La visión analítica de los principales pares de divisas el 2026.01.19

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.1604
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.1599
• % cambio. en el último día: -0.04%

On Friday, EUR/USD retreated toward a six-week low, pressured by late-week US dollar strength. Early in the session, the single currency found support following comments from ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane, who expressed satisfaction with current monetary policy parameters. Lane noted that the central bank’s baseline scenario anticipates inflation nearing target levels over a multi-year horizon, economic growth close to potential, and low, declining unemployment. He suggested there is no immediate need to discuss interest rate adjustments, reinforcing expectations for a sustained policy pause.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.1590, 1.1528, 1.1503
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.1634, 1.1697, 1.1718, 1.1753, 1.1765

The euro reached the 1.1590 support level on Friday and opened slightly below the market open on Monday, followed by a sharp bullish initiative. Price is currently trading near the 1.1634 resistance, but the intraday bias favors buyers. A breakout above 1.1634 would clear a path toward 1.1659. Caution is advised regarding short positions at this time.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1590
• Res: 1.1634
• Note: Consider long positions following a breakout of the 1.1634 resistance level.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.3375
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.3378
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.02 %

Markets will closely monitor key macroeconomic releases from the UK this week. Tuesday centers on the labor market report, which is expected to show improvement, while Wednesday’s inflation data is projected to show a moderate acceleration in price growth. Collectively, these indicators are viewed as bullish for sterling, as a resilient labor market and higher inflation could strengthen the case for the Bank of England maintaining elevated interest rates for a longer duration.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.3347, 1.3354, 1.3292
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.3418, 1.3455, 1.3486, 1.3503, 1.3526, 1.3586

The British pound opened with a downward price gap but closed it within two hours, firming up above the 1.3381 level. For a reversal formation to materialize, buyers must hold this level. The intraday bias remains with the bulls. Long entries can be considered near the EMA lines or at 1.3381 with confirmation. For short positions, monitor price reaction at the 1.3418 resistance.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3347
• Res: 1.3393
• Note: Long trades may be considered from the EMA lines or 1.3381 with confirmation. For sales, evaluate price reaction at the 1.3418 resistance level.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 158.61
• Prev. Cerrar: 158.08
• % cambio. en el último día: -0.33 %

On Monday, the Japanese yen strengthened past 158 per dollar, hitting a weekly high as safe-haven demand rose due to renewed geopolitical and trade risks. Market caution followed President Donald Trump’s comments on potential new tariffs against eight European nations to exert leverage over Greenland, sparking sharp criticism from European leaders. Domestically, investors are focused on the upcoming Bank of Japan policy meeting. While the regulator is expected to hold rates steady, markets continue to price in the possibility of further tightening closer to June.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 157.51, 156.95, 156.56, 156.26
• Niveles de resistencia: 157.89, 158.19, 158.88

The yen tested the 157.51 support level, where buyers reacted. Today’s focus will be on the EMA lines and the 157.89 and 158.18 resistance levels. If sellers show renewed activity here, intraday short trades can be considered. A sustained move above 158.18 would open the way to 158.88 and higher.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 158.18
• Res: 158.89
• Note: Look for short entries from 157.89 or 158.18 with intraday confirmation. Long positions require a breakout and consolidation above 158.18.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 4617
• Prev. Cerrar: 4595
• % cambio. en el último día: -0.47 %

On Monday, gold prices surged past $4,660 per ounce, marking a new all-time high amid a spike in safe-haven demand. The rally was triggered by President Donald Trump’s announcement of new trade tariffs against European countries, heightening global political and economic uncertainty. Trump stated that effective February 1, 10% tariffs would apply to eight European nations for resisting plans regarding Greenland, with rates potentially rising to 25% by June, absent a «full and absolute purchase» agreement. European leaders are reportedly preparing emergency talks for countermeasures, including potential tariffs on US goods totaling up to €93 billion.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 4632, 4607, 4550, 4517, 4483, 4438, 4400
• Niveles de resistencia: 4690, 4700

Gold opened with an upward gap on Monday, reaching record highs. Sellers became active at the 4690 mark, which now serves as a resistance level. Given the MACD divergence and significant price deviation from the EMA lines, the best approach for long entries is to wait for support at 4632 or 4607. There are currently no optimal entry points for short positions.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4632
• Res: 4690
• Note: Consider long positions from the 4632 or 4607 support levels. No optimal entry points for sales at present.