بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2026.03.05

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1609
• قبلی بستن: 1.1634
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.21%

The euro exchange rate showed a slight recovery on Wednesday, rising to $1.165. This moderate growth was made possible by a temporary weakening of the US dollar, triggered by reports of the first signs of diplomatic activity. According to The New York Times, officials from Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence made indirect contact with the CIA to propose discussing ceasefire terms. Despite this, the euro remains under pressure due to the region’s status as a net energy importer. February inflation data in the Eurozone (1.9% headline and 2.4% core) exceeded expectations, which, combined with the sharp rise in gas and oil prices, puts the ECB in an extremely difficult position.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1587, 1.1528
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1654, 1.1673, 1.1707, 1.1724, 1.1747, 1.1766

The European currency bounced yesterday from the 1.1587 support level but failed to reach the 1.1673 resistance. Intraday bias has been seized by sellers, but buyers will not surrender the 1.1587 level without a fight. Under these market conditions, buy trades can be considered from 1.1587, provided there is confirmation in the form of buyer initiative. Sells are appropriate if 1.1587 is broken with impulse. In that case, the path opens to the weekly low of 1.1528.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 1.1587
• Res: 1.1654
• Note: Consider intraday buy trades from 1.1587 support, but with confirmation. An impulse breakout of this level will pave the way to 1.1528.

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3355
• قبلی بستن: 1.3375
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.15%

The British currency demonstrated a confident bounce toward $1.338, neutralizing the recent drop to quarterly lows amid a correction in the US dollar. The weakening of the greenback was triggered by geopolitical insights regarding behind-the-scenes attempts by Iran to initiate peace talks with the US, although Israel continues to urge Washington to maintain a tough stance. Simultaneously, the energy crisis has forced investors to radically revise monetary policy expectations: the probability of a Bank of England rate cut this month has plummeted from 75% to 20%, and the annual prognosis now suggests only a symbolic 25-basis-point reduction.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3306, 1.3292
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3404, 1.3432, 1.3454, 1.3501, 1.3582, 1.3606

The British pound reached the 1.3404 resistance level yesterday, where sellers showed initiative at the root of the downward impulse. Today, the focus is on the 1.3306 support level. It is crucial for buyers to hold this level to form a reversal pattern. Intraday buy trades can be considered from 1.3306, provided there is bullish initiative. If this level is broken with impulse, expect a fall to the weekly low.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 1.306
• Res: 1.3370
• Note: Intraday, looking for buy trades from 1.3306, but with confirmation. An impulse breakout of 1.3306 will lead to a sell-off down to the weekly low.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 157.52
• قبلی بستن: 157.06
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.29%

The Japanese yen strengthened above the 157 mark per dollar, developing upward momentum amid the US dollar correction and hopes for a de-escalation of the Middle East conflict. Decreasing inflationary fears were aided by the Trump administration’s actions to stabilize commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf, although overall tension remains due to ongoing clashes and an incident involving an Iranian warship. The internal background is supplemented by the cautious rhetoric of BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, who allowed for the current interest rates to be maintained for an extended period due to risks to the national economy caused by geopolitical instability.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 156.80, 156.17, 155.70, 155.34, 154.86, 154.00
• سطوح مقاومت: 157.17, 157.96, 158.12

The Japanese currency corrected and reached the liquidity pool below 156.79, after which it consolidated above the level. Today, it is important for traders to evaluate the price reaction to the supply zone above 157.17. Activity from sellers in this zone could lead to further yen strengthening and a deeper correction. An impulse breakout of 157.17 will open the path to the liquidity pocket above 157.96.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 156.79
• Res: 157.17
• Note: Looking for intraday sells from the 157.17 resistance level, but with confirmation. An impulse breakout of 157.17 will open the way to the liquidity pocket above 157.96.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 5106
• قبلی بستن: 5139
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.64%

The price of gold pushed toward the $5,170 per ounce mark, fueled by a sharp surge in demand for safe-haven assets due to the escalation in the Middle East. The direct military confrontation involving the US, Israel, and Iran – accompanied by strikes on energy infrastructure and the destruction of an Iranian warship – has created an atmosphere of maximum uncertainty. Parallel to geopolitics, the market is pressured by a new round of inflationary risks triggered by rising energy costs and the introduction of a global 15% tariff.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 5121, 5084, 5000
• سطوح مقاومت: 5191, 5226, 5334, 5379, 5416

Gold is forming a flat accumulation with boundaries at 5121-5191. Within this accumulation, the rules are simple: buy at the lower boundary and sell at the upper boundary. However, it is essential to have confirmation in the form of initiative within these zones. It is vital for buyers to hold the 5121 level, as an impulse breakout of this level could trigger a new wave of sell-offs down to 4963.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 5121
• Res: 5191
• Note: Consider the 5121 support level for buys, but with confirmation. Sells are appropriate intraday from the 5191 resistance level, but only after seller initiative is shown.