بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2025.11.20

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1575
• قبلی بستن: 1.1537
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.33 %

The minutes of the latest FOMC meeting showed significant divisions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the future path of interest rates. While some supported lowering the target range in October, others favored leaving policy unchanged, and a few outright opposed easing. Disagreements intensified when discussing the December decision. Most acknowledged that further cuts could be justified, but some stressed that another 25 bps cut in December might be premature. Against this backdrop, the Dollar Index strengthened sharply, pressuring the euro.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1497
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1521, 1.1541, 1.1563

The euro fell sharply yesterday as the dollar strengthened. The price impulsively consolidated below the flat accumulation and now trades under the EMA. For sell trades, consider the resistance levels of 1.1520 or 1.1541. The profit target is 1.1497. There are currently no optimal entry points for buy deals.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 1.1497
• Res: 1.1541
• Note: Intraday, look for short trades targeting 1.1497.

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3147
• قبلی بستن: 1.3058
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.68 %

Recent data showed headline inflation fell to 3.6% in October. Services inflation came in below expectations at 4.5%, while core inflation was 3.4%. The decline eased pressure on the Bank of England and the government, while giving Chancellor Rachel Reeves more leverage as she prepares to present the key budget next week. Reeves stated that in her November 26 speech, she intends to lower the cost of living, plan tax and spending measures to reduce inflation, and pave the way for a possible BoE rate cut.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3014
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3085, 1.3137, 1.3185

After four days of accumulation, the price impulsively closed below the range and consolidated under 1.3085. The path is now open to 1.3014. Short trades can be considered from 1.3085, but with confirmation. No optimal entry points for buying at present.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Down
• Support: 1.3014
• Resistance: 1.3085
• Note: Intraday, look for short trades from 1.3085 targeting 1.3014.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 155.45
• قبلی بستن: 157.15
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +1.09 %

On Thursday, the yen weakened to 157.5 per dollar, hitting a ten‑month low, as markets prepared for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s announcement of a major stimulus package expected to exceed ¥20 trillion. The prospect of significantly higher government spending raised investor concerns about Japan’s fiscal health. On Wednesday, the yen also fell sharply after Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said her meeting with BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda did not discuss the exchange rate, which markets interpreted as a lack of readiness for immediate intervention.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 156.47, 155.73, 155.00
• سطوح مقاومت: 157.87

The yen weakened sharply yesterday, not reaching support at 155.00. Medium‑term target: 157.87, though pullbacks are likely to capture liquidity. For buying, wait for a retracement to EMA lines or nearby support. For selling, assess reaction at 157.87.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Support: 156.47
• Resistance: 157.87
• Note: Price aims to test liquidity above 157.87.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 4069
• قبلی بستن: 4076
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.17%

On Wednesday, gold held above $4,070 per ounce after the October Fed minutes confirmed significant divisions among officials. Most participants acknowledged the need for further cuts in the future, but many stressed that the December decision remains open. This stance reduced the likelihood of imminent easing and tempered the recent rise in gold prices.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 4052, 4007, 3966
• سطوح مقاومت: 4104, 4148, 4210, 4246, 4379

Yesterday, the price reached resistance at 4104, above which a locked balance formed, now acting as resistance. The price fell from 4104 to 4052, where price action must be assessed. A break below 4052 will open the path to 4007. Intraday bias favors sellers, so the probability of breaking 4052 is high.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Support: 4052
• Resistance: 4104
• Note: Assess price reaction at 4052. A breakout will open the way to 4007.