بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2025.05.02

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1326
• قبلی بستن: 1.1290
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.32 %

The euro fell slightly to $1.13 in thin trading on the first day of May, after rising more than 5% against the US dollar in April. The dollar found support amid growing optimism about a possible easing of trade tensions after President Donald Trump signaled potential agreements with India, Japan, and South Korea, as well as his confidence in the possibility of a deal with China.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1309, 1.1246, 1.1157, 1.1088, 1.0960
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1440, 1.1492, 1.1572

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend has changed to a downtrend. The euro has consolidated below the level of priority change. Currently, the price is seeking to test the liquidity pool below 1.1246. Selling can be sought from the resistance level of 1.1340, provided sellers react. It is worth returning to buying if the price consolidates above 1.1340.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.1340 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3329
• قبلی بستن: 1.3278
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.38 %

British manufacturing continued to struggle in April as the final PMI data indicated continued contraction. Export demand fell sharply, the biggest drop in almost five years, amid rising cost pressures from US tariffs and higher domestic taxes on employers.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3274, 1.3246, 1.3121
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3345, 1.3434

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD on the hourly time frame is bullish. The British pound corrected to the support level of 1.3274, after which the buyers took the initiative. Currently, the price is trying to test the resistance level at 1.3345, which can be considered for selling if sellers react. Buying should be considered if the price breaks the 1.3345.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.3202 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 142.96
• قبلی بستن: 145.39
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +1.70 %

The Japanese yen traded near 146 per dollar on Friday, losing about 1.6% in the previous session, influenced by weakening demand for the safe-haven currency amid progress in trade relations between the US and China. Meanwhile, Japan and the US wrapped up the second round of bilateral trade talks this week, with Tokyo aiming to agree by June. On the domestic front, Japan’s unemployment rate rose to 2.5% in March, although the labor market remains relatively resilient.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 144.13, 143.22, 142.26, 141.96, 140.18, 139.59
• سطوح مقاومت: 147.13

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bullish. The Japanese yen has reached the FVG on the sellers’ side. There may be weak sales here, but the main bias remains for the bulls. Buying can be considered from the EMA lines or the support level at 144.13. The main profit target is the liquidity pool above 147.13. There are no optimal entry points for selling now.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks the support level of 141.96 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 3288
• قبلی بستن: 3237
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -1.57 %

Gold traded near $3,250 an ounce on Friday, posting its worst performance in two months, as signs of easing trade tensions dampened demand for safe-haven assets. China said it was considering launching trade talks with the US, raising hopes of easing tensions between the two world powers. Meanwhile, the latest data showed that the US economy contracted in the first quarter, and the PCE Price Index was unchanged in March. Investors are now awaiting Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls report for further clues on the Federal Reserve’s policy path. Weak US labor market data could boost demand for gold.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 3211, 3194
• سطوح مقاومت: 3269, 3328, 3367, 3385, 3500

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bearish. Gold aims to test the large liquidity pool below 3194. Selling can be sought from the resistance level of 3269, subject to the sellers’ reaction. A price consolidation above 3269, especially on the candles with a big body, will trigger a rising wave to 3320.

سناریوی جایگزین:

if the price breaks through and consolidates above the resistance level of 3328, the uptrend will likely resume.