La visión analítica de los principales pares de divisas el 2026.06.05

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.1598
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.1610
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.10%

The euro exchange rate rose to 1.164 US dollars amid cautious optimism regarding de-escalation in the Middle East and firm monetary expectations ahead of the ECB’s June meeting. An additional driver for the single currency was the May Eurostat report, which recorded an acceleration of inflation in the Eurozone to 3.2% – the highest level in two and a half years. The acceleration of core inflation to 2.5% and the surge in service-sector prices to 3.5% confirmed that price pressure has moved far beyond the energy sector, strengthening investors’ confidence that at the June 11 meeting the ECB will raise the interest rate by 25 basis points, with the prospect of two or three more hikes by the end of 2026.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.1610, 1.1586, 1.1547
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.1630, 1.1651, 1.1659, 1.1681, 1.1696, 1.1722

Level 1.1610 is again in the spotlight today, as it will be the decisive factor for intraday movement. As long as the price remains above this level, there is a high probability of growth toward 1.1630 or even 1.1651. On the other hand, an impulsive consolidation below 1.1610 will highly likely trigger a decline toward 1.1585.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1610
• Res: 1.1630
• Note: Sell trades are appropriate from 1.1630 or 1.1651, but with confirmation. A repeated consolidation below 1.1610 will trigger a new wave of euro decline toward 1.1585 and lower.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 1.3416
• Prev. Cerrar: 1.3423
• % cambio. en el último día: +0.05%

The British pound sterling showed confident growth, rising to 1.35 US dollars. The key driver of the strengthening of the British currency was a sharp surge of optimism in global markets, triggered by news of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon. As for monetary factors, the pound’s position remains strong due to investors’ firm expectations regarding Bank of England policy. Money markets continue to price in at least two interest rate hikes by the end of 2026.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 1.3412, 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
• Niveles de resistencia: 1.3430, 1.3459, 1.3483, 1.3507, 1.3550, 1.3596

The British pound is trading near EMA levels around the intermediate level of 1.3430. An impulsive consolidation above this level will trigger a growth wave toward 1.3459. If sellers show initiative from 1.3430, intraday short positions toward 1.3412 may be considered. Buyers must defend 1.3412; otherwise, the initiative will shift to sellers and the price may fall to 1.3391 and lower.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3412
• Res: 1.3430
• Note: Sell trades are best considered from 1.3430 or from EMA lines, but with confirmation. An impulsive breakout of 1.3437 will trigger growth toward 1.3459 and higher.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 160.02
• Prev. Cerrar: 160.02
• % cambio. en el último día: 0.0%

The Japanese yen stabilized around 160 yen per dollar. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi officially stated that the government plans to strengthen global confidence in the national currency not through empty interventions, but through long-term improvement of fundamental economic indicators. As priority steps, she highlighted comprehensive stimulation of domestic investment, accelerated strengthening of supply chains, and increasing the overall economic growth potential of the country. In parallel, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama once again issued a harsh warning to speculators about the authorities’ full readiness to intervene instantly in the foreign exchange market in case of destructive fluctuations.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 159.83, 159.67, 159.45, 159.14, 158.65, 158.28, 158.00, 157.33
• Niveles de resistencia: 160.09, 160.50

The Japanese yen is trading near the psychological level of 160. Intraday, the price is squeezed between demand and supply zones, so it is important to wait for the price to break out of this narrow range. A consolidation above 160.10 will trigger a growth wave toward 160.50. A consolidation below 159.83 will trigger a corrective wave toward 159.67 or even 159.45.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Uptrend
• Sup: 159.83
• Res: 160.09
• Note: Sell trades are appropriate after consolidation below 159.83. Buy trades are appropriate after consolidation above 160.09.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indicadores técnicos del par de divisas:

• Prev. Abrir: 4437
• Prev. Cerrar: 4475
• % cambio. en el último día: -0.75%

Gold prices fell below 4450 dollars per ounce, showing readiness to end the current week with a decline of more than 2%. The main factor putting pressure on the precious metal was the persistent uncertainty surrounding the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East, which forces investors to price in elevated inflation risks and firm expectations regarding interest rates of global central banks. The situation on the diplomatic track remains extremely contradictory: US President Donald Trump hastily stated that peace negotiations with Tehran are entering the final stage, emphasizing the White House’s unwillingness to be drawn into a full-scale regional war. However, these statements were met with harsh skepticism from Iran itself, whose foreign minister directly pointed to the absence of any meaningful progress in the dialogue with Washington.

Recomendaciones de trading

• Niveles de soporte: 4439, 4403, 4350, 4304
• Niveles de resistencia: 4484, 4508, 4538, 4581, 4616, 4648, 4707

Gold has again declined to 4440 after a confident rise yesterday to 4508. Buyers’ reaction at 4440 is weak this time, increasing the likelihood of further decline toward 4403. Long positions may be appropriate if buyers show initiative intraday with growth toward EMA lines.

Escenario alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4439
• Res: 4484
• Note: Sell trades are considered after consolidation below 4440 with a target toward 4403. There are no optimal entry points for buying at the moment.