The EUR/USD currency pair
āļāļąāļ§āļāļĩāđāļ§āļąāļāļāļēāļāđāļāļāļāļīāļāļāļāļāļāļđāđāļŠāļāļļāļĨāđāļāļīāļ:
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āđāļāļīāļ: 1.1738
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āļāļīāļ: 1.1788
- % āđāļāļĨāļĩāđāļĒāļāđāļāļāđāļ§āļāļ§āļąāļāļŠāļļāļāļāđāļēāļĒ: +0.42%
On Monday, the euro showed relative stability, consolidating near the 1.18âdollar mark. The currency is trading only slightly below the peak levels reached last week before the latest escalation. The market remains in a state of uncertainty due to the approaching deadline: the 14âday ceasefire between the US and Iran is about to expire, and there is still no clarity regarding new highâlevel meetings. Although no rate change is expected at the upcoming April ECB meeting, the focus has shifted to June. An important signal came from Fridayâs IMF statement, according to which the regulator may need to raise rates by around 50 basis points during 2026 to maintain a neutral stance.
āļāļģāđāļāļ°āļāļģāļāļēāļĢāļāļ·āđāļāļāļēāļĒ
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļĢāļąāļ: 1.1729, 1.1643, 1.1605
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļāđāļēāļ: 1.1791, 1.1823, 1.1849, 1.1894
The euro has reached the resistance level of 1.1791, where price action must be evaluated. A breakout and consolidation above this level will open the way toward 1.1823. If sellers show initiative at 1.1791, intraday short trades may be considered with the target of revisiting Mondayâs low, where liquidity is concentrated.
āļŠāļāļēāļāļāļēāļĢāļāđāļāļāļāļāļēāļāđāļĨāļ·āļāļ:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.1729
- Res: 1.1791
- Note: Intraday short trades may be considered from 1.1791 with confirmation. Long trades are considered after consolidation above 1.1791 with a target of 1.1823.
āļāļĩāļāļāđāļēāļ§āļŠāļēāļĢāļŠāļģāļŦāļĢāļąāļ: 2026.04.21
- Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+3) – EUR (LOW)
- US Retail Sales (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
- US Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies at 17:00 (GMT+3) – USD (HIGH)
- US Pending Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
The GBP/USD currency pair
āļāļąāļ§āļāļĩāđāļ§āļąāļāļāļēāļāđāļāļāļāļīāļāļāļāļāļāļđāđāļŠāļāļļāļĨāđāļāļīāļ:
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āđāļāļīāļ: 1.3479
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āļāļīāļ: 1.3533
- % āđāļāļĨāļĩāđāļĒāļāđāļāļāđāļ§āļāļ§āļąāļāļŠāļļāļāļāđāļēāļĒ: +0.40%
The British pound fell to 1.3503 dollars, coming under strong pressure from the strengthening US dollar. The main driver of market dynamics was the sharp return of investors to safeâhaven assets after the sudden breakdown of the Middle East ceasefire, which instantly pushed Brent and WTI oil prices up by 6%. This energy shock forced the market to revise expectations for UK monetary policy. Traders added six basis points to Bank of England rate expectations, although the market currently sees only one rate hike as fully priced in for this year. Investors fear that the sharp rise in imported energy prices, combined with existing domestic inflationary pressure, could push the UK economy into stagflation â high inflation alongside slowing growth. Today, important laborâmarket data will be released. If the data indicate a slowdown, the pound may come under additional pressure.
āļāļģāđāļāļ°āļāļģāļāļēāļĢāļāļ·āđāļāļāļēāļĒ
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļĢāļąāļ: 1.3505, 1.3478, 1.3445, 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļāđāļēāļ: 1.3541, 1.3590, 1.3631
The British pound is consolidating in the 1.3505-1.3541 range. The price is currently moving toward the lower boundary at 1.3505, where price action must be evaluated. However, the intraday bias remains bearish, so short trades remain a priority. Under such market conditions, long trades should be considered only after consolidation above 1.3541 with a target of 1.3590. Short trades may be considered from 1.3541 or after a breakout below 1.3505 with a target of 1.3474.
āļŠāļāļēāļāļāļēāļĢāļāđāļāļāļāļāļēāļāđāļĨāļ·āļāļ:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.3505
- Res: 1.3541
- Note: Long trades should be considered after consolidation above 1.3541 with a target of 1.3590. Short trades may be considered from 1.3541 or after a breakout below 1.3505 with a target of 1.3474.
āļāļĩāļāļāđāļēāļ§āļŠāļēāļĢāļŠāļģāļŦāļĢāļąāļ: 2026.04.21
- UK Claimant Count Change (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3) – GBP (MED)
- UK Average Earnings Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3) – GBP (MED)
- UK Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3) – GBP (MED)
The USD/JPY currency pair
āļāļąāļ§āļāļĩāđāļ§āļąāļāļāļēāļāđāļāļāļāļīāļāļāļāļāļāļđāđāļŠāļāļļāļĨāđāļāļīāļ:
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āđāļāļīāļ: 158.75
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āļāļīāļ: 158.76
- % āđāļāļĨāļĩāđāļĒāļāđāļāļāđāļ§āļāļ§āļąāļāļŠāļļāļāļāđāļēāļĒ: +0.01%
On Tuesday, the Japanese yen held near 159 per dollar, remaining in a state of uncertainty due to the Bank of Japanâs cautious stance. The regulator is expected to keep the interest rate at 0.75% at the upcoming meeting, aiming to assess the impact of the Middle East conflict on the domestic economy before signaling policy normalization in June. However, the Bank of Japan will likely be forced to officially raise its inflation expectations and lower GDPâgrowth expectations, reflecting the negative impact of high imported energy prices amid the ongoing war.
