主要通貨ペアの分析概要： 2026.01.14

The EUR/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.1665
• 前回終了: 1.1641
• 前日に%変動: -0.20%

The euro traded around $1.165, remaining near monthly lows as investors assessed the latest US inflation data and its implications for Fed policy. A sharper-than-expected slowdown in core CPI bolstered expectations for further US rate cuts this year, while pressure from political risks surrounding the Fed temporarily eased following signals of support for the regulator from US lawmakers. In the Eurozone, the market tone was set by statements from ECB officials, who emphasized the low probability of rate hikes this year. Inflation has returned to target levels, and the regulator, while keeping rates unchanged, signaled that current policy could remain in place for an extended period.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.1637, 1.1619, 1.1590, 1.1555, 1.1503
• 抵抗レベル: 1.1697, 1.1718, 1.1753, 1.1765, 1.1786

The euro has reached the 1.1637 support level, where buy positions can be considered. Buyer reaction is present. It is crucial for buyers to hold this level to sustain growth. Profit targets are 1.1665 and 1.1697. There are currently no optimal entry points for short positions (sales).

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1637
• Res: 1.1697
• Note: Consider long positions (buys) upon buyer activity at the 1.1637 support level. Profit targets are the resistance levels of 1.1665 and 1.1697.

 

The GBP/USD currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 1.3458
• 前回終了: 1.3421
• 前日に%変動: -0.27 %

The British pound showed negative dynamics on Tuesday but closed near its opening price after the latest US inflation report opened the door for the Federal Reserve to continue easing policy in 2026. Money markets are pricing in Fed interest rate cuts of nearly 50 basis points by the end of 2026. Regarding the UK, the economic calendar is thin, and traders are awaiting the release of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data on Thursday. November GDP is expected to remain flat at 0%, which would be an improvement over October’s 0.1% contraction.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 1.3422, 1.3393, 1.3347, 1.3354, 1.3292
• 抵抗レベル: 1.3455, 1.3486, 1.3503, 1.3526, 1.3586

The British pound corrected to the 1.3422 support level, where buyers took the initiative. The intraday bias is currently with the bulls; therefore, long positions can be considered here with targets up to 1.3455 or 1.3486. There are currently no optimal entry points for short positions (sales).

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3422
• Res: 1.3455
• Note: Long positions (buys) can be considered from 1.3422, subject to confirmation. Profit targets are the resistance levels of 1.3455 and 1.3486.

 

The USD/JPY currency pair

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 158.12
• 前回終了: 159.10
• 前日に%変動: +0.62 %

The Japanese yen weakened to the 159 level against the dollar on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point since the summer of 2024 and approaching the sensitive 160 mark, which has previously triggered currency interventions. Pressure on the currency was fueled by speculation regarding a potential snap election, which Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi might use to consolidate her political position and promote a looser fiscal policy. The economic backdrop also remains unfavorable for the yen: a slowdown in industrial activity amid trade frictions and difficulties in the services sector are limiting the Bank of Japan’s ability to tighten policy. Against this background, authorities again signaled concern over the excessive weakening of the currency, emphasizing close monitoring of yen dynamics in dialogue with the US.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 157.37, 156.95, 156.56, 156.26
• 抵抗レベル: 158.18, 159.47

The yen continues to depreciate against the dollar. The price reached the 159.47 resistance level, where the first signs of profit-taking on previously opened long positions are observed. Given the MACD divergence, the price may correct to the 158.88 support level. For trend-following long positions (buys), it is best to monitor the EMA lines or the 158.18 support level. No optimal entry points for short positions (sales) at this time.

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 158.88
• Res: 159.47
• Note: For buys, it is best to look at the EMA lines or the 158.18 support level. No optimal entry points for sales.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

通貨ペアの技術指標:

• 前回開設: 4605
• 前回終了: 4586
• 前日に%変動: -0.41 %

Gold hit a new all-time high on Tuesday, rising to $4630 per ounce on the back of softer US inflation statistics. December data confirmed a stabilization of headline CPI and a slowdown in core inflation to multi-year lows, easing fears of renewed price pressure and bolstering expectations that loose financial conditions will persist. Additional support for quotes came from increased safe-haven demand due to heightening political and geopolitical uncertainty. Renewed concerns over pressure on Fed independence, along with escalating tensions surrounding Iran following new trade and military signals from the US, have increased investor interest in gold as a risk-hedging instrument.

取引のお薦め

• サポートレベル: 4577, 4550, 4517, 4483, 4438, 4400
• 抵抗レベル: 4629, 4650

Gold is continuing its upward rally. A limit seller is still present around 4630, which led to a correction down to 4577, where buyers were again activated. Today, all attention is on the 4630 resistance level. A breakout of this level will open the path to 4700. For long positions (buys), it is best to consider this level after a successful breakout. If sellers push the price back from 4630, an intraday decline to 4577 can be expected.

別のシナリオ:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4577
• Res: 4630
• Note: Consider long positions (buys) after the price breakout above 4630. Short positions (sales) are not currently relevant.