主要货币对的分析概要 2025.09.23

The EUR/USD currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 1.1739
• 前一收盘价: 1.1802
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.53 %

The euro traded just above the $1.17 mark. Investors are awaiting the release of the flash PMI review, monetary indicators, and a series of speeches by representatives of the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve, which may determine the outlook for policy. The ECB has signaled that the cycle of rate cuts may be coming to an end, warning of persistent inflation risks related to tariffs, services, food prices, and fiscal policy. The Federal Reserve, on the other hand, cut interest rates for the first time since December and indicated that another 50 basis point cut could follow by the end of the year.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 1.1790, 1.1758, 1.1704
• 阻力价位: 1.1809, 1.1825, 1.1858

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bullish. The euro formed a locked balance below 1.1758, after which the price consolidated above 1.1789. It is important for buyers not to let the price fall below 1.1789 again, otherwise there may be a sell-off to 1.1758 or lower. Buy deals should be considered from 1.1789, but only with confirmation in the form of buyer initiative.

选择场景:

if the price breaks the support level of 1.1704 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 1.3458
• 前一收盘价: 1.3512
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.40 %

The British pound traded around $1.35, holding near a two-week low, as investors awaited the release of S&P Global’s flash PMI Index and comments from Bank of England officials. Data released last week showed that net borrowing by the public sector rose to nearly £18 billion in August, significantly exceeding market expectations of £12.5 billion. The overspending adds pressure ahead of November’s autumn budget and comes amid growing global debt concerns, which recently pushed 30-year gilt yields to record highs. The move threatens to limit the government’s ability to take further spending measures. Markets are currently expecting the next rate cut to be in 2026.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 1.3493, 1.3450, 1.3398
• 阻力价位: 1.3530, 1.3585, 1.3635, 1.3713

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is a downtrend. The British pound looks weaker than the euro, despite attempts by buyers to push up the price. Currently, the GBP price is trying to test the resistance level of 1.3530, where sellers are likely to take the initiative. This will open up opportunities for sell deals with a target of 1.3450. If the price consolidates above 1.3530, this will open the way to 1.3585.

选择场景:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 1.3635 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 147.86
• 前一收盘价: 147.68
• 过去一天的变化%: -0.12 %

On Tuesday, the yen strengthened to 147.5 per dollar, rebounding from a two-week low amid a weakening dollar as investors reassessed the outlook for Federal Reserve policy. Political uncertainty in the US also weighed on the dollar, and this week’s congressional negotiations on funding to prevent a government shutdown on September 30 heightened market jitters. In the domestic market, the Bank of Japan on Friday, as expected, left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5% for the fifth consecutive time. The Central Bank said the economy is recovering at a moderate pace but highlighted weaknesses and risks related to global trade policy.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 147.46, 147.14, 146.86
• 阻力价位: 147.80, 148.76, 148.93

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is upward. All eyes are on the 147.80 level. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, traders can expect to sell to 146.46 or 147.14. However, if buyers impulsively push the price above 147.80, another locked balance will form, opening up opportunities for buy deals to 148.18 and above.

选择场景:

if the price breaks through the support level of 146.86 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 3684
• 前一收盘价: 3747
• 过去一天的变化%: +1.71%

On Monday, gold prices rose to a record high of $3,750 per ounce due to growing expectations of further interest rate cuts in the US and sustained demand for safe-haven assets amid political uncertainty. Investors are awaiting key US PCE inflation data and Fed speeches this week for further policy signals. Markets are currently pricing in the possibