 148.17, 147.94, 147.50, 146.83
- Niveles de resistencia: 149.18, 150.46
From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bullish. The price formed a locked balance above 149.18, after which it closed impulsively below it. This is a strong bearish signal, as liquidity within the balance is now distributed below the support levels. Intraday, you can look for sales to 148.54 or even 148.17. At these levels, you can consider buying, but only with confirmation.
Escenario alternativo:if the price breaks through the support level of 146.83 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.
Noticias para: 2025.07.31
- Japan Industrial Production (m/m) at 02:50 (GMT+3);
- Japan Retail Sales (m/m) at 02:50 (GMT+3);
- Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement at 06:00 (GMT+3);
- Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision at 06:00 (GMT+3);
- Japan BoJ Outlook Report at 06:00 (GMT+3).
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:
- Prev. Abrir: 3327
- Prev. Cerrar: 3275
- % cambio. en el último día: -1.58 %
On Thursday, the price of gold rose above $3,290 per ounce, recovering from a more than 1% drop to a four-week low in the previous session, as markets assessed the latest trade moves and the outlook for Fed policy. President Trump announced tariff measures, including the elimination of exemptions for low-value imports and a review of duties on copper and Brazilian goods. He also confirmed the introduction of a 15% tariff on South Korean imports and a 25% tariff on Indian goods, while noting ongoing negotiations with India. Meanwhile, the Fed, as expected, left interest rates unchanged. Fed Chairman Powell confirmed that it is too early to consider lowering rates and did not offer any recommendations on timing. Markets reacted to this by pricing in a 35 bps rate cut by the end of the year.
Recomendaciones de trading
- Niveles de soporte: 3274
- Niveles de resistencia: 3302, 3331, 3351, 3377, 3401, 3438
From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bearish. Gold continued to decline yesterday and found support at 3274. The price is now heading towards the resistance level of 3303, where it is important to assess price action. The reaction of sellers at 3303 will open up opportunities for selling in continuation of the trend. A breakout of 3303 with impulsive candles, on the contrary, will open the way for the price to 3331, as the «locked» liquidity below 3303 will be distributed to a new liquidity pocket.
Escenario alternativo:if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.3331 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.
Noticias para: 2025.07.31
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
- US Core PCE Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
- US Chicago PMI (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).
Este artículo refleja una opinión personal y no debe interpretarse como un consejo de inversión, y/o una oferta, y/o una solicitud persistente para realizar transacciones financieras, y/o una garantía, y/o una previsión de eventos futuros.