主要通貨ペアの分析概要： 2025.11.24

The EUR/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.1524
• 前回終了: 1.1515
• 前日に%変動: +0.08 %

The euro weakened to $1.15, its lowest level since early November. Preliminary data showed that eurozone private‑sector activity in November continued to expand, remaining only slightly below October’s two‑year high and broadly in line with expectations. This reinforced the view that the ECB will likely keep interest rates unchanged throughout next year. Earlier, last week, the European Commission raised its Eurozone GDP projections for 2025 from 0.9% to 1.3%.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.1503, 1.1502
• 抵抗レベル: 1.1526, 1.1541, 1.1563

The euro continues to form a flat accumulation between 1.1503-1.1541. Sellers also built an intermediate resistance at 1.1526, located in the middle of the range. It is important to assess the price reaction at 1.1526. If sellers are active there, the price may fall back to 1.1503. Buying opportunities should be considered from 1.1503, or after a breakout above 1.1541.

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Down
• Support: 1.1503
• Resistance: 1.1541
• Note: look for buys from 1.1503 or after holding above 1.1541.

The GBP/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.3069
• 前回終了: 1.3097
• 前日に%変動: +0.21 %

The preliminary UK manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2 in November 2025, compared with 49.7 a month earlier and above the prognoses of 49.2. This is the highest in 14 months and the first signal of expansion in the sector since September 2024. Labor market conditions remain subdued: employment continued to decline at an accelerated pace. Input costs fell to a one‑year low, while output prices turned negative for the first time since October 2023. Overall, the UK’s economic situation remains weak, complicating policymakers’ task of drafting the budget to be published on Thursday this week.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.3080, 1.3038
• 抵抗レベル: 1.3119, 1.3136, 1.3185

Price continues to form a wide, volatile balance between 1.3038-1.3119. Most likely, until the November 26 budget release, prices will remain in this range. Intraday, short trades can be considered from 1.3119 or 1.3136, but with confirmation. Profit target: 1.3080. No optimal entry points for buying at present.

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Down
• Support: 1.3080
• Resistance: 1.3119
• Note: look for shorts from 1.3119 or 1.3136, but with confirmation.

The USD/JPY currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 157.48
• 前回終了: 156.38
• 前日に%変動: -0.70 %

On Monday, the yen traded below 156.5 per dollar, losing part of the gains from the previous session. On Sunday, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s advisor Takuji Aida stated that Tokyo may resort to active currency interventions to offset the negative economic effects of a weak yen. Last week, similar comments were made by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda and Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, reinforcing expectations of possible intervention if the rate approaches 160 per dollar – the level of the last interventions.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 156.26, 155.73, 155.00
• 抵抗レベル: 157.11, 157.87

The yen corrected to support at 156.26, where buyers reacted with initiative. Price now aims to test 157.11, where price action will be important. Consolidation above 157.11 will open the path to 157.87. If sellers are active at 157.11, intraday short opportunities may appear.

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Up
• Support: 156.26
• Resistance: 157.11
• Note: for buying, consider support at 156.26. Profit target: 157.11.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 4077
• 前回終了: 4067
• 前日に%変動: -0.26%

On Monday, gold fell to around $4,040 per ounce, extending the decline that began Friday. Comments from New York Fed President John Williams about a possible near‑term shift toward neutral policy led to a reassessment of rate expectations and a drop in Treasury yields. The 10‑year US Treasury yield fell below 4.1%, retreating from mid‑week highs, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and supporting its price recovery.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 4031, 4007, 3966
• 抵抗レベル: 4104, 4148, 4210, 4246, 4379

Technically, gold continues to range in a wide band between 4031-4104. Price is now heading toward the lower boundary, with a possible test of support at 4007. Intraday bias favors sellers, so short trades can be considered from EMA lines toward nearby supports. For buying, assess the price reaction at 4031 or 4007.

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Neutral
• Support: 4031
• Resistance: 4104
• Note: for buy deals, look for buyer initiative at 4031 or 4007.