La visión analítica de los principales pares de divisas el 2025.10.28

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.1631
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.1645
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.12 %

The euro exchange rate remains virtually unchanged compared to last week’s level. Investors are awaiting meetings of key central banks this week, including the ECB. Analysts expect the ECB to keep rates unchanged, while the US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday amid signs of a slowing labor market and easing inflationary pressures. The interest rate differential is a strengthening factor for the euro in the medium term.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.1642, 1.1621, 1.1600, 1.1543
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.1667, 1.1686, 1.1728

The hourly trend for EUR/USD is bullish. The price has reached the resistance level of 1.1667, where some position fixing is observed. There is a high probability of a correction to 1.1642, but there is no reason to talk about a full reversal. Intraday, it is worth looking for buys from 1.1642 or from the EMA lines, but with confirmation.

Escenario alternativo:

if the price breaks below the 1.1543 support and consolidates, a bearish trend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.3317
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.3335
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.14 %

At the beginning of the week, the pound sterling (GBP) is showing relative strength against major currencies thanks to optimistic retail sales data and positive preliminary PMI indicators published on Friday. Growth in consumer spending and activity in the service sector may somewhat ease pressure on the Bank of England (BoE) regarding monetary policy. However, the report also showed that job losses continue and business confidence remains low by historical standards, which maintains risks to economic stability.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.3281
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.3364, 1.3398, 1.3453, 1.3486

Technically, the trend remains bullish. The pound has reached the resistance level of 1.3364, where there is a reaction from sellers in the form of profit-taking. No significant movements are expected before the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Therefore, it is highly likely that the British pound will correct to the EMA lines or to the support level of 1.3328 and will continue to trade in a wide range.

Escenario alternativo:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.3253 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 153.07
• Prev. Cerrar: 152.76
• % cambio. en el último día: -0.20 %

On Tuesday, the Japanese yen strengthened after US President Donald Trump promised to strengthen relations between the US and Japan and praised Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s plans to increase defense spending during their meeting in Tokyo. The two leaders also signed agreements on trade and critical minerals, formalizing parts of a broader deal. The yen received additional support from comments by Japan’s finance minister, who said the government was closely monitoring the currency’s weakening, noting that a weak yen helps exports and supports the economy.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 151.45, 150.15, 149.75
• Niveles de resistencia: 152.25, 152.57, 153.28, 154.80

The medium-term trend is bullish. The yen strengthened sharply on Tuesday amid fundamental events. The price consolidated below the nearest support lines, and the movement was rapid and impulsive. It is highly likely that the decline will continue to the level of 151.45. Intraday, look for sales from 152.25 or 152.57, but with confirmation. Currently, there are no optimal entry points for buy deals.

Escenario alternativo:

if the price breaks below 149.75 and consolidates lower, a bearish trend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 4081
• Prev. Cerrar: 3981
• % cambio. en el último día: -2.50%

On Tuesday, gold prices fell to a more than two-week low amid optimism about the US-China trade deal. Officials from both countries said that during talks held over the weekend in Malaysia, a framework agreement was reached on tariffs and a number of key issues, paving the way for Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping to finalize the deal during their meeting in South Korea later this week.V

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 3946
• Niveles de resistencia: 4013, 4052, 4162, 4184, 4270, 4379, 4400

Technically, the medium-term trend is bullish, but close to changing. The price has reached the priority change level of 3946, below which there is a large pool of liquidity. Testing this liquidity could either trigger a sharp sell-off or, conversely, trigger a sharp price rebound. Therefore, it is important to assess price action at this level. However, there is no need to rush into buying until the price forms a false breakout or a locked balance below the support level. There is also no optimal entry point for selling, as the price is right at the support level.

Escenario alternativo:

if the price breaks below support at 3946 and consolidates, a bearish trend will likely resume.