@의 주요 통화 쌍 분석 개요 2026.05.11

The EUR/USD currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 1.1725
• 폐장 전: 1.1784
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.50%

Investors increased expectations of a more hawkish European Central Bank amid persistent inflation risks. Additional pressure on markets came from a new rise in oil prices: Brent once again exceeded 100 dollars per barrel after another round of clashes between the US and Iran near the Strait of Hormuz, which heightened concerns about the stability of the ceasefire in the region. At the same time, tensions in trade relations between the US and the European Union intensified again after Donald Trump’s statements about possible additional tariffs on European goods. Against this backdrop, money markets continue to price in at least two ECB rate hikes by the end of the year, with a high probability of the first step already in the summer.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 1.1748, 1.1724, 1.1695, 1.1559, 1.1605
• 저항 레벨: 1.1771, 1.1791, 1.1823, 1.1849, 1.1894

The euro continues to trade in a wide range. At the moment, the price is trapped between 1.1748 and 1.1771. It is important for buyers to hold 1.1748; otherwise, a breakout of this level will open the way toward 1.1724. For selling, evaluate price reaction at 1.1771 and 1.1791.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1748
• Res: 1.1771
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.1748 with a target of 1.1771 and higher, but with confirmation. An impulsive breakout of 1.1748 may lead to a decline toward 1.1724.

The GBP/USD currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 1.3549
• 폐장 전: 1.3629
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.59%

The pound strengthened to 1.36 dollars, approaching its highest levels in more than two months, as investors analyzed the results of local elections in the UK and the rising tensions in the Middle East. Preliminary results showed increased support for Nigel Farage’s party, while Keir Starmer’s Labour Party and the Conservatives suffered noticeable losses. Meanwhile, the Greens and Liberal Democrats significantly improved their positions.

Additional market pressure came from a new escalation between the US and Iran, which pushed Brent oil prices back to the 100‑dollar mark. Against this backdrop, markets continue to price in further tightening by the Bank of England, expecting at least two rate hikes by the end of the year.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 1.3553, 1.3514, 1.3463, 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
• 저항 레벨: 1.3600, 1.3637, 1.3670

The British pound, like the euro, is forming a flat accumulation. At the moment, the price is trading in the 1.3553-1.3600 range. It is very important for buyers to hold the support level of 1.3553; otherwise, the price may drop to 1.3514. For selling, evaluate price reaction at resistance levels 1.3600 or 1.3637.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3553
• Res: 1.3600
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.3553 with a target of 1.3600 and higher. For selling, evaluate the price reaction at 1.3600.

The USD/JPY currency pair

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 156.86
• 폐장 전: 156.70
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: -0.10%

On Monday, the Japanese yen weakened to around 157 per dollar, losing part of last week’s gains amid a strengthening US currency, driven by increased investor demand for safe‑haven assets. Market pressure intensified after Donald Trump rejected Iran’s response to US peace proposals, reducing expectations of a quick end to the conflict that has been ongoing for several weeks. Additional concern was caused by reports that Tehran is ready to transfer part of its enriched uranium stockpile to a third country but does not intend to halt its nuclear program. Currency‑market participants also continue to closely monitor the actions of Japanese authorities after a series of suspected interventions that began in late April.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 157.01, 156.06, 155.49, 154.86
• 저항 레벨: 157.75, 158.55

The Japanese yen is once again gradually weakening against the US dollar, offsetting the efforts of Japanese authorities to stabilize the exchange rate. The price consolidated above the important level of 157.00 without significant seller resistance, which potentially opens the way toward 157.75. Long positions should be considered from 157.00 or from the EMA lines. For selling, the price must impulsively consolidate below 157 and below the EMA lines.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 157.00
• Res: 157.75
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 157.00 or from EMA lines. For selling, the price must impulsively consolidate below 157 and below the EMA lines.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

통화 쌍의 기술적 지표:

• 개장 전: 4682
• 폐장 전: 4715
• 전날 대비 # % 변동: +0.70%

On Monday, gold fell below 4700 dollars per ounce, partially losing last week’s gains amid rising concerns about the conflict between the US and Iran. Market pressure intensified after Donald Trump sharply criticized Tehran’s response to US peace proposals, reducing hopes for a quick diplomatic resolution. Rising oil prices increased inflation risks and expectations that global central banks may maintain tight monetary policy or even continue raising rates. This adds additional pressure on the precious metals market, which does not generate interest income.

거래 권고

• 지원 레벨: 4611, 4554, 4518
• 저항 레벨: 4660, 4679, 4730, 4772

On Monday, gold moved downward amid geopolitical escalation. The price managed to impulsively consolidate below 4660, which potentially opens the way toward 4611. Today, intraday selling opportunities should be sought from the 4660-4679 zone. A consolidation above 4679 will invalidate the selling scenario.

대체 시나리오:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4611
• Res: 4660
• Note: Look for selling opportunities from the 4660-4679 zone with confirmation. A consolidation above 4679 cancels the selling scenario.