@의 주요 통화 쌍 분석 개요 2026.03.18
The EUR/USD currency pair
통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:
- 개장 전: 1.1504
- 폐장 전: 1.1537
- 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.28%
On Tuesday, the euro stabilized at the 1.15 dollar mark. The currency found itself under crossfire: on one hand, Donald Trump’s hawkish rhetoric and Israel’s expectations of a prolonged war in Iran support demand for the safe-haven dollar. On the other hand, the catastrophic collapse of Germany’s ZEW Business Sentiment Index in March confirmed investors’ fears that the energy shock and high oil prices could finally undermine the recovery of the Eurozone’s largest economy, triggering a deep recession. The market is frozen in anticipation of Thursday, when the ECB meeting will take place. Although maintaining current rates is almost guaranteed, investors expect Christine Lagarde to confirm a hawkish stance: at the moment, markets are 100% confident in a rate hike in July and, with an 85% probability, are pricing in another increase by the end of the year.
거래 권고
- 지원 레벨: 1.1504, 1.1466, 1.1383
- 저항 레벨: 1.1566, 1.1613, 1.1666
The European currency managed to hold above 1.1500, which led to a corrective wave. The price is now aiming to test liquidity above 1.1566, where it is important to assess price action. If sellers are active here, intraday short positions can be considered with a target at 1.1504. Long positions can be considered from 1.1504, but only with confirmation.
- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.1504
- Res: 1.1566
- Note: Intraday, we consider short trades from 1.1566, but only with confirmation. Long trades can be considered from 1.1504, but only with confirmation.
@ 뉴스피드: 2026.03.18
- Eurozone Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); – EUR (MED)
- US Producer Price Index (m/m) at 14:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US FOMC Federal Funds Rate at 20:00 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
- US FOMC Statement at 20:00 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
- US FOMC Economic Projections at 20:00 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
- US FOMC Press Conference at 20:30 (GMT+2). – USD, XAU (HIGH)
The GBP/USD currency pair
통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:
- 개장 전: 1.3317
- 폐장 전: 1.3359
- 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.31%
The British pound showed an attempt at recovery, consolidating at 1.33 dollars after falling to three‑month lows. The focus remains on the upcoming Bank of England meeting, where the intrigue has shifted from the rate decision itself to the internal split within the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). A vote distribution prognosis of 7-2 or 6-3 in favor of maintaining the status quo will be a litmus test for the pound: the presence of two or three “hawks” voting for an immediate hike could trigger a sharp rally in the currency. Investors fear that the UK economy is facing stagflation, so any hints from the regulator prioritizing inflation control over supporting economic growth will be a key driver for the sterling through the end of the week.
거래 권고
- 지원 레벨: 1.3312, 1.3275, 1.3214
- 저항 레벨: 1.3370, 1.3410, 1.3463, 1.3501, 1.3582
The British pound strengthened to the resistance level of 1.3370. Despite the confident rise, analysts currently lean toward viewing this as a deep correction rather than a full-fledged reversal. Considering the MACD divergence, intraday short positions can be considered from 1.3370, provided sellers show a reaction. An impulsive breakout of 1.3370 will open the way toward 1.3410 and will likely break the downward trend.
대체 시나리오:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.3312
- Res: 1.3370
- Note: Intraday, we look for short trades from 1.3370, but only with confirmation. An impulsive breakout of 1.3370 will open the way toward 1.3410.
오늘은 뉴스가 없습니다
The USD/JPY currency pair
통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:
- 개장 전: 159.06
- 폐장 전: 159.00
- 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.04%
The Japanese yen stabilized around 159 yen per dollar. Investors have taken a wait‑and‑see approach ahead of tomorrow’s meeting in Washington between Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and US President Donald Trump. For Takaichi, the first woman to serve as Japan’s prime minister, this summit will be a serious diplomatic test: she must balance Trump’s demands for more active participation in securing the Strait of Hormuz (through which 70% of Japan’s oil imports pass) with the political sensitivity of sending Self‑Defense Forces abroad. Although Tokyo has so far rejected calls for military escort operations, the government has already begun tapping into state oil reserves to soften the blow of the war with Iran on the national economy. Fresh foreign trade data brought moderate optimism: Japan’s exports in February grew by 4.2%, significantly above the 1.6% prognoses, allowing the country to record a trade surplus of 57.3 billion yen.
거래 권고
- 지원 레벨: 158.58, 158.24, 157.87, 157.32
- 저항 레벨: 158.85, 159.13, 159.49
The Japanese yen corrected to the support level of 158.58, where buyers are attempting to halt the decline. Intraday, there is a buying initiative, which opens opportunities for long positions toward the nearest resistance levels – 158.85 and 159.13. These levels can be considered bases for short positions, but only with an appropriate reaction.
- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 158.58
- Res: 159.85
- Note: Intraday, we consider long trades from 158.58, but only with confirmation. Short trades can be considered from 158.85 or 159.13, but only with confirmation.
@ 뉴스피드: 2026.03.18
- Japan Trade Balance (m/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2). – JPY (LOW)
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:
- 개장 전: 5010
- 폐장 전: 5000
- 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.20%
On Wednesday, gold prices fell below the key psychological level to 4,990 dollars per ounce, reaching a monthly low amid market preparations for the US Federal Reserve’s decision. Despite Tehran’s official confirmation of the death of high‑ranking official Ali Larijani and continued strikes on energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf, gold’s safe‑haven status temporarily took a back seat to monetary uncertainty. Investors fear that a sharp rise in oil prices due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will force global central banks, led by the Fed, to keep interest rates high for longer to fight inflation, increasing the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal. Further gold dynamics will depend on whether the Fed confirms its readiness for a new tightening cycle in the event of a prolonged energy crisis.
거래 권고
- 지원 레벨: 4963, 4907, 4842
- 저항 레벨: 5044, 5125, 5175, 5223, 5238, 5334
Gold continues to trade in a range with boundaries of 4963-5044. The intraday bias is currently with buyers, and the price is aiming to test the upper boundary of the accumulation. It is likely that the FOMC decision will trigger an impulsive breakout from the range: an impulsive breakout of 5044 will open the way toward 5125; an impulsive breakout of 4963 will trigger a sell‑off toward 4907. Within the range – trade from the upper boundary to the lower and vice versa.
대체 시나리오:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 4963
- Res: 5044
- Note: Within the accumulation, trade from boundary to boundary. An impulsive breakout of 5044 will open the way toward 5125; an impulsive breakout of 4963 will trigger a sell‑off toward 4907.
@ 뉴스피드: 2026.03.18
- US Producer Price Index (m/m) at 14:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US FOMC Federal Funds Rate at 20:00 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
- US FOMC Statement at 20:00 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
- US FOMC Economic Projections at 20:00 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
- US FOMC Press Conference at 20:30 (GMT+2). – USD, XAU (HIGH)
이 기사는 개인의 의견이므로 투자 조언 및/또는 제안, 금융 거래 수행에 대한 지속적 요청 및/또는 보증 및/또는 미래 예측으로 해석하시지 마시기 바랍니다.