بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2025.12.10

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1632
• قبلی بستن: 1.1626
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.05%

The US dollar strengthened yesterday amid short-covering and stronger labor market data – the JOLTS job openings unexpectedly rose to a five-month high in October, fueling “hawkish” expectations for the Fed. Nevertheless, the rise is limited as the market almost fully prices in a 25 basis point rate cut following the FOMC meeting that begins today. An additional layer of uncertainty is created by the political factor: the discussion of a potential new Fed Chair in 2026 could be a source of volatility for the dollar.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1617, 1.1590, 1.1555, 1.1503
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1647, 1.1728

The euro is correcting and has reached the support level of 1.1617, where buyers have shown activity. Intraday, buy deals from this level with a target up to 1.1656 can be considered. It is crucial for buyers to hold the price above 1.1617. Otherwise, the price could sharply drop to 1.1590.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1617
• Res: 1.1656
• Note: Сonsidering buy deals from 1.1617 with a target up to 1.1656. Price consolidation below 1.1617 will open the path for the price to 1.1590.

 

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3318
• قبلی بستن: 1.3294
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.18 %

The pound continues to receive support after clarification on fiscal policy: tax hikes and the creation of a financial stability reserve reduce budget risks. This partially offsets expectations of a Bank of England rate cut and contributes to a positive sentiment for GBP/USD.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3268, 1.3156, 1.3111, 1.3080
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3315, 1.3354, 1.3372

The British pound consolidated below 1.3315, which potentially may lead to a deeper correction. This level can be considered for sales with a target down to 1.3268. A re-consolidation of the price above 1.3315 would shift the intraday bias to bullish and open the path for the price to 1.3354.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3268
• Res: 1.3315
• Note: Looking for sales from 1.3315. Buy deals can only be considered after the price re-consolidates above 1.3315.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 155.85
• قبلی بستن: 156.85
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.64 %

The yen is holding near 157 per dollar on Wednesday. Despite Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s hint at nearing the inflation target and the possibility of an imminent rate hike, the currency remains under pressure due to the government’s large-scale spending plans and the persistent wide rate differential with other economies. Markets expect normalization steps as early as next week and are closely monitoring Ueda’s comments. The yen hit historical lows against the euro, reflecting traders’ confidence in the bearish momentum.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 156.08, 155.50, 154.91, 154.41, 154.17
• سطوح مقاومت: 157.11, 157.87

The Japanese currency consolidated above 156.08 and shifted the medium-term trend to uptrend. The price is currently heading to test liquidity above 157.11. For buy deals, it is best to consider the EMA lines. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 156.08
• Res: 157.11
• Note: Considering buy trades from the EMA lines with a target of growth to 157.11.

 

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 4193
• قبلی بستن: 4212
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.45%

Gold traded above $4,200 per ounce on Tuesday, remaining supported by expectations of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut this week. Despite stronger labor market data that could strengthen the Fed’s “hawkish” tone for 2026, demand for gold remains robust due to central bank purchases: China is increasing reserves for the 13th consecutive month. Inflows into ETFs and strong physical demand contribute to Gold’s impressive rally of approximately 60% year-to-date.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 4219, 4163, 4108, 4031, 4007, 3966
• سطوح مقاومت: 4194, 4181, 4255, 4379

Gold continues to trade in a wide range. Within this range, narrower consolidation patterns are forming. The price is currently squeezed in the range of 4194-4219. Price consolidation above 4219 will trigger a sharp price increase to 4255. It remains crucial for buyers not to let the price drop below 4181.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4194
• Res: 4219
• Note: Looking for buy deals after the price consolidates above 4219. Price consolidation below 4181 may trigger a sell-off to 4108.