Tinjauan Analitis Pasangan Mata Uang Utama pada 2025.05.07

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.1313
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.1369
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.49 %

Meanwhile, growing concerns over the US fiscal outlook, complicated by the economic slowdown in the last quarter and growing recession fears, further dampened sentiment. By contrast, the Eurozone has shown relative economic resilience despite its own problems. Confidence in the region increased after Friedrich Merz was elected as a German Chancellor in the second round of parliamentary voting after unexpectedly failing in the first. His coalition, led by the CDU and center-left Social Democrats, as well as a proposed increase in government spending, bolstered optimism about Germany’s path to economic recovery.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.1297, 1.1246, 1.1157, 1.1088, 1.0960
• Level resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1440, 1.1492, 1.1572

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. The euro is looking to test liquidity above 1.1380, with a possible test of the 1.1400 priority change level. Here, if sellers’ will react, we can look for sales. In this scenario, the profit target can be considered at the support level of 1.1297.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.1340 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.3289
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.3368
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.59 %

The S&P Global UK Services PMI for April 2025 was revised up slightly to 49 from the preliminary reading of 48.9, but below the March reading of 52.5. The latest reading signals a renewed contraction in business activity, ending 17 months of growth. Expectations for business activity for the year ahead fell sharply, and optimism fell to its lowest level since October 2022.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.3333, 1.3286, 1.3246, 1.3121
• Level resistance: 1.3402, 1.3434

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD on the hourly time frame is bullish. The British pound is forming a broadly volatile flat within the boundaries of 1.3333–1.3402. Inside the day, we can look for buying from the lower boundary of the flat. A price move below 1.3333 will trigger a sell-off to 1.3286. A price move above 1.3404 is unlikely.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.3202 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 143.68
• Tutup sebelumnya: 142.42
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: -0.88 %

The Japanese yen fell to 143 per dollar on Wednesday, breaking a three-day rally as news of upcoming trade talks between the US and China in Switzerland eased investor worries and reduced demand for safe-haven assets. On the economic front, Japan’s services PMI for April was revised upward, indicating the strongest increase in new orders in almost a year. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan last week kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% and lowered its growth and inflation expectations, indicating that future rate hikes are still unlikely.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 142.50, 141.96, 140.18, 139.59
• Level resistance: 143.63, 144.23, 145.08, 147.13

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bullish. The Japanese yen corrected to the support level of 142.50, where buyers reacted. Currently, the price is aiming to test the resistance level at 143.62. This level is key in determining further price action. A sellers’ reaction from 143.62 will open up selling opportunities up to 142.50. A breakout of 143.62 will open the price to 144.23.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks the support level of 141.96 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 3336
• Tutup sebelumnya: 3431
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +2.84 %

Gold dipped below $3,380 per ounce on Wednesday, ending a two-day rally, following reports that US and Chinese officials will meet this week, dampening demand for safe-haven assets. The meeting marks a key step toward striking deals between Washington and Beijing to ease the ongoing trade war, which escalated last month when President Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 145% while slashing them for most other US trading partners. In response, China imposed its own high tariffs. Meanwhile, investors are closely watching the US Federal Reserve’s decision later today and Fed Chairman Powell’s remarks for clues on the direction of interest rates. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged despite growing political pressure to ease monetary policy.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 3370, 3334, 3269, 3223, 3194
• Level resistance: 3444, 3500

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. Currently, the price is trying to test the resistance level of 3444. For buying, we can consider the support level 3370 or 3334 in case of a deeper correction. There are no optimal entry points for selling now.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks and consolidates below the support level of 3223, the downtrend will likely resume.