La visión analítica de los principales pares de divisas el 2026.05.19

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.1617
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.1654
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.32%

On Monday, the euro recovered to around 1.165 dollars, retracing part of its losses after falling to a one‑month low of 1.161 earlier in the session. The single currency was supported by improved market sentiment amid reports of possible diplomatic progress in negotiations between the US and Iran, including discussions of a temporary easing of sanctions on Iranian oil exports and conditions for a long‑term settlement. However, fundamental pressure on the euro persists. Last week, the currency fell more than 1% against the US dollar due to worsening economic prospects in the Eurozone and expectations of a more hawkish European Central Bank. Economic growth in the region slowed to 0.1% in Q1 2026, the lowest level since mid‑2025, amid energy‑supply disruptions linked to geopolitical tensions. Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3%, remaining well above the ECB’s 2% target, strengthening the case for further monetary tightening.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.1629, 1.1605, 1.1560
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.1656, 1.1659, 1.1681, 1.1696, 1.1722

The euro corrected to the resistance level of 1.1656, where sellers again showed initiative. Today, traders’ attention is on the support level of 1.1629: if buyers are active here, intraday long positions toward 1.1656 may be considered again. A breakout of 1.1629 will trigger a decline toward 1.1605 and lower.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Downtrend
• Sup: 1.1629
• Res: 1.1656
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.1629, but with confirmation. A breakout of 1.1629 will trigger a decline toward 1.1605 and lower.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.3321
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.3423
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.83%

The British pound partially recovered, rising to around 1.34 dollars after a sharp decline last week, when the currency lost more than 2% – its strongest weekly drop since November 2024. The rebound is linked to improved global sentiment amid reports of possible progress in US-Iran negotiations, including discussions of a temporary easing of sanctions on Iranian oil exports and conditions for partial settlement. Despite the recovery, pressure on the British currency persists. Political uncertainty in the UK remains a key factor: investors are assessing the likelihood that Andy Burnham may enter the Labour Party leadership race and challenge the prime minister. Markets continue to price in nearly three Bank of England rate hikes this year, reflecting persistent inflation risks and the regulator’s hawkish rhetoric amid high energy prices.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.3347, 1.3300, 1.3252
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.3453, 1.3514, 1.3553, 1.3596

The British pound corrected more deeply. The price has almost reached 1.3453 – a level previously broken on an impulse and now acting as resistance. Intraday, short positions may be considered from 1.3453 or after the price consolidates below the EMA. The profit target is the support at 1.3347, where long positions may be considered if buyers react.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Downtrend
• Sup: 1.3347
• Res: 1.3453
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.3347, but with confirmation. Short positions are appropriate from 1.3453 or after consolidation below the EMA.

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

Recomendaciones de trading

Escenario alternativo:

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 158.64
• Prev. Cerrar: 158.81
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.10%

On Tuesday, the Japanese yen weakened to around 159 per dollar, continuing its decline for the seventh consecutive session despite strong macroeconomic data from Japan. The country’s economy grew by 0.5% in Q1 compared with the previous quarter, exceeding market expectations and showing the fastest growth since Q3 2024. These data strengthened expectations that the Bank of Japan may continue gradually raising interest rates, especially amid persistent inflationary pressure. Additional uncertainty is created by the conflict in the Middle East, whose economic impact on Japan has not yet fully appeared in the statistics. Against this backdrop, investors are closely watching the USD/JPY pair as it approaches the 160 level – a threshold that previously triggered currency interventions by Japanese authorities.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 158.28, 158.00, 157.33, 156.98
• Niveles de resistencia: 159.01, 159.42

The yen is stuck at the resistance level of 159.01 – the price has tested this level three times in the past two days, and each rebound is weaker than the previous one. Given the price compression toward the level, the probability of a breakout and a rise to 159.42 is high. Traders should focus on an actual breakout and enter long positions only after the price consolidates above 159.01. There are no optimal entry points for short positions at the moment.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Uptrend
• Sup: 158.28
• Res: 159.01
• Note: Long positions are appropriate after consolidation above 159.01. There are no optimal short‑entry points now.