मुख्य मुद्रा जोड़े का विश्लेषणात्मक अवलोकन 2025.10.15

The EUR/USD currency pair

मुद्रा जोड़ी के तकनीकी संकेतक:

• पिछला ओपन: 1.1567
• पिछला क्लोज: 1.1606
• अंतिम दिन की तुलना में % परिवर्तन: +0.34 %

The euro fell to $1.15, reaching its weakest level since July 31, as investors closely monitored political developments in France. Newly appointed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu is rushing to present the 2026 budget bill to parliament before constitutional restrictions on legislative review expire. The plan, according to the High Council of Public Finances, aims to reduce the eurozone’s largest deficit to 4.7-5% of GDP, a modest improvement from 5.4% this year. Meanwhile, fears of a possible trade war between the US and China have resurfaced after both countries imposed additional port fees on shipping companies.

ट्रेडिंग सिफ़ारिशें

• समर्थन स्तर: 1.1568, 1.1515
• प्रतिरोध स्तर: 1.1628, 1.1683, 1.1728, 1.1754, 1.1786, 1.1819

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is downward. Yesterday, the euro retested the support level of 1.1515, where buyers regained the initiative. The price is currently trading near the resistance level of 1.1628. A breakout of this level will open the way for the price to test the level of change in the medium-term trend priority. If sellers react to 1.1628 and the price consolidates below the downward trend line, a sell-off to 1.1568 may occur.

वैकल्पिक परिदृश्य:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.1683 and consolidates above it, the utrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

मुद्रा जोड़ी के तकनीकी संकेतक:

• पिछला ओपन: 1.3330
• पिछला क्लोज: 1.3317
• अंतिम दिन की तुलना में % परिवर्तन: -0.10 %

The British pound fell below $1.33, hitting its weakest level since August 1, after weak wage growth data reinforced expectations that the Bank of England may continue to cut interest rates, albeit gradually. The latest UK employment report showed that regular wage growth in June-August 2025 fell to 4.7%, slightly below the 4.8% in the previous three months and the weakest pace since March-May 2022. Other indicators point to a stabilising labour market: the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.8%, higher than the expectations of 4.7%, and the number of jobs fell by 10,000 in September, reversing the 10,000 increase in the previous month.

ट्रेडिंग सिफ़ारिशें

• समर्थन स्तर: 1.3315, 1.3282, 1.3214
• प्रतिरोध स्तर: 1.3370, 1.3395, 1.3419

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is a downtrend. The British pound is seeking to test the 1.3370 priority change level. It is important to assess price action here. A breakout and consolidation above this level will change the medium-term trend. If sellers react to 1.3370 and the price consolidates below it, there may be a repeat sell-off to 1.3280.

वैकल्पिक परिदृश्य:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.3370 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

मुद्रा जोड़ी के तकनीकी संकेतक:

• पिछला ओपन: 152.24
• पिछला क्लोज: 151.82
• अंतिम दिन की तुलना में % परिवर्तन: -0.28 %

On Wednesday, the Japanese yen strengthened to 151 per dollar, rising for the second session in a row, as markets remain uncertain whether Liberal Democratic Party leader Sanae Takaichi will become the next prime minister after the coalition with the Komeito party split. Takai, known for her support of expansionary “Abenomics-style” policies, has encouraged bets on increased budget spending and monetary easing, which typically puts pressure on the yen and boosts stocks. Opposition parties are also holding talks today to secure enough support to form a new government.

ट्रेडिंग सिफ़ारिशें

• समर्थन स्तर: 151.18, 149.95, 148.83, 147.81
• प्रतिरोध स्तर: 152.50, 153.28, 154.80

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bullish. The Japanese yen is correcting and has now reached the support level of 151.18. Buyers’ reaction is weak, which indicates a likely further decline in price. It is worth returning to buying when buyers show initiative in the form of impulsive candles.

वैकल्पिक परिदृश्य:

If the price breaks through the support level of 149.76 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

मुद्रा जोड़ी के तकनीकी संकेतक:

• पिछला ओपन: 4108
• पिछला क्लोज: 4141
• अंतिम दिन की तुलना में % परिवर्तन: +0.80%

On Wednesday, gold prices rose to around $4180 per ounce, continuing their bullish trend and setting a new record as investors sought safety in the metal and increased bets on further easing of US monetary policy. During the latest escalation of trade tensions between the US and China, President Donald Trump accused China of “economically hostile” behavior related to the cessation of soybean imports and warned of possible retaliatory measures, including an embargo on vegetable oil supplies. These statements came after China threatened further retaliatory measures following sanctions against five US subsidiaries of South Korean shipbuilder Hanwha Ocean. The ongoing US government shutdown, which, according to a US official, is beginning to put pressure on the economy, continues to heighten overall market nervousness. Meanwhile, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, speaking at the annual NABE meeting, warned that a sharp slowdown in hiring is increasingly threatening the US economy, hinting at the possibility of two more rate cuts this year.

ट्रेडिंग सिफ़ारिशें

• समर्थन स्तर: 4156, 4100, 4050, 4000, 3944, 3896, 3867, 3820, 3800
• प्रतिरोध स्तर: 4200

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. Gold does not have time to extend its correction before it is immediately bought back. The price is heading towards the psychological mark of 4200. For buy deals, the support level of 4156 can be considered, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.

वैकल्पिक परिदृश्य:

if the price breaks the support level of 3946 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.