@의 주요 통화 쌍 분석 개요 2026.02.23

The EUR/USD currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 1.1773
• 폐장 전: 1.1781
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.07%

In the fourth quarter of 2025, wage growth in the Eurozone accelerated to 2.95% YoY, significantly exceeding the revised previous figure of 1.89%. This recovery strengthens the European Central Bank’s position in favor of maintaining current interest rates, as payment dynamics align with expectations for a gradual inflation slowdown, despite the substantial gap from the 5.4% peak recorded in 2024. ECB President Christine Lagarde confirmed the need for strict control over household income, as services sector inflation remains above the 3% target. The ECB’s current strategy aims to balance maintaining purchasing power with preventing deflationary risks, making subsequent labor market data a key factor in determining the monetary course for years to come.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 1.1808, 1.1776, 1.1742, 1.1726
• 저항 레벨: 1.1850, 1.1894, 1.1955, 1.2050, 1.3000

The European currency is showing a steady recovery, aiming for the psychologically important 1.1850 mark amid a weakening US dollar. The main driver of the movement was the US administration’s legal setback in the Supreme Court, which forced markets to reassess long-term inflation expectations and corporate sector earnings. In the current market situation, the most promising zone for resuming purchases is the support level at 1.1808, where dynamic EMA lines are also concentrated, confirming the upward momentum. The initiative remains with the buyers as long as the price holds above this boundary, with the key target being the 1.1850 resistance. Sellers should wait for a confirmed reaction at that mark.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1808
• Res: 1.1850
• Note: Сonsidering buy trades from the EMA lines or the 1.1808 level, but with confirmation. For sales, it is currently necessary to see seller initiative from 1.1850.

The GBP/USD currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 1.3461
• 폐장 전: 1.3476
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.11 %

The British pound stabilized near a monthly low at the 1.35 level, caught between strong domestic statistics and global dollar dominance. Despite “hawkish” signals from the US Fed, the UK economy is showing impressive resilience: February PMI business activity indices recorded the highest private sector growth rates in two years. This positive backdrop was supplemented by retail sales data, which significantly exceeded projections, confirming sustained high domestic consumer demand. Special attention should be paid to the state of UK public finances: a record budget surplus of £30.4 billion was recorded in January, a historical high since 1993. However, even such powerful fundamental indicators could not break the sterling’s downward trend against the dollar.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 1.3510, 1.3483, 1.3426, 1.3401, 1.3381, 1.3292
• 저항 레벨: 1.3558, 1.3582, 1.3606

The British pound is showing signs of a local recovery, successfully consolidating above the key level of 1.3510. This breakout opens a direct path for quotes toward the next technical resistance at 1.3558. Current dynamics indicate that the intraday advantage has shifted to buyers. From a trading strategy perspective, the most rational approach for opening long positions is to target the 1.3510 support zone. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are concentrated in this area, acting as a dynamic foundation for continued growth. At the same time, upward potential is limited by the 1.3558 level, so it is crucial for sellers to monitor price behavior exactly at this point.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3510
• Res: 1.3558
• Note: Considering buy trades from the EMA lines or the 1.3510 level, but with confirmation. For sales, it is necessary to see seller initiative from 1.3558.

The USD/JPY currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 155.02
• 폐장 전: 155.07
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.03 %

The Japanese yen strengthened to the 154 per dollar level, regaining ground amid weakening confidence in the US currency. The trigger for the dollar sell-off was Donald Trump’s new protectionist initiatives: after a court ban on previous duties, the President announced the introduction of a 15% global tariff, citing a US “balance of payments crisis.” Despite a public holiday in Japan and low trading volumes, the yen maintains its safe-haven status, receiving support from uncertainty in global trade chains and the potential termination of current international agreements.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 153.86, 152.61, 152.17, 151.54
• 저항 레벨: 154.72, 155.22, 155.64, 156.27

The Japanese yen is demonstrating strong downward dynamics (strengthening), managing an impulsive consolidation below the key 154.72 level. This breakout confirms increased demand for the yen as a protective asset and opens a direct path to the next important support milestone at 153.86. Under current conditions, the intraday advantage remains entirely on the side of the pair’s sellers (yen buyers), making short positions a priority for intraday strategies. To find optimal entry points for short positions, traders should consider supply zones near the mirror level of 154.72, which now acts as resistance, or look to the EMA lines confirming the bearish trend. Buyers are advised to exercise caution and wait for the price to reach 153.86. Only a clear market reaction to this support and the appearance of reversal signals can justify considering short-term purchases.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 153.86
• Res: 154.72
• Note: Looking for intraday sales from the 154.72 resistance level or the EMA lines, but with confirmation. For buy deals, evaluating the price reaction to the 153.86 support level.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 5002
• 폐장 전: 5106
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +2.07 %

On Monday, gold gained more than 1%, consolidating at $5,160 per ounce. The precious metal hit a three-week high, reacting to a new round of uncertainty in global trade and geopolitics. Donald Trump’s decision to raise the global tariff rate to 15%, bypassing the Supreme Court’s verdict, triggered a backlash: the European Union threatened to freeze trade agreements, and India officially postponed negotiations with Washington. In this environment of international trade fragmentation, gold has once again become the priority asset for risk hedging. Beyond trade wars, quotes are supported by a critical rise in Middle East tensions. Markets are seriously pricing in the probability of a US military strike on Iran, despite the upcoming round of negotiations in Geneva.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 5130, 5071, 5038, 4960, 4907, 4842
• 저항 레벨: 5242, 5450

On intraday time frames, gold is showing a pronounced “bullish” bias, and the price has currently successfully consolidated above the psychologically important mark of $5,130 per ounce. During the current trading session, buyers’ primary focus is on holding positions above the dynamic EMA lines, which act as flexible support zones. The most stable levels for opening long positions in the event of local corrections are 5130 and 5071, with the 5071 level being critical for maintaining the overall upward trend structure. Fundamentally, the rise in quotes is supported by a new wave of trade uncertainty following Donald Trump’s statement on the 15% global tariff, as well as ongoing tensions with Iran. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 5130
• Res: 5242
• Note: For intraday, consider buying from the EMA lines or the 5130 support level. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales.