The EUR/USD currency pair
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 1.1623
- Öncekini Kapat: 1.1624
- Son güne göre % değişim: +0.01%
The euro held near 1.164 dollars, hovering close to a six‑week low. The dynamics of the single currency are driven by the clash of two opposing factors: geopolitical relaxation in the Middle East and the internal ECB debate regarding the size of the next rate hike. Easing tensions in the energy market forced investors to reassess their “hawkish” expectations. Money markets now expect that by December, the ECB deposit rate will reach 2.6% (a week earlier, the expectation was 2.75%). The probability of a rate hike at the June meeting has fallen to 80%. Despite the overall softening of market expectations, ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel took a hard stance. She emphasized that the regulator must raise the rate in June in any case, as the scale and duration of the previous energy shock have already caused long‑term damage to the Eurozone economy.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 1.1583, 1.1547
- Direnç seviyeleri: 1.1617, 1.1657, 1.1659, 1.1681, 1.1696, 1.1722
Technically, the euro consolidated below 1.1617 and is now on its way to testing liquidity below 1.1583. The intraday bias favors sellers, but the price has deviated significantly from the average lines. Under such market conditions, short positions are best considered from 1.1617 or from the EMA lines. For long positions, we evaluate the price reaction to the support level at 1.1583.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.1583
- Res: 1.1617
- Note: Short positions are best considered from 1.1617 or from the EMA lines. For long positions, evaluate the reaction to the support level at 1.1583.
Haber akışı: 2026.05.28
- Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 10:20 (GMT+3) – EUR (LOW)
- Eurozone ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts at 14:30 (GMT+3) – EUR (LOW)
- US Core PCE Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (HIGH)
- US Durable Goods Orders (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
- US New Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
The GBP/USD currency pair
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 1.3441
- Öncekini Kapat: 1.3426
- Son güne göre % değişim: -0.12%
The British pound showed relative stability, settling at 1.344 dollars. The FX market entered a consolidation phase, as the British currency became trapped between geopolitical optimism and “dovish” signals from the domestic bond market. Against the backdrop of recent weak macroeconomic data from the UK, traders sharply revised their monetary policy expectations. Outlooks for rate hikes by the end of 2026 have shrunk to just 40 basis points, while the probability of tightening at the June meeting has fallen to a symbolic 50%.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 1.3381, 1.3300, 1.3252
- Direnç seviyeleri: 1.3421, 1.3457, 1.3475, 1.3491, 1.3550, 1.3596
The pound tested liquidity below 1.3380, after which buyers showed initiative. The bias remains with sellers, but given such a reaction to the level, the price may correct toward 1.3421 or the EMA lines. Under such market conditions, short positions are best considered from 1.3421 or from the EMA lines. For long positions, evaluate the reaction to a repeated test of 1.3380.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.3380
- Res: 1.3421
- Note: Short positions are best considered from 1.3421 or from the EMA lines. For long positions, evaluate the reaction to a repeated test of 1.3380.
Bugün için haber yok
The USD/JPY currency pair
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 159.28
- Öncekini Kapat: 159.50
- Son güne göre % değişim: +0.14%
The Japanese yen weakened to 159.5 per dollar, hitting a four‑week low and approaching the critical psychological level of 160. Traders are awaiting Friday’s official statistics from Japan’s Ministry of Finance, which should reveal the scale of recent FX interventions: according to analysts, Tokyo may have spent up to 10 trillion yen on direct support of the national currency. Pressure on the yen is intensified by the cautious stance of BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, who, despite warnings about inflationary risks from high oil prices, again avoided specifics regarding a rate hike at the June meeting.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 159.14, 158.65, 158.28, 158.00, 157.33, 156.98
- Direnç seviyeleri: 159.86
The Japanese yen continues to weaken against the dollar. Technically, the nearest resistance level at 159.86 may be reached by the end of the week. The intraday bias remains with buyers, but extreme caution is warranted, as the price is trading near levels where FX interventions were previously conducted to support the currency. Under such market conditions, long positions are considered from the EMA lines with a target of 159.86 and tight stops. For short positions, we wait for a reaction at the indicated level.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Uptrend
- Sup: 159.14
- Res: 159.86
- Note: Long positions are appropriate from 159.14 or from the EMA lines with a target of 159.86. There are no optimal entry points for short positions at the moment.
Bugün için haber yok
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:
- Öncekini Aç: 4512
- Öncekini Kapat: 4456
- Son güne göre % değişim: -1.25%
Gold prices accelerated their decline. The trigger for a new wave of sell‑offs was reports of another US strike on a military facility in Iran, which sharply reduced the chances of a diplomatic compromise and brought back fears of a prolonged inflationary shock. Hopes for a quick ceasefire are fading due to the hardline positions of both sides: Tehran demands the lifting of financial sanctions, insists on control over the Strait of Hormuz and continuation of its nuclear program, while President Donald Trump flatly refused to ease restrictions, stating that the US will not agree to a “bad deal.” The paradox of a safe‑haven asset falling amid a geopolitical crisis is explained by monetary factors: investors understand that even in the event of hypothetical progress in negotiations, high energy prices will continue to fuel global inflation. This forces major central banks to abandon plans for lowering borrowing costs and prepare to keep interest rates at peak levels for much longer, depriving the zero‑yield metal of investment appeal.
İşlem önerileri
- Destek seviyeleri: 4350, 4304
- Direnç seviyeleri: 4466, 4498, 4545, 4581, 4616, 4648, 4707
Gold is under selling pressure. Technically, the price is heading toward a liquidity test below 4351. The intraday bias favors sellers, so the most appropriate strategy today is to look for short positions from the EMA lines. For long positions, evaluate the price reaction to the support level at 4351, but with confirmation. MACD divergence indicates weakening downward momentum.
Alternatif senaryo:- Trend: Downtrend
- Sup: 4351
- Res: 4466
- Note: Short positions are considered intraday from the EMA lines with the goal of testing liquidity below 4351. For long positions, evaluate the reaction to the support level at 4351, but with confirmation.
Haber akışı: 2026.05.28
- US Core PCE Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (HIGH)
- US Durable Goods Orders (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
- US New Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3) – USD (MED)
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