Tinjauan Analitis Pasangan Mata Uang Utama pada 2025.11.19

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.1589
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.1580
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: -0.08 %

Yesterday, the euro gained support after ADP data showed US employers cut jobs this month. Signs of labor market weakness in the US pressured the dollar and gave the euro a short‑term boost. Divergence in central bank policies remains a fundamental factor supporting the single currency. The ECB, judging by officials’ statements, has largely ended its rate‑cutting cycle, while the Fed is expected by markets to cut rates several more times before the end of 2026.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.1580, 1.1568, 1.1540
• Level resistance: 1.1613, 1.1653, 1.1665

The price tested liquidity below 1.1580 before closing back above. Now, the “captured” liquidity will be redistributed toward the upper boundary of the flat range at 1.1613. Buying opportunities can be considered from 1.1580, but with a tight stop‑loss. For selling, assess reaction at resistance 1.1613.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Neutral
• Support: 1.1580
• Resistance: 1.1613
• Note: Intraday, look for buy deals from 1.1580.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.3155
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.3142
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: -0.10 %

Today, UK inflation data will be released. Headline CPI is expected to fall from 3.8% to 3.6% y/y. Lower inflationary pressure could increase the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut next month, which would be priced in via a weaker GBP. Conversely, if inflation does not decline, the probability of a December rate cut will fall, providing short‑term support for sterling.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.3138, 1.3085, 1.3072
• Level resistance: 1.3185, 1.3216, 1.3247, 1.3291, 1.3328, 1.3365

No changes here. A flat accumulation is forming with boundaries at 1.3138-1.3185. After testing the lower boundary, intraday bias is now with buyers, so buying opportunities can be considered, but with tight stop‑losses. Profit target: upper boundary at 1.3185. Consolidation below 1.3138 will likely trigger selling down to 1.3085.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Neutral
• Support: 1.3138
• Resistance: 1.3185
• Note: Intraday, look for buy deals from 1.3138.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 155.18
• Tutup sebelumnya: 155.48
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.19 %

On Wednesday, the yen consolidated around 155.5 per dollar. Investors assessed Bank of Japan policy prospects after Governor Kazuo Ueda met Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. On Tuesday, Ueda told Takaichi the Central Bank continues gradually raising interest rates, aiming to guide inflation toward the 2% target while supporting sustainable economic growth. After the talks, he emphasized that the prime minister did not make any specific demands regarding future monetary policy actions.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 155.00, 154.41, 153.66, 153.15, 151.51, 150.87, 150.15
• Level resistance: 155.45, 156.54

The yen continues to weaken. Medium‑term target: 156.54, though pullbacks are likely to capture more liquidity. Today, in the Asian session, an intraday resistance level formed at 155.45, above which lies a “locked” balance. Intraday bias favors sellers. Selling opportunities can be considered from 155.45, but with short targets. For buying, assess reaction at support 155.00.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Support: 155.00
• Resistance: 155.45
• Note: Intraday, look for sell deals from 155.45 with short take‑profits.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 4040
• Tutup sebelumnya: 4070
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.74%

On Wednesday, gold prices rose to around $4,090 per ounce, extending gains from the previous session. The ongoing stock market sell‑off increased demand for gold as a safe‑haven asset, boosting its appeal amid instability. Investors maintained cautious optimism ahead of key economic releases. Market focus is on the FOMC minutes to be published later today and the employment report scheduled for Thursday. Both could provide clearer guidance on interest rate prospects.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 4052, 4007, 3966
• Level resistance: 4104, 4148, 4210, 4246, 4379

Buyers managed to keep the price above a round 4000 level. Moreover, the price impulsively consolidated above 4052, forming a “locked” balance below that level. Currently, accumulated liquidity is being redistributed toward the nearest resistance at 4104. A breakout of this level on impulse will open the path to 4148. If sellers react at 4104, intraday selling opportunities may appear.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Down
• Support: 4052
• Resistance: 4104
• Note: Assess price reaction at 4104. A breakout will open the way to 4148.