ภาพรวมการวิเคราะห์ของคู่สกุลเงินหลัก 2026.02.26

The EUR/USD currency pair

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 1.1773
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 1.1810
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.31%

Inflation in the Eurozone slowed to 1.7% in January 2026, reaching its lowest level in a year and a half. The primary drivers of disinflation were a sharp drop in energy prices (-4.0%) and a strengthening euro, which reduced import costs. Core inflation also declined to 2.2% (the lowest since 2021), increasing pressure on the ECB to pursue more decisive monetary easing. While the slowdown in the services sector (to 3.2%) provides grounds for rate cuts, rising food prices (+4.2%) and German economic resilience are causing “hawks” on the ECB Council to remain cautious.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 1.1802, 1.1776, 1.1742, 1.1726
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 1.1835, 1.1850, 1.1894, 1.1955, 1.2050, 1.3000

Yesterday’s breakout and consolidation above 1.1802 confirmed a local advantage for buyers, and the EUR/USD pair has now moved close to the key resistance range of 1.1835-1.1850. This area will be decisive for short-term dynamics, as major sell volumes are concentrated here. An impulsive breakout above 1.1850 would confirm the strength of the bullish momentum, targeting 1.1894. However, if sellers show activity and defend their positions in the 1.1835-1.1850 zone by forming a reversal pattern, conditions will arise for counter-trend intraday short sales.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1802
• Res: 1.1835
• Note: Intraday, looking for buy trades up to 1.1835-1.1850. Beyond that, evaluate the price reaction to the range.

The GBP/USD currency pair

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 1.3491
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 1.3558
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.49 %

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has suggested a rate cut could occur as early as March, despite “sticky” inflation. This has bolstered dovish sentiment following the recent committee split (5-4), and markets now price in a high probability of a cut on March 19. In the US, the situation differs: the Fed does not plan to cut rates at its next meeting. While BoE expectations have shifted toward spring, the market is pricing in only a moderate 50-basis-point easing from the Fed by the end of 2026. This could pressure the British currency in the medium term.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 1.3535, 1.3479, 1.3426, 1.3401, 1.3381, 1.3292
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 1.3582, 1.3606

The British pound has impulsively consolidated above 1.3535. Currently, this level has flipped from resistance to a key mirror support, making it the most attractive point for seeking long positions during a corrective pullback. EMA moving averages will also act as dynamic support levels. The immediate target for buyers is 1.3582, where the first wave of profit-taking may occur. However, the primary area of interest for sellers is the 1.3582-1.3606 zone, as significant supply levels are concentrated here, capable of halting the current rally.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3535
• Res: 1.3582
• Note: Intraday, looking for buy trades from the EMA lines or the 1.3535 support level. Next, assess the price reaction to the 1.3582-1.3606 range.

 

The USD/JPY currency pair

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 155.86
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 156.35
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.31 %

On Thursday, the yen strengthened above the 156 level against the dollar, breaking a two-day decline. The move was driven by hawkish comments from Hajime Takata, the most aggressive member of the BoJ board, who called for further rate hikes and stated that the price stability target is nearly achieved. Governor Kazuo Ueda supported this stance, confirming the regulator might consider policy adjustments as early as March or April. Despite this local strengthening, the situation remains ambiguous due to political pressure. The appointment of two reflationists to the board and open criticism of rate hikes from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi provide a counterweight to the “hawks.”

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 155.78, 155.34, 154.86, 154.00, 152.61
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 156.53, 157.37

The yen is trading near the EMA lines exactly at the 155.78 support level. It is critical for buyers to hold this level; as long as the price stays above it, the chance of a resumed move toward 157.45 remains. However, a confident consolidation below this mark would confirm a shift in the local trend to bearish. Under these conditions, intraday buys from 155.78 can be considered with confirmation and short targets. If the 155.78 support is broken, the downward target becomes 155.34, which has previously acted as an active buying zone.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 155.78
• Res: 156.53
• Note: Looking for intraday buys from the 155.78 support level with confirmation. Sell trades are appropriate only after a breakout below 155.78.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

ตัวชี้วัดทางเทคนิคของคู่สกุลเงิน:

• ก่อนหน้า เปิด: 5142
• ก่อนหน้า ปิด: 5169
• % เปลี่ยนในช่วงวันสุดท้าย: +0.52 %

On Thursday, gold is holding above $5,180 per ounce, balancing near four-week highs. Investors are nervously watching Geneva, where the decisive third round of nuclear talks between the US and Iran is taking place amid an unprecedented US military buildup in the region. Although Tehran signals a readiness to compromise on uranium enrichment, new Washington sanctions against Iranian exports maintain a high “risk premium” in the metal’s price. However, gold “bulls” face headwinds from the Fed: due to persistent inflation, markets have pushed rate cut expectations to September, keeping yields on dollar assets high and limiting the precious metal’s upside potential.

คำแนะนำการซื้อขาย

• ระดับแนวรับ: 5151, 5094, 5060, 5038, 4960, 4907, 4842
• ระดับแนวต้าน: 5205, 5247, 5450

Gold is trading in a volatile sideways range of 5151-5205 per ounce on Thursday, reflecting extreme investor caution ahead of the Geneva talks. The 5205 level acts as both a technical and psychological barrier. An impulsive breakout above 5205 and consolidation would signal a transition to aggressive growth, with a target of 5247. This scenario is most likely if negative headlines emerge from Switzerland or if new US sanctions are reported against the Iranian energy sector, increasing capital flight into safe-haven assets.

สถานการณ์ของทางเลือก:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 5151
• Res: 5205
• Note: Intraday, considering sales from the 5205 level with a target down to 5151. An impulsive breakout of 5205 will open the path to 5247.