بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2025.11.27

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1567
• قبلی بستن: 1.1594
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.23%

On Wednesday, EUR/USD rose to a weekly high. Support for the euro came from ECB Governing Council member Boris Vujčić, who noted that risks to growth and inflation in the Eurozone are currently balanced, and interest rates are at an optimal level. These comments reinforced expectations that the ECB will maintain its current monetary policy stance. However, upside potential was limited by uncertainty surrounding a possible Russia-Ukraine peace agreement. European Commission Vice President Kaja Kallas stated Wednesday: “We see no signs that Russia wants peace,” cooling investor sentiment that had hoped for reduced geopolitical tensions.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1583, 1.1550, 1.1503
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1613, 1.1653

The euro continued higher yesterday, reaching resistance at 1.1613. Intraday bias remains with buyers, but given MACD divergence, a minor correction is possible. Best buy levels: 1.1587 (with confirmation). No optimal sell entries at present.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1587
• Res: 1.1613
• Note: Look for buys from 1.1587 with confirmation.

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3163
• قبلی بستن: 1.3238
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.57 %

Sterling strengthened to around 1.3208 USD, its highest since October 29, as markets assessed Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ budget and her renewed commitment to strict fiscal policy. After an initial dip, the pound quickly recovered, climbing to nearly a one‑month high. Additional support came from traders interpreting the smaller issuance of government bonds this fiscal year as a sign of borrowing discipline.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3213, 1.3156, 1.3111, 1.3080
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3256

Sterling unexpectedly rallied after the budget release, which many economists viewed skeptically. Technically, GBP/USD is in a medium‑term bullish trend and has now reached resistance at 1.3256. With MACD divergence, some profit‑taking and correction are possible. Best buy level: 1.3213. For sell deals, watch the price reaction at 1.3256.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: U
• Sup: 1.3113
• Res: 1.3256
• Note: Expecting correction from 1.3213. Buy trades best considered from 1.3213.

 

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 155.97
• قبلی بستن: 156.45
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.31 %

On Thursday, the yen strengthened above 156 per USD, recovering losses from the prior session, as markets continued to monitor the currency amid persistent expectations of possible government intervention. The US Thanksgiving holiday was seen by traders as a potential window for intervention due to lower market liquidity. Additional support came from domestic signals: reports suggested the Bank of Japan is preparing for a possible rate hike next month.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 155.73, 155.00
• سطوح مقاومت: 156.26, 157.11, 157.87

Buyers continue to defend support at 155.73. This level is critical, as a break could trigger a sell‑off to 155. Buy deals can be considered from 155.73 with stops below. Profit target: descending trendline; a breakout would open the path to 157.11.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 155.73
• Res: 157.11
• Note: Look for buys on intraday timeframes from 155.73. A close below could trigger a drop to 155.00.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 4132
• قبلی بستن: 4164
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.77%

Gold rose to around $4,160/oz, reaching a near two‑week high. The rally was driven by dollar weakness and lower opportunity costs of holding gold amid stronger expectations of Fed easing. Money markets now price in over 80% probability of a December 25 bp cut, while reports that Kevin Hassett is considered the leading candidate for Fed Chair further reinforced expectations of a dovish policy path.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 4145, 4108, 4031, 4007, 3966
• سطوح مقاومت: 4210, 4246, 4379

Gold’s rally has paused. With the US holiday, the price is likely to consolidate within a range. A break of the rising trendline could trigger a correction to 4108. As long as the price remains in range, buys should be prioritized.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4145
• Res: 4210
• Note: Considering buys from 4145 with confirmation. A break below the range could trigger a sell‑off to 4108.