主要通貨ペアの分析概要： 2025.06.13

The EUR/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.1486
• 前回終了: 1.1584
• 前日に%変動: +0.85 %

On Thursday, the Dollar index continued to decline, falling below 97.8 and reaching its lowest level since 2022, as renewed trade tensions and geopolitical risks weighed on sentiment. This, in turn, provided support for the euro. The euro reached $1.16 for the first time since November 2021.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.1505, 1.1445, 1.1373, 1.1356, 1.1312, 1.1296, 1.1269
• 抵抗レベル: 1.1572

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. However, the price corrected sharply on Friday amid the rise of the US dollar due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. Volumes indicate strong bearish pressure. Buyers will try to stop the decline in the 1.1506 area. If the reaction is positive, you can look for buy trades here. But if the price breaks through 1.1506 impulsively, it could trigger a strong sell-off down to the priority change level of 1.1373.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.1373 and consolidates below it, the downward trend is likely to resume.

 

The GBP/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.3541
• 前回終了: 1.3616
• 前日に%変動: +0.53 %

The British pound is holding steady at around $1.35, close to its highest level in three years, supported by a broad weakening of the dollar amid renewed tariff threats from President Trump and signs of declining inflation in the US. UK GDP contracted by 0.3% in April, significantly more than the expected decline of 0.1%. Higher electricity tariffs caused the decline. Despite these unfavorable factors, the Bank of England is expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.3540, 1.3465, 1.3435, 1.3390, 1.3333, 1.3291, 1.3121
• 抵抗レベル: 1.3616

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bullish, however, intraday pressure is currently on the sellers amid risk aversion due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Volumes indicate a strong sell-off. Buy deals can be considered from 1.3533, provided there is a reaction from buyers. If the price impulsively consolidates below 1.3533, this could trigger a strong sell-off to the priority change level of 1.3554.

別のシナリオ:

If the price breaks through the support level of 1.3554 and consolidates below it, the downward trend is likely to resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 144.49
• 前回終了: 143.46
• 前日に%変動: -0.72 %

The Japanese yen rose to 143 per dollar on Friday, marking its third consecutive session of gains as heightened geopolitical risks spurred demand for safe-haven assets. The move followed a sharp escalation of tensions in the Middle East after Israel launched a preemptive strike against Iran, targeting its nuclear infrastructure. Israeli officials vowed to continue the operation until the threat was neutralized, triggering risk aversion in global markets.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 143.45, 142.62, 142.19
• 抵抗レベル: 144.33, 145.06, 146.27, 146.85, 148.28

From a technical perspective, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bullish. The Japanese yen fell to the priority change level of 142.77, but buyers reacted sharply here, forming a false breakdown. Currently, the price is trying to distribute the captured liquidity above 143.88. If sellers react at 143.88, this could trigger a new wave of decline to 142.77. If the price breaks through 143.88 impulsively and consolidates above it, the price will open the way to 144.67.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks through the support level of 142.77 and consolidates below it, the downtrend is likely to resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 3358
• 前回終了: 3386
• 前日に%変動: +0.83 %

On Friday, gold jumped more than 1%, surpassing the $3,440 mark and heading toward record highs as investors sought safe havens amid escalating geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. The rally came after Israel launched a preemptive strike against Iran, significantly heightening fears of a wider conflict in the Middle East. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the strike was aimed at Iran’s nuclear program. Additionally, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose unilateral tariffs as a means of putting pressure on trading partners. However, Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett suggested that the current 90-day tariff pause could be extended.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 3418, 3399, 3377, 3338, 3303, 3272, 3248
• 抵抗レベル: 3444, 3500

From the technical analysis perspective, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. Gold has rushed to new price highs. The price has now reached the resistance level of 3444, where some profit-taking is occurring. However, intraday momentum remains with buyers. For buy deals, it is better to use the EMA lines or support levels of 3399 and 3377. Currently, the price has deviated significantly from the average lines, and it is better to wait for a small correction. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks and consolidates below the support level of 3338, the downtrend will likely resume.