Tổng quan phân tích về Các cặp tiền tệ chính trên 2026.05.12

The EUR/USD currency pair

Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:

• Mở trước đó: 1.1747
• Đóng trước đó: 1.1783
• % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: +0.30%

The euro held above 1.175 dollars, remaining near its highest level in the past three weeks. The European currency was supported by rising ECB rate expectations after another surge in oil prices. Brent exceeded 105 dollars per barrel after US President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal, calling it “completely unacceptable.” Against this backdrop, money markets continue to price in at least two ECB rate hikes by the end of the year, with the probability of the first step in June estimated at more than 78%. ECB President Christine Lagarde again emphasized on Friday that the regulator is ready to act promptly if necessary, noting that the eurozone economy is currently in a more resilient position than before the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Khuyến nghị giao dịch

• Mức hỗ trợ: 1.1748, 1.1724, 1.1695, 1.1559, 1.1605
• Mức kháng cự: 1.1771, 1.1791, 1.1823, 1.1849, 1.1894

The situation has hardly changed compared to yesterday. The euro continues to trade in a wide range of 1.1748-1.1788. At the moment, the price is again trapped between 1.1748 and 1.1771. It is important for buyers to hold 1.1748; otherwise, a breakout of this level will open the way toward 1.1724. For selling, evaluate price reaction at 1.1771 and 1.1791.

Kịch bản thay thế:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1748
• Res: 1.1771
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.1748 with a target of 1.1771 and higher, but with confirmation. An impulsive breakout of 1.1748 may lead to a decline toward 1.1724.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:

• Mở trước đó: 1.3557
• Đóng trước đó: 1.3609
• % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: +0.38%

The yield on 10‑year UK government bonds rose to 5% amid increasing political uncertainty in the country and the ongoing deadlock in negotiations between the US and Iran, which continues to support high oil prices and intensify inflation concerns. Prime Minister Keir Starmer attempted to calm internal party criticism after the Labour Party’s weak performance in local elections, but his speech contained no new policy initiatives. Market attention is now focused on whether internal dissatisfaction will escalate into a leadership challenge. Starmer stated that he intends to resist any attempts to remove him and does not plan to resign.

Khuyến nghị giao dịch

• Mức hỗ trợ: 1.3553, 1.3514, 1.3463, 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3252
• Mức kháng cự: 1.3606, 1.3637, 1.3670

The situation in the British pound is similar to euro. The pound is also forming a wide, volatile flat accumulation. At the moment, the price is trading in the 1.3553-1.3606 range. It is very important for buyers to hold the support level of 1.3553; otherwise, the price may fall to 1.3514. For selling, evaluate price reaction at resistance levels 1.3606 or 1.3637.

Kịch bản thay thế:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3553
• Res: 1.3600
• Note: Long positions may be considered from 1.3553 with a target of 1.3600 and higher. For selling, evaluate the price reaction at 1.3600.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:

• Mở trước đó: 156.50
• Đóng trước đó: 157.15
• % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: +0.41%

On Tuesday, the Japanese yen continued to decline for the second session in a row, weakening to around 157.5 per dollar amid a strengthening US currency. Pressure on the yen increased after US President Donald Trump questioned the stability of the ceasefire between the US and Iran and rejected Tehran’s latest peace proposal, which again heightened market concerns about inflation and rising energy prices. Markets are also continuing to discuss possible currency interventions by Tokyo.

Khuyến nghị giao dịch

• Mức hỗ trợ: 157.01, 156.06, 155.49, 154.86
• Mức kháng cự: 157.75, 158.55

The Japanese yen reached the resistance level of 157.75, where authorities previously intervened. Another intervention is not ruled out, so it is very important to watch the price reaction at 157.75. In case of a sharp rejection, the price may quickly correct to 156.98 or even 156.46. Long positions are possible only after the price consolidates above 158.

Kịch bản thay thế:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 157.00
• Res: 157.75
• Note: Short positions may be considered from 157.75 if sellers show a reaction. Long positions are possible after the price consolidates above 158.00.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Các chỉ báo kỹ thuật của cặp tiền tệ:

• Mở trước đó: 4697
• Đóng trước đó: 4735
• % thay đổi 24 giờ qua: +0.81%

On Monday, gold prices rose to 4730 dollars per ounce, fully recovering the morning decline and reaching their highest level in nearly three weeks amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding negotiations between the US and Iran. Additional support for gold came from heightened geopolitical risks after US President Donald Trump sharply rejected Iran’s response to the proposed peace plan, calling it “completely unacceptable.” This increased concerns about a possible resumption of the conflict, especially after new strikes in the Middle East over the weekend, which threatened the fragile ceasefire in place since early April.

Khuyến nghị giao dịch

• Mức hỗ trợ: 4679, 4660, 4611, 4554, 4518
• Mức kháng cự: 4748, 4772, 4798

Buyers showed strong initiative from the support level of 4660, after which the price surged, tested liquidity above 4748, and reached the resistance level of 4772. Then, after testing liquidity, the price impulsively closed below 4748, and now the intraday bias favors sellers. Under such market conditions, intraday short positions may be considered toward 4679, where buyers may again show initiative.

Kịch bản thay thế:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4679
• Res: 4748
• Note: Short positions from EMA lines targeting 4679. Long positions are appropriate from the 4660-4679 zone if buyers show a reaction.