主要通貨ペアの分析概要： 2025.10.31

The EUR/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.1602
• 前回終了: 1.1568
• 前日に%変動: -0.29 %

The euro fell to $1.15, coming under pressure from the overall strengthening of the dollar as investors continue to assess the next steps of both the ECB and the Fed. The European Central Bank, as expected, kept interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive time, noting that the inflation outlook remains broadly stable, the economy is showing growth, and the outlook remains uncertain. As before, the regulator reaffirmed its commitment to a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting approach. Economic data for the eurozone was slightly better than expected: the region’s GDP grew by 0.2% in the third quarter, compared to a prognosis of 0.1%, and the unemployment rate remained at record lows.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.1543
• 抵抗レベル: 1.1605, 1.1634, 1.1667, 1.1686, 1.1728

The hourly trend for EUR/USD is bullish, but close to a reversal. The intraday bias is currently in favor of sellers. It is highly likely that the price will test liquidity below the priority change level of 1.1543. For sales, the resistance zone of 1.1582-1.1605 can be considered, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for buy deals.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks below the 1.1543 support and consolidates, a bearish trend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.3195
• 前回終了: 1.3150
• 前日に%変動: -0.34 %

The pound sterling remained under pressure throughout the week as market participants increased their bets on an imminent interest rate cut by the Bank of England, and expectations of a negative impact of the November budget on economic growth intensified. During parliamentary hearings on Wednesday, Prime Minister Keir Starmer refused to rule out possible increases in income tax, national insurance contributions, or VAT. Pressure on the currency was also intensified by softer inflation data: according to the BRC report, food price growth continued to slow, reinforcing expectations of further monetary policy easing.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.3137
• 抵抗レベル: 1.3200, 1.3247, 1.3291, 1.3328, 1.3365

Technically, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bearish. The British pound has reached an important liquidity pocket below the support level of 1.3137. It is important to assess the price action here. A sharp consolidation below this level could trigger a strong sell-off below 1.3100. If buyers react here and manage to consolidate above the downward trend line, we can expect a correction to at least 1.3200. Given the MACD divergence, the probability of a correction is higher than the probability of a further decline.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.3365 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 152.66
• 前回終了: 154.03
• 前日に%変動: +0.89 %

On Friday, the Japanese yen traded near a nine-month low of around 154 yen per dollar. Pressure on the currency intensified after the election of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who advocates a stimulative fiscal policy and the maintenance of soft monetary conditions. Pressure on the currency intensified after the election of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who advocates a stimulative fiscal policy and the maintenance of soft monetary conditions.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 153.26, 151.51, 150.87, 150.15
• 抵抗レベル: 154.80

The medium-term trend is bullish. The price is likely to test liquidity above 154.80. There are virtually no counter-sales. For buy deals, it is worth considering the EMA lines or the support level of 153.26. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks below 151.54 and consolidates lower, a bearish trend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 3928
• 前回終了: 4026
• 前日に%変動: +2.49%

On Thursday, gold prices rose to $4,000 per ounce, interrupting a four-day decline. The market was supported by steady demand from central banks. According to the World Gold Council, global central banks purchased about 220 tons of gold in the third quarter, up 28% from the previous quarter, reversing the trend of slowing purchases. Kazakhstan was again the largest buyer, while Brazil purchased gold for the first time in more than four years.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 3977, 3896, 3867
• 抵抗レベル: 4052, 4162, 4184

Technically, the medium-term has shifted downward. Gold is forming a wide-volatility flat with elements of growth. Intraday, buyers have taken the initiative, which allows us to look for buy trades from 3977, but with confirmation. The profit target is 4050, and we should not expect more than that for now. For sell deals, traders can consider the 4050 level, but only after the sellers take the initiative.

別のシナリオ:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 4137 and consolidates above it, the downtrend will likely resume.