āļāļģāđāļāļ°āļāļģāļāļēāļĢāļāļ·āđāļāļāļēāļĒ
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļĢāļąāļ: 158.27, 157.59
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļāđāļēāļ: 159.15, 159.46, 159.97
On intraday timeframes, the yen has formed a seller trap, which is a pattern for upward movement. Technically, the picture has not changed compared to yesterday. Long trades are appropriate from the EMA lines with targets at 159.15 or 159.46. For selling, evaluate price reaction at 159.15 or 159.46 with confirmation.
āļŠāļāļēāļāļāļēāļĢāļāđāļāļāļāļāļēāļāđāļĨāļ·āļāļ:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 158.27
- Res: 159.15
- Note: Long trades are appropriate from the EMA lines with targets at 159.15 or 159.46. For selling, evaluate the reaction at 159.15 or 159.46 with confirmation.
āđāļĄāđāļĄāļĩāļāđāļēāļ§āļŠāļēāļĢāļŠāļģāļŦāļĢāļąāļāļ§āļąāļāļāļĩāđ
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
āļāļąāļ§āļāļĩāđāļ§āļąāļāļāļēāļāđāļāļāļāļīāļāļāļāļāļāļđāđāļŠāļāļļāļĨāđāļāļīāļ:
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āđāļāļīāļ: 4783
- āļāđāļāļāļŦāļāđāļē āļāļīāļ: 4820
- % āđāļāļĨāļĩāđāļĒāļāđāļāļāđāļ§āļāļ§āļąāļāļŠāļļāļāļāđāļēāļĒ: +0.77%
On Tuesday, gold prices consolidated below the psychological level of 4,800 dollars per ounce, remaining under pressure due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the diplomatic process. Investors are extremely cautious ahead of the second round of negotiations in Pakistan, where the US delegation will again be led by Vice President J.D. Vance. Despite the initial refusal, Iran is reportedly preparing to send representatives, giving markets a faint hope for deâescalation before the twoâweek ceasefire expires.
āļāļģāđāļāļ°āļāļģāļāļēāļĢāļāļ·āđāļāļāļēāļĒ
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļĢāļąāļ: 4780, 4750, 4700, 4608
- āļĢāļ°āļāļąāļāđāļāļ§āļāđāļēāļ: 4825, 4857, 4900, 4963
Gold declined after testing the intraday liquidity level of 4825 and is now trading near another intraday level at 4780, where price action must be evaluated. If buyers show initiative here, intraday long trades may be considered from 4780 with a target of 4825. A breakout and consolidation below 4780 will open the way toward 4750.
āļŠāļāļēāļāļāļēāļĢāļāđāļāļāļāļāļēāļāđāļĨāļ·āļāļ:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 4750
- Res: 4825
- Note: Intraday long trades may be considered from 4780 with confirmation and a target of 4825. A breakout and consolidation below 4780 will open the way toward 4750.
āļāļĩāļāļāđāļēāļ§āļŠāļēāļĢāļŠāļģāļŦāļĢāļąāļ: 2026.04.21
- US Retail Sales (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
- US Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies at 17:00 (GMT+3) – USD (HIGH)
- US Pending Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3) – USD (ME
āļāļāļāļ§āļēāļĄāļāļĩāđāļŠāļ°āļāđāļāļāļāļķāļāļāļ§āļēāļĄāļāļīāļāđāļŦāđāļāļŠāđāļ§āļāļāļąāļ§ āđāļĨāļ°āđāļĄāđāļāļ§āļĢāļāļĩāļāļ§āļēāļĄāļ§āđāļēāđāļāđāļāļāļģāđāļāļ°āļāļģāđāļāļāļēāļĢāļĨāļāļāļļāļ āđāļĨāļ°/āļŦāļĢāļ·āļāļāđāļāđāļŠāļāļ āđāļĨāļ°/āļŦāļĢāļ·āļāļāļēāļĢāļĢāđāļāļāļāļāļāļĒāđāļēāļāļāđāļāđāļāļ·āđāļāļāđāļāļāļēāļĢāļāļģāļāļļāļĢāļāļĢāļĢāļĄāļāļēāļāļāļēāļĢāđāļāļīāļ āđāļĨāļ°/āļŦāļĢāļ·āļāļāļēāļĢāļĢāļąāļāļāļĢāļ°āļāļąāļ āđāļĨāļ°/āļŦāļĢāļ·āļāļāļēāļĢāļāļēāļāļāļēāļĢāļāđāđāļŦāļāļļāļāļēāļĢāļāđāđāļāļāļāļēāļāļ