بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2026.01.15

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1642
• قبلی بستن: 1.1644
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.02%

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair traded virtually unchanged as the euro lost some ground amid the dollar’s recovery after morning weakness. Additional pressure on the single currency came from comments by ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos. De Guindos noted that inflation in the eurozone “remains at a good level,” but stressed that high global uncertainty continues to have a dampening effect on economic growth in the region. These statements were interpreted by the market as confirmation of the European Central Bank’s cautious stance and lack of urgency in tightening monetary policy.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1637, 1.1619, 1.1590, 1.1555, 1.1503
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1697, 1.1718, 1.1753, 1.1765, 1.1786

The situation remains virtually unchanged compared to yesterday. The Euro is trading near the 1.1637 support level. Buyer reaction is weak, and price action is compressing into a triangle pattern. For a move higher, it is crucial for buyers to hold the 1.1619-1.1637 zone. There are currently no optimal entry points for short positions (sales). For long positions (buys), we are waiting for a bullish price reaction and a breakout of the triangle.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1637
• Res: 1.1697
• Note: No optimal entry points for sales at this time. For buys, wait for a bullish reaction and a breakout of the narrowing triangle.

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3422
• قبلی بستن: 1.3442
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.15 %

Recent data shows that UK inflation is falling faster than expected: the headline CPI dropped from 3.6% to 3.2% in November, strengthening expectations that the Bank of England will be able to cut interest rates from the current 3.75%. Although inflation remains above the 2% target, the pace of its decline has reassured investors. Fiscal concerns have also eased after the government increased its budget surplus and outlined a more sustainable path for deficit reduction. Additionally, the Debt Management Office is issuing fewer long-term gilts and more short-term debt, reducing supply pressure on the long end of the curve.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3422, 1.3393, 1.3347, 1.3354, 1.3292
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3455, 1.3486, 1.3503, 1.3526, 1.3586

The technical picture is almost identical to yesterday. The British Pound corrected to the 1.3422 support level, where buyers are actively defending the zone. Long positions (buys) can be considered here with targets up to 1.3455 or 1.3486. No optimal entry points for short positions (sales).

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3422
• Res: 1.3455
• Note: Buy deals can be considered from 1.3422, but with confirmation. Profit targets are the resistance levels of 1.3455 and 1.3486.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 159.09
• قبلی بستن: 158.41
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.43 %

On Thursday, the Japanese Yen strengthened to around 158 per US Dollar, recovering from lows not seen since July 2024, when authorities were previously forced to intervene in the FX market as the rate weakened past the key 160 mark. Nevertheless, risks for the Yen persist. Markets continue to discuss the likelihood of a snap election as early as next month, which could lead to a more aggressive fiscal policy. Such expectations fuel concerns over rising budget expenditures and potentially exert downward pressure on the currency, capping any sustained Yen recovery.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 158.18, 157.37, 156.95, 156.56, 156.26
• سطوح مقاومت: 158.72, 159.47

The Japanese Yen has strengthened to the 158.18 support level, where buyers reacted. Today, traders’ focus will be on the 158.72 resistance level. If sellers react here, it will open good opportunities for short positions (sales) with targets down to 158.18 and below. An impulsive breakout above 158.72 would clear the path for a retest of 159.47.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 158.18
• Res: 158.72
• Note: Look for sales from 158.72, subject to confirmation. For buys, an impulsive breakout above 158.72 is required.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 4591
• قبلی بستن: 4625
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.74 %

On Thursday, gold prices declined to approximately $4,590 per ounce, retreating from record highs in the previous session due to profit-taking and easing safe-haven demand. A key factor was the softer rhetoric from US President Donald Trump. He stated that, according to reports, Iran is easing measures against anti-government protesters and is not planning mass executions, which reduced fears of immediate conflict escalation. Additionally, Trump noted that he does not intend to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite the ongoing Department of Justice investigation. On the macroeconomic side, pressure on the metal was partially offset by weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data for November, across both headline and core indices.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 4577, 4550, 4517, 4483, 4438, 4400
• سطوح مقاومت: 4634, 4650

Despite the pullback, gold remains in a bullish trend. The price is currently forming a flat accumulation range between 4577 and 4634. The lower boundary of this range can be confidently used for buy trades with a target at the upper boundary, and vice versa. An impulsive breakout of the 4634 resistance level would open the path to new all-time highs.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4577
• Res: 4634
• Note: Consider long positions (buys) from the lower range boundary at 4577. Short positions (sales) are not currently relevant.