بررسی اجمالی تحلیلی جفت ارزهای اصلی در 2026.05.29

The EUR/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.1629
• قبلی بستن: 1.1651
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.19%

The euro rate rose slightly, holding near 1.164 dollars and trying to find ground for a rebound from a six‑week low. Investors are simultaneously pricing in the news that the US and Iran have agreed on a 60‑day de‑escalation memorandum, as well as the “hawkish” signals from the published minutes of the latest ECB meeting. The document showed that the April pause was difficult for the regulator: several officials openly argued for an immediate increase in borrowing costs. Against this backdrop, money markets are almost 100% pricing in a 25‑basis‑point deposit rate hike at the June 11 meeting, and also expect at least one more upward move before the end of the current year.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.1629, 1.1607, 1.1586, 1.1547
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.1657, 1.1659, 1.1681, 1.1696, 1.1722

From a technical analysis perspective, the euro yesterday fell to the lower boundary of 1.1586 within a wide, volatile consolidation, after which the price sharply rose to the upper boundary of 1.1657. The intraday bias is currently with buyers, so intraday it is advisable to look for long positions from the EMA lines or from the support level of 1.1629. There are no optimal entry points for selling at the moment.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1629
• Res: 1.1657
• Note: Long positions are best considered from the 1.1629 level or from the EMA lines. There are no optimal entry points for selling.

 

The GBP/USD currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 1.3421
• قبلی بستن: 1.3444
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.17%

On Thursday, the British pound recovered its intraday losses and moved to moderate growth, consolidating above 1.34 dollars. The driver of the pound’s recovery was important diplomatic progress in the Middle East. Traders began actively reducing bets on further aggressive rate hikes by the Bank of England, which locally stabilized the country’s bond market and prevented the pound from a deeper decline.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 1.3412, 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
• سطوح مقاومت: 1.3450, 1.3475, 1.3491, 1.3550, 1.3596

The British pound rose sharply yesterday after a liquidity test below 1.3380. At the moment, the price is trading near the 1.3450 resistance, but the sellers’ reaction is weak. The intraday bias remains with buyers; therefore, today it is advisable to look for long positions from the EMA lines or the support level of 1.3412. A breakout of 1.3450 will open the way toward 1.3507. There are no optimal entry points for selling.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3412
• Res: 1.3450
• Note: Long positions are best considered from the 1.3412 level or from the EMA lines. There are no optimal entry points for selling.

The USD/JPY currency pair

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 159.48
• قبلی بستن: 159.22
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: -0.16%

The Japanese yen stabilized around 159.3 yen per dollar amid direct verbal interventions from Tokyo. The situation was further fueled by a tough statement from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, who openly warned that the authorities were ready to take emergency measures if speculative pressure intensified. The market is frozen in anticipation of the official Ministry of Finance report, which may confirm record spending (up to 10 trillion yen) to support the yen at the end of April. Meanwhile, domestic macroeconomic data delivered a pleasant surprise: retail sales in Japan showed the strongest annual growth, and industrial production posted an unexpected jump, fundamentally strengthening the national currency.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 159.14, 158.65, 158.28, 158.00, 157.33, 156.98
• سطوح مقاومت: 159.86

The Japanese yen corrected to the support level of 159.14, but the main medium‑term trend remains bullish. For long positions, the 159.14 support level should be considered, but with confirmation. The profit target remains the 159.86 resistance. However, sudden interventions to support the currency should not be ruled out.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Uptrend
• Sup: 159.14
• Res: 159.86
• Note: Long positions are appropriate from the 159.14 level or from the EMA lines with a target of 159.86. There are no optimal entry points for selling.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

شاخص های فنی جفت ارز:

• قبلی باز کن: 4464
• قبلی بستن: 4496
• % chg. در طول روز گذشته: +0.72%

Gold prices accelerated their decline. The trigger for the new wave of sell‑offs was reports of new US strikes on a military facility in Iran, which sharply reduced the chances of a diplomatic compromise and brought back fears of a prolonged inflationary shock. Hopes for a quick ceasefire are fading due to the tough positions of both sides: Tehran demands the lifting of financial sanctions, insists on control over the Strait of Hormuz and continuation of its nuclear program, while President Donald Trump flatly refused to ease restrictions, stating that the US will not agree to a “bad deal.” The paradox of a safe‑haven asset falling amid a geopolitical crisis is explained by monetary factors: investors understand that even in the event of hypothetical progress in negotiations, high energy prices will continue to fuel global inflation. This forces major central banks to abandon plans to lower borrowing costs and prepare to keep interest rates at peak levels for a much longer period, depriving the zero‑yield precious metal of investment appeal.

توصیه های معاملاتی

• سطوح پشتیبانی: 4466, 4350, 4304
• سطوح مقاومت: 4541, 4581, 4616, 4648, 4707

Below the 4403 and 4463 levels, zones of “locked” sellers have formed. At the moment, the intraday bias is with buyers, and the price is aiming to test liquidity above 4540 or 4581. Under such market conditions, intraday long positions should be considered from the EMA lines or from the support level of 4466, but with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for selling.

سناریوی جایگزین:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4466
• Res: 4541
• Note: Intraday long positions should be considered from the EMA lines or from the 4466 support level. There are no optimal entry points for selling.