This week, investors are focused on private US data amid the ongoing government shutdown, including the weekly ADP employment figures. In Europe, attention will be on UK GDP and labor market data, as well as eurozone industrial production. In Asia, key data will include industrial production, retail sales, and credit aggregates in China, while Japan will release new GDP estimates. Among corporate reports, Cisco and Disney are expected in the US, as are Alibaba, SoftBank, Sony, Siemens, and Allianz.
Senin, November 10
Monday will be a fairly quiet day. No major economic events are expected in the European and American sessions. Traders’ interest may be limited to Norway’s inflation data.
Peristiwa utama hari ini:
- Norway Inflation Rate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2).
Selasa, November 11
On Tuesday, traders should pay attention to UK labor market data, which the Bank of England considers in setting monetary policy. Weak data will increase the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England at its next meeting. Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index will also be in focus. It’s a bank holiday in the United States and Canada.
Peristiwa utama hari ini:
- Australia NAB Business Confidence (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
- UK Average Earnings Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
- UK Claimant Count Change (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
- UK Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
- Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 10:20 (GMT+2);
- German ZEW Economic Sentiment (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
- Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2).
Rabu, November 12
Wednesday will also be a relatively quiet day with no major economic events. During the European session, traders will assess the final inflation data. A further decline in consumer prices could support the euro.
Peristiwa utama hari ini:
- German Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2).
Kamis, November 13
On Thursday, traders will focus on Australian labor market data and UK GDP figures. In recent weeks, the RBA has become more hawkish on monetary policy, and improved unemployment data could only reinforce this stance, which is positive for the Australian dollar. In the UK, modest GDP growth of 0.1% is expected. If the data comes in worse than expected, it will only increase pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates further, which could be negative for the British currency. US consumer inflation data is in question amid the government shutdown. But if the lockdown ends by Thursday, inflation data will be the key event of the day.
Peristiwa utama hari ini:
- Japan Producer Price Index (m/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2);
- Australia Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
- UK GDP (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
- Eurozone Industrial Production (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
- UK Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
- US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 19:00 (GMT+2);
- US Consumer Price Index (m/m) (Tentative);
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) (Tentative).
Jumat, November 14
On Friday, investors will focus on China’s macroeconomic data. Weak data is expected, which could negatively impact Asian indices, especially the CHA50 and HK50. During the European session, traders will assess the Eurozone’s quarterly GDP report. Modest growth of 0.2% is expected. The report on US producer inflation and retail sales will be published later if the government ends the shutdown by Friday.
Peristiwa utama hari ini:
- China Industrial Production (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
- China Retail Sales (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
- China Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
- Eurozone GDP (q/q) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
- Eurozone Trade Balance (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
- US Natural Gas Storage (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2);
- US Producer Price Index (m/m) (Tentative);
- US Retail Sales (m/m) (Tentative).
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