The EUR/USD currency pair
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 1.1745
- Öncekini Kapat: 1.1740
- Son güne göre % değişim: -0.04%
The euro weakened yesterday after November inflation in the Eurozone was revised downward, and labor cost growth in the third quarter was at its lowest in three years, reinforcing “dovish” expectations regarding ECB policy. An additional negative factor was the unexpected decline in Germany’s IFO Business Climate Index for December to a seven-month low, which dampened evaluations of the region’s economic prospects. However, the euro continues to receive structural support from monetary policy divergence: the Fed is expected to continue cutting rates in 2026, while the market believes the ECB has completed its easing cycle.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 1.1725, 1.1680, 1.1656, 1.1590, 1.1555, 1.1503
- Direnç seviyeleri: 1.1764, 1.1786
A locked balance has formed on the euro below the 1.1725 level. This level can now be used for buy entries. The profit target is 1.1764 and higher. There are currently no optimal entry points for selling.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Up
- Sup: 1.1725
- Res: 1.1764
- Note: Considering buys from the 1.1725 support, but with confirmation. The profit target is 1.1764.
Haber akışı: 2025.12.18
- Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision at 15:15 (GMT+2); – EUR, DE40 (HIGH)
- Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Statement at 15:15 (GMT+2); – EUR, DE40 (HIGH)
- US Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU, US Indices (HIGH)
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- Eurozone ECB Press Conference at 15:45 (GMT+2). – EUR, DE40 (MED)
The GBP/USD currency pair
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 1.3420
- Öncekini Kapat: 1.3375
- Son güne göre % değişim: -0.34 %
The British pound fell sharply to around $1.33 after UK inflation data came in significantly lower than expected, increasing market bets that the Bank of England will cut interest rates on Thursday. Annual inflation in November slowed to 3.2%, below the 3.5% prognoses and the central bank’s own projection of 3.4%. Earlier this week, labor market data showed the unemployment rate rose to its highest level since 2021, while wage growth slowed, albeit less than expected. Against this backdrop, the Bank of England is widely expected to resume its monetary policy easing cycle. Markets are now pricing in 66 basis points of easing in 2026, compared to 58 basis points prior to the CPI publication.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 1.3355, 1.3354, 1.3292, 1.3268, 1.3156, 1.3111
- Direnç seviyeleri: 1.3400, 1.3454
Yesterday, the British pound dropped sharply below 1.3355. Although buyers quickly bought the price back up, this seller initiative has shaken the bullish trend outlook. Today, we are assessing the price reaction to the 1.3355 level. A break and hold below this level could trigger a sell-off to 1.3292. If buyers respond at 1.3355, intraday buy trades can be sought up to 1.3400. It is better to refrain from positions until the Bank of England’s decision.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.3355
- Res: 1.3400
- Note: Buy trades can be sought from 1.3355, but with confirmation. Holding below this level will trigger a sell-off.
Haber akışı: 2025.12.18
- UK BoE Interest Rate Decision at 14:00 (GMT+2); – GBP, UK100 (HIGH)
- UK BoE Monetary Policy Statement at 14:00 (GMT+2). – GBP, UK100 (HIGH)
The USD/JPY currency pair
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 154.69
- Öncekini Kapat: 155.68
- Son güne göre % değişim: +0.64 %
The Japanese yen weakened to 156 per dollar, continuing its decline amid concerns over Japan’s deteriorating fiscal outlook after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi confirmed plans for active budget stimulus, increasing pressure on public finances. Additional market attention is focused on the start of the Bank of Japan’s two-day meeting, from which a 25 basis point rate hike to 0.75% is expected due to inflation remaining above the target level. A key factor will be Governor Kazuo Ueda’s rhetoric and signals regarding the possibility of further policy tightening up to 1% by July.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 155.39, 154.92, 154.41, 154.17
- Direnç seviyeleri: 156.10, 156.57, 157.11
The Japanese currency has established itself above 155.39 and is currently aiming for a liquidity test above 156.10. Intraday buy trades can be sought from the EMA lines, but with confirmation. For sell deals, we assess the price reaction at 156.10. If sellers are active there, sell positions can be considered with a tight stop-loss.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 155.39
- Res: 156.10
- Note: Considering intraday buy trades from EMA lines up to the 156.10 level.
Bugün için haber yok
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 4302
- Öncekini Kapat: 4338
- Son güne göre % değişim: +0.83%
Gold is trading near its record highs from October, as expectations of further monetary policy easing in the US and persistent geopolitical risks continue to support demand for the metal. Fed Governor Christopher Waller spoke in favor of additional rate cuts, while noting that the regulator may act gradually. His comments followed weak US labor market data, which indicated a further cooling of the economy: the unemployment rate reached a four-year high, and employment growth in November failed to offset the sharp slowdown seen in October. Investors’ attention is now focused on the delayed publication of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, while escalating geopolitical tensions continue to bolster gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 4293, 4263, 4246, 4205
- Direnç seviyeleri: 4350, 4379
Gold has nearly reached the upper boundary of the broad sideways range at 4350. The medium-term target for gold remains the resistance level of 4379. However, as the price is currently positioned right before a resistance level, buy trades are best considered only after the price consolidates above 4350. There are currently no optimal entry points for selling, as there is neither divergence on the indicators nor any signs of seller initiative.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Up
- Sup: 4292
- Res: 4350
- Note: Waiting for a breakout above the 4350 resistance level to look for buy trades. No optimal entry points for selling at this time.
Haber akışı: 2025.12.18
- US Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU, US Indices (HIGH)
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2). – USD (MED)
Bu makale kişisel bir görüşü yansıtmaktadır ve yatırım tavsiyesi ve/veya teklifi ve/veya finansal işlemlerin gerçekleştirilmesi için ısrarlı bir talep ve/veya bir garanti ve/veya gelecekteki olaylara ilişkin bir tahmin olarak yorumlanmamalıdır.
