A visão geral analítica dos principais pares de moedas em 2026.01.26

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 1.1748
• Anterior Fechar: 1.1827
• % de mudança no último dia: +0.67%

On Friday, the US dollar Index slipped to 98.1, nearing a three-month low as markets remained wary of unpredictable US economic policy. President Trump, who had previously threatened tariffs against several European nations and a hardened stance toward Denmark and NATO over the Greenland dispute, unexpectedly withdrew these threats without disclosing specific terms. While this eased immediate geopolitical risk, lingering uncertainty continues to weigh on the Greenback. Dollar weakness propelled the Euro to a monthly high, with the single currency consolidating above 1.18 on Friday despite mixed PMI data.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 1.1833, 1.1805, 1.1754, 1.1726, 1.1697, 1.1673
• Níveis de resistência: 1.1915

On Monday, the euro opened with a significant upward price gap, causing a sharp deviation from the EMA averages. While a corrective move to close the gap is probable, it does not alter the broader bullish market sentiment. A pronounced bullish imbalance characterizes the current structure; thus, long positions remain the priority. Technical interest for dip-buying shifts toward the immediate support zones near 1.1833 and 1.1805.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1833
• Res: 1.1915
• Note: Wait for a correction to 1.1833 or 1.1805 with confirmation for long entries. No optimal entry points for short positions.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 1.3485
• Anterior Fechar: 1.3643
• % de mudança no último dia: +1.17 %

Trade frictions between the US and Europe diminished following President Trump’s suspension of tariff threats, reducing currency market uncertainty and supporting risk-oriented assets. GBP/USD surged to 1.36, its highest level since September 2025. The Pound gained additional momentum from S&P Global PMIs, which showed the fastest private-sector growth since April 2024, alongside robust December retail sales and consumer confidence hitting its highest point since August 2024.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 1.3646, 1.3568, 1.3537, 1.3486
• Níveis de resistência: 1.3681, 1.3725, 1.3752

The technical outlook for the British Pound mirrors the Euro, though the opening gap has already been fully closed. Technical signals continue to point toward a strong bullish bias and buyer dominance. Long positions remain the priority; interest in longs may emerge near the 1.3646 support or from dynamic EMA lines. A consolidation above 1.3681 resistance will bolster momentum and open the path toward testing liquidity near 1.3725.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3646
• Res: 1.3681
• Note: Long trades may be considered at 1.3636 or from EMA lines. A breakout of 1.3681 opens the target of 1.3725.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 158.38
• Anterior Fechar: 155.77
• % de mudança no último dia: -1.60 %

The Japanese yen strengthened sharply on Friday, hitting 155.68 against the dollar – the highest since December 2025. On Monday, the yen continued its rally to approximately 154 per dollar, gaining over 2% in two sessions. This move was driven by rising expectations of coordinated intervention by Japan and the US following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s comments on curbing speculative volatility. Broad US dollar weakness after Trump’s pivot on Greenland further fueled the yen’s ascent.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 153.67, 153.05, 151.78
• Níveis de resistência: 154.58, 155.62, 157.50

Due to rapid appreciation, prices have significantly deviated from average levels, making new short positions at current levels inefficient given short-term oversold conditions. A more prudent approach is to wait for a correction toward the 154.58 or 155.62 resistance zones to re-enter short positions in the direction of the primary bearish impulse. Counter-trend long positions are not recommended as they lack fundamental backing.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 153.67
• Res: 154.58
• Note: Wait for a retracement to 154.58 or 155.62 for shorting opportunities. No optimal entry points for longs.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 4944
• Anterior Fechar: 4988
• % de mudança no último dia: +0.89 %

On Monday, gold prices rose by more than 1%, climbing above $5,080 per ounce and hitting new all-time highs amid heightened demand for safe-haven assets. Investors are unnerved by growing geopolitical and trade uncertainty: tensions persist between the US and Europe over Greenland, the situation in the Middle East remains volatile, and risks of US domestic political complications, including the threat of a government shutdown, are mounting. Conflicting signals from Canada and the US, following statements by Mark Carney and Donald Trump’s threats of potential tariffs, served as an additional factor. The market is also pricing in expectations for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where the consensus is that the regulator will keep interest rates unchanged.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 5050, 5000, 4900
• Níveis de resistência: 5100, 5150, 5200

Gold reached record levels near $4,920 per ounce on Thursday as investors balanced resilient US macro data with easing geopolitical risks. Upwardly revised GDP and stable consumer spending confirmed a solid economic foundation, tempering expectations for immediate aggressive easing. Meanwhile, PCE inflation data (both headline and core rising 0.2% monthly, in line with forecasts) reassured markets that price growth remains gradual. This environment supported gold demand as restrictive policy expectations remained stable without the risk of further tightening.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 5051
• Res: 5100
• Note: Wait for a correction to 5,051 for long entries with confirmation. No optimal entry points for short positions.