A visão geral analítica dos principais pares de moedas em 2026.02.24

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 1.1793
• Anterior Fechar: 1.1784
• % de mudança no último dia: -0.08%

The European currency exchange rate confidently broke the $1.18 mark, recovering last week’s losses amid a sharp escalation in trade relations between the EU and the US. The European Parliament’s decision to freeze the ratification of the trade agreement was a direct response to Donald Trump’s intention to raise the global import tariff to 15%. Despite attempts by the American side to calm allies with statements about maintaining the status quo for existing agreements, uncertainty surrounding the new tariff rate, introduced by bypassing a Supreme Court ruling, is forcing investors to price trade war risks into the US currency. The euro received additional momentum from strong domestic statistics: the German Business Climate Index (Ifo) unexpectedly rose to 88.6 points in February, reaching its highest level since August last year.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 1.1776, 1.1742, 1.1726
• Níveis de resistência: 1.1809, 1.1850, 1.1894, 1.1955, 1.2050, 1.3000

The euro lost its price gap advantage on Monday. After the morning gap was closed, quotes continued to decline, indicating persistent pressure from the US dollar and investor caution while awaiting new details on Trump’s tariffs. The main battleground for the EUR/USD pair today will be the 1.1776 support level. If buyer initiative appears in this area, short-term intraday buy trades can be considered. However, an impulsive breakout and price consolidation below this mark will shift the initiative to the sellers, opening a direct path to the next technical milestone at 1.1742.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1776
• Res: 1.1809
• Note: Сonsidering buy trades from the 1.1776 support level, but with confirmation. For sales, an impulsive breakout of 1.1776 is required.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 1.3480
• Anterior Fechar: 1.3494
• % de mudança no último dia: +0.08 %

Sterling traded at $1.35, bouncing back from last week’s monthly low, while the yield on 10-year UK government bonds (Gilts) fell below 4.35%, reaching its lowest value in the last 14 months. The main driver of increased demand for protective debt instruments was uncertainty surrounding US trade policy. Paradoxically, this capital inflow into government bonds is occurring against the backdrop of exceptionally strong macroeconomic indicators in the UK itself. The February PMI recorded the fastest private sector growth in nearly two years, and the January budget surplus of £30.4 billion was a historical record for the country. This situation creates a unique backdrop for the Bank of England: a surplus budget gives the government room to maneuver, while growing business activity allows rates to be held at current levels without the risk of an immediate recession.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 1.3479, 1.3426, 1.3401, 1.3381, 1.3292
• Níveis de resistência: 1.3535, 1.3558, 1.3582, 1.3606

On Tuesday, February 24, the British pound is showing a corrective movement, returning to the origin of yesterday’s bullish impulse. Traders’ primary focus is now on the 1.3479 support level. This zone coincides with session lows and acts as a key indicator of buyer strength: if a confident price reaction and buyer initiative are recorded here, it will create a foundation for a recovery in quotes. If the 1.3479 level is broken by an impulsive downward movement, it will trigger a wave of sell-offs. In this case, the next target for the bears will be the 1.3455 support or lower levels.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3480
• Res: 1.3491
• Note: Considering buy trades from the 1.3479 support level, but with confirmation. For sales, an impulsive breakout of 1.3479 is required.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 154.87
• Anterior Fechar: 154.63
• % de mudança no último dia: -0.16 %

The Japanese yen came under pressure again, weakening to the 155.27 level against the dollar. The currency lost all of its gains from the previous day as the US dollar regained ground amid Donald Trump’s aggressive rhetoric. The US President not only confirmed his intention to introduce a 15% global tariff by bypassing the Supreme Court but also threatened even harsher measures against countries that attempt to challenge or circumvent existing trade agreements. Tokyo officially called on Washington for restraint, emphasizing its commitment to bilateral agreements and expressing hope that Japanese companies would not become “accidental victims” of the new tariff policy.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 154.00, 152.61, 152.17, 151.54
• Níveis de resistência: 155.22, 155.64, 156.27

On Tuesday, the Japanese yen came close to the significant mark of 155.22 per dollar. The current market situation is characterized by high volatility: above this resistance level lies a zone of dense liquidity and sell orders, making this area key for determining the future vector of the USD/JPY pair. The technical picture suggests two likely scenarios. In the event of a false breakout of the 155.22 level, where the price only briefly moves higher and quickly returns, profit-taking may begin. This would trigger a decline in quotes toward the dynamic EMA lines or even deeper support at the 154.00 level. However, if buyers manage to overcome the resistance with strong momentum and consolidate above it, it will open the path for the pair toward the next target at 155.64.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 154.00
• Res: 155.22
• Note: Looking for intraday sales from the 155.22 resistance level, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for buy deals.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indicadores técnicos do par de moedas:

• Anterior Abrir: 5110
• Anterior Fechar: 5227
• % de mudança no último dia: +2.28 %

On February 24, gold shifted into a correction, declining by 1% to the $5,170 per ounce level. After a four-day rally, investors began to take profits, assessing the new reality of US trade policy. Today, the 10% global tariff introduced by Donald Trump in response to the Supreme Court’s ruling, which last week declared his previous “reciprocal” duties unlawful, officially came into effect. Despite legal hurdles, the White House is showing resolve: the President has already announced an increase in the rate to 15% under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which is the maximum allowable limit for this article. The Gold market remains in a state of high volatility due to uncertainty surrounding international trade alliances. Trump’s warning to countries that “play games” with current agreements has already sparked a reaction: the European Union has frozen the ratification of its trade agreement, and India has officially postponed negotiations. These frictions provide long-term support for the precious metal.

Recomendações de negociação

• Níveis de suporte: 5119, 5060, 5038, 4960, 4907, 4842
• Níveis de resistência: 5242, 5450

Gold encountered a major obstacle at the $5,242 per ounce level, which became a point of local market overheating. After reaching this historic high, investors began actively taking profits on long positions, triggering a technical correction. Under current conditions, the downward movement is viewed as a temporary pullback, and the nearest significant target for the decline is the 5119 support level. From an intraday trading perspective, conditions are now forming to search for short-term sell trades. However, such positions require reduced risk and profit-taking at the nearest targets. For buyers, the key moment will be the price behavior near the 5119 level.

Cenário alternativo:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 5119
• Res: 5242
• Note: Intraday, we are considering sales with a target down to 5119. For buy deals, evaluating the price reaction to the 5119 support level.