ภาพรวมการวิเคราะห์ของคู่สกุลเงินหลัก 2025.07.01

The EUR/USD currency pair

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 1.1729
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 1.1789
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.49 %

In Europe, investors assessed a wave of inflation data from the region’s largest economies and its implications for the ECB’s policy stance. Consumer price inflation in Germany unexpectedly fell to 2.0% in June from 2.1% in May, returning to the ECB’s target level for the first time since October 2024 and defying expectations of a rise to 2.2%. In contrast, inflation in France, Italy, and Spain rose slightly, although it remained relatively weak. Cautious sentiment is exacerbated by a sharp decline in retail sales in Germany. Despite mixed signals, money markets continue to estimate the ECB’s terminal rate in the range of 1.75%–1.80%.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 1.1748, 1.1709, 1.1666, 1.1642, 1.1581, 1.1518
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 1.1913

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bullish. The euro continues to rally. The price has the potential to reach 1.1913, so any pullback should be used to join the uptrend. For buy deals, consider the EMA lines or the support level of 1.1748, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for sell deals.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.1589 and consolidates below it, the downward trend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 1.3703
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 1.3732
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.21 %

The British pound is holding steady at around $1.371, its highest level since October 2021, amid the entry into force of a new trade agreement between the UK and the US. The agreement reduces tariffs on British car exports from 27.5% to 10% and eliminates duties on aerospace goods such as engines and aircraft parts. However, the basic 10% tariff on cars remains in place. The pound continues to benefit from the Bank of England’s reluctance to cut interest rates compared to its counterparts, such as the ECB, as inflation in the UK remains stable.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 1.3675, 1.3652, 1.3591, 1.3509, 1.3471, 1.3450, 1.3388
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 1.3748, 1.4000

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is bullish. A so-called SMT divergence has formed between the EUR and GBP (when one instrument updates its extreme, but the other does not), which usually leads to a corrective movement. However, given the four-day accumulation of GBP, a sharp decline is not expected. It is best to focus on buying in continuation of the upward trend. It is best to consider the EMA lines or the support level of 1.3675. There are no optimal entry points for selling at this time.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.3470 and consolidates below it, the downward trend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 144.33
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 144.04
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: -0.20 %

On Tuesday, the Japanese yen rose to 143.5 per US dollar, reaching its highest level in two weeks, even amid heightened tensions in trade relations with the US. President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on Japan, criticizing the country’s unwillingness to import American rice, and confirmed that the 25% tariff on Japanese car imports would remain in place due to the continuing trade imbalance. On the domestic front, the latest Japanese Tankan survey showed an unexpected rise in business sentiment among large manufacturers in the second quarter, indicating resilience amid growing external pressure.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 143.64, 143.37
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 144.96, 145.95, 146.62, 148.28

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bearish. The situation has not changed significantly compared to Friday and Monday. After a slight correction amid profit-taking, the price continued to decline. Currently, the price is trying to test liquidity below 143.47. Sell trades should be considered from the EMA line or from the resistance level of 143.93. There are no optimal entry points for buy deals at the moment.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 145.95 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 3281
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 3302
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.64 %

On Tuesday, gold rose to around $3320 per ounce, continuing the growth that began in the previous session amid a weakening US dollar. The dollar fell amid concerns about the growing US budget deficit, while investors watched the Senate’s progress on a massive tax cut and spending bill. Uncertainty surrounding trade agreements with major countries also supported gold. President Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Japan, just a week before the July 9 deadline for higher tariffs. In addition, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve at the end of this year continued to boost gold’s appeal.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 3301, 3274, 3246
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 3336, 3350, 3357, 3393, 3405, 3444, 3500

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is downward, but close to changing. On Monday, the price consolidated above the resistance level of 3301, which opened the way for the price to 3335 and 3350. For sell deals, it is best to consider the priority change level of 3350, but only with confirmation. For buy deals, it is best to wait for a pullback, as the price has deviated significantly from the EMA lines. The support level of 3301 is the most likely scenario for the correction to end.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

if the price breaks through and consolidates above the resistance level of 3350, the upward trend will likely resume.