主要货币对的分析概要 2025.03.28

The EUR/USD currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 1.0740
• 前一收盘价: 1.0798
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.54 %

The euro rose and approached $1.08, helped by the dollar’s weakening amid the escalating trade war. The Trump administration announced 25% tariffs on “all cars not made in the US” that will take effect on April 2 and threatened “much larger” tariffs on the EU and Canada if they coordinate efforts to counter US trade measures. In response, the European Union is expected to impose its tariffs as early as next week. The European Commission president has promised to protect EU workers, businesses, and consumers while continuing to seek a negotiated solution. The tariffs are likely to hit the European economy hard, especially Germany. Nearly a quarter of EU auto exports are sent to the US, Germany’s most important export market.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 1.0755, 1.0677, 1.0602, 1.0561, 1.0466
• 阻力价位: 1.0830, 1.0858, 1.0918, 1.0947, 1.0979

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. Yesterday, the price managed to break through the resistance level of 1.0802, which opened the way to 1.0830. Currently, the price is trading at the EMA levels. During the day, traders can look for buy deals here but also consider that the price can go down to 1.0755. The resistance level of 1.0830 would be best for selling but with confirmation.

选择场景:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.0858 and consolidates above it, the uptrend is likely to be resumed.

The GBP/USD currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 1.2875
• 前一收盘价: 1.2949
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.57 %

Today, the UK will release the GDP data for the quarter and the retail sales report for March. GDP is expected to show a modest 0.1% QoQ growth, while retail sales are expected to show a 0.3% m/m decline. If the data comes out worse than expected, Sterling may come under additional pressure. The only thing that could benefit Sterling is that the UK has avoided tariffs from the US so far. Probably because the economies are strongly linked, and the UK may respond strongly.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 1.2930, 1.2873, 1.288, 1.2933, 1.2911, 1.2866, 1.2811
• 阻力价位: 1.2974, 1.3010

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency is bullish but close to change. It took less than two trading days for sterling to trade near the priority change level again. Yesterday, buyers showed a sharp initiative from 1.2873, after which sterling rose to 1.2974 by the end of the trading day and tested liquidity at 1.2992. Here, the sellers have already shown initiative. Inside the day, the price is expected to decline to 1.2929 or even to 1.2902. These levels can be considered for buy trades, but they also require confirmation.

选择场景:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.2974 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 150.54
• 前一收盘价: 151.05
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.34 %

The Japanese yen rose to 150.7 per dollar on Friday, rebounding from a four-week low amid strong inflation data and hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan that reinforced expectations of monetary tightening. Fresh data showed Tokyo core inflation, a key gauge of the country’s price dynamics, accelerated to 2.4% in March from 2.2% in February, defeating forecasts of no change. Meanwhile, a summary of opinions from the Bank of Japan’s March meeting suggests the central bank may continue to raise interest rates if its economic and price forecasts remain on track.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 150.58, 149.51, 148.95, 148.58, 148.25
• 阻力价位: 151.32, 152.32

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The yen has almost reached the resistance level of 151.32. Currently, the price is trading on the EMA lines, near the support level of 150.58. This area can be considered for buying. Buyers need to keep the price above the trend line. A breakdown of the trend line could trigger a sharp sell-off, up to the priority change level at 149.53.

选择场景:

if the price breaks through the support level at 149.51 and consolidates below it, the downtrend is likely to be resumed.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 3019
• 前一收盘价: 3056
• 过去一天的变化%: +1.22 %

Gold jumped as high as $3,080 per ounce on Friday, setting a new record high. This was driven by risk aversion amid escalating trade tensions ahead of the introduction of additional US tariffs next week. President Donald Trump recently announced 25% tariffs on foreign-made cars and auto parts, prompting retaliatory threats from the European Union and Canada and heightening fears of a broader trade dispute and global economic slowdown. Gold also rose amid strong inflows from central banks and rising demand for ETFs.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 3057, 3037,3000, 2976, 2954, 2930, 2906, 2896, 2859, 2833
• 阻力价位: 3100

From the technical analysis point of view, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. After a four-day flat, gold consolidated higher and continued the trend. Now, the price is aiming at the psychological level of 3100. There are no counter resistances up to this level, so intraday, you should look for buying from the EMA lines or from the nearest support level of 3057. There are no optimal entry points for selling right now.

选择场景:

if the price breaks below the support level 3000, the downtrend is likely to resume.