Tinjauan Analitis Pasangan Mata Uang Utama pada 2026.01.20

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.1582
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.1645
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.54%

Consumer price inflation in the Eurozone slowed to 1.9% year-on-year in December 2025, down from 2.1% in November and slightly below the preliminary estimate of 2.0%. This marks the first time since May that inflation has fallen below the European Central Bank’s 2% target, strengthening expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period. Given that the US Federal Reserve intends to continue cutting rates in the near future, the monetary policy differential currently favors a stronger euro against the US dollar.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.1660, 1.1645, 1.1634, 1.1618
• Level resistance: 1.1697, 1.1718, 1.1753, 1.1765

The hourly time frame (H1) has shifted to a bullish bias. The price has consolidated above key support levels and the EMA lines. The path is now open toward 1.1697. Intraday, long positions can be considered from 1.1660 or 1.1645. It is crucial for buyers to prevent the price from dropping below 1.1634. There are currently no optimal entry points for short positions.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1660
• Res: 1.1697
• Note: Consider buy trades from support levels 1.1660 or 1.1645. There are no optimal entry points for sells at this time.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.3345
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.3422
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.57 %

The UK could face new tariffs. The US President Trump stated on Saturday that he might impose duties on countries opposing his push for control over Greenland, reigniting fears of escalating trade tensions. The UK is among the nations opposing Trump’s Greenland plans, as they could split the NATO bloc and trigger a confrontation between the US and Europe. If tariffs are introduced, the pound could receive a growth boost against the US dollar.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.3411, 1.3389, 1.3347, 1.3292
• Level resistance: 1.3444, 1.3460, 1.3486, 1.3503, 1.3526, 1.3586

The British pound, much like the euro, is showing strong signs of growth. On the H1 time frame, the price structure has turned bullish. The price has currently reached the resistance level of 1.3444, where some profit-taking from previous longs is being observed. Traders should wait for a correction to the EMA lines or the 1.3411 support level, but with confirmation. Intraday sells are also possible from 1.3444, but the downside potential is limited.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3411
• Res: 1.3444
• Note: Long trades can be considered from the EMA lines or 1.3411, with confirmation. Intraday sells are possible from 1.3444, but downside potential is limited.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 157.89
• Tutup sebelumnya: 158.18
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.14 %

On Tuesday, the Japanese yen stabilized near 158 per dollar following high volatility in the previous session, as market sentiment remained weighed down by political uncertainty. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced she would dissolve parliament on Friday and set snap elections for February 8, seeking voter support for her plans to expand fiscal spending and broader economic policies. All 465 seats in the lower house will be contested, marking Takaichi’s first major political test since taking office. Investors are also focused on the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting this week. While the regulator is expected to keep rates unchanged following the December hike, markets will be watching closely for “hawkish” signals from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda amid speculation of a potential rate hike in June.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 158.18, 157.89, 157.51, 156.56, 156.26
• Level resistance: 158.41, 158.88, 159.47

The Japanese yen is declining even as the US dollar falls, indicating currency weakness. On Monday, the rate surged to the 158.41 resistance level and consolidated above it. This potentially opens the path toward 158.88. For long positions, it is best to consider the broken 158.41 level or 158.18. There are no optimal entry points for short positions at this time.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 158.41
• Res: 158.88
• Note: For longs, focus on the broken 158.41 level or 158.18. Currently, there are no optimal entry points for sell deals.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 4581
• Tutup sebelumnya: 4670
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +1.94 %

On Tuesday, gold prices surged past $4,700 per ounce, hitting a new all-time high amid increased demand for safe-haven assets due to worsening trade and geopolitical friction between the US and the EU. Reports on Monday indicated that Denmark is increasing its military presence in Greenland after President Donald Trump refused to rule out the use of force to establish control over the island. This followed Trump’s threats to impose an additional 10% tariff on imports from eight European countries starting February 1, which could rise to 25% in June if the US does not receive consent to acquire Greenland. In response, EU leaders plan to discuss potential countermeasures at an emergency summit on Thursday.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 4677, 4660, 4632, 4607, 4550, 4517, 4483
• Level resistance: 4700, 4750, 4800

Gold continues its rally. At all-time highs, attention is on option (psychological) levels: 4750 and 4800. The price has significantly deviated from the EMA lines, so caution is advised with new long positions. There are currently no optimal entry points for sells as there is no reaction from the selling side and no large sellers present.

Skenario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4677
• Res: 4750
• Note: Consider long positions from the 4677 support level or the EMA lines. No optimal entry points for sells at this time.