@의 주요 통화 쌍 분석 개요 2025.06.02

The EUR/USD currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 1.1370
• 폐장 전: 1.1348
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.19 %

In Germany, retail sales fell by 1.1% in April, the first decline in four months and below market expectations of 0.2% growth. Meanwhile, inflation data showed that Germany’s Consumer Price Index remained unchanged in May at 2.1%, defying expectations of a slight decline. In other Eurozone countries, inflationary pressure in Italy, Spain, and France continued to ease, reinforcing market expectations that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting this week.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 1.1323, 1.1296, 1.1269, 1.1220, 1.1200, 1.1169, 1.1135
• 저항 레벨: 1.1374, 1.1413

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend has changed to downward, but close to changing. Tariff uncertainty from the new US administration continues to cause chaotic volatility spikes. Currently, the price is trying to break through the priority change level. Consolidation above this level will open the way for the price to 1.1413. Sell deals can be resumed if the price consolidates below the upward trend line.

대체 시나리오:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.1374 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 1.3485
• 폐장 전: 1.3454
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.23 %

The British pound fell below $1.347 amid a recovery in the US dollar, although it remains close to the three-year high reached on May 26 above $1.356. The pound was pressured by the dollar’s recovery, driven by rising consumer confidence in the US and optimism about trade deals. Despite the decline, sentiment toward the UK economy has improved.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 1.3454, 1.3435, 1.3390, 1.3333, 1.3291, 1.3121
• 저항 레벨: 1.3522, 1.3585

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD on the hourly is bullish. The British pound is more resilient to US tariff uncertainty. The price is currently trading near the EMA lines and is heading towards the resistance level of 1.3522. Intraday, buy trades can be considered here. The support level of 1.3454 may also provide support for further price growth. There are currently no optimal entry points for sell deals.

대체 시나리오:

if the price breaks the support level of 1.3390 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 144.15
• 폐장 전: 144.04
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.08 %

The Japanese yen strengthened to 143.5 per dollar on Monday, rising for the third consecutive session as renewed concerns about global trade stimulated demand for safe assets. This came after comments by US President Donald Trump late on Friday in which he threatened to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50% from June 4. The statement put pressure on Japanese steelmakers, with JFE Holdings and Kobe Steel facing potential negative consequences. Nippon Steel was less affected, helped by Trump’s positive comments about the planned merger with US Steel.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 143.03
• 저항 레벨: 143.84, 144.75, 145.45, 146.27, 146.85, 148.28

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bullish. The Japanese yen is striving to reach a priority change level amid the weakness of the US dollar. The intraday bias is currently in favor of sellers. In this scenario, sell trades can be considered from the EMA lines or from the 143.84 level. Buy trades can be considered if the price shows a bullish reaction to the priority change level of 143.03. In this case, the growth space up to 143.84 can be used.

대체 시나리오:

if the price breaks through the support level of 143.03 and consolidates below it, the downward trend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 3320
• 폐장 전: 3289
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.94 %

On Monday, gold prices rose above $3310 per ounce as investors sought safe assets amid new tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. On Friday, Trump said he would double existing tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from 25% to 50% starting June 4. Adding to market concerns, Trump accused China of violating the tariff truce reached in early May, to which Beijing responded with its own accusations of US wrongdoing. Meanwhile, Ukrainian drones destroyed more than 34% of strategic bombers on Russian territory, and Moscow struck Ukraine with missiles and drones — just one day before the two sides were set to meet for a new round of direct talks in Istanbul.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 3303, 3276, 3248
• 저항 레벨: 3325, 3363

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. Gold has returned to growth. The price is currently testing the resistance level of 3325, but there is no reaction from sellers. Consolidation above this level will open up room for growth to 3325. For buy deals, traders can use both 3325 after the breakout and/or the EMA lines. There are currently no optimal entry points for sell deals.

대체 시나리오:

if the price breaks and consolidates below the support level of 3248, the downtrend will likely resume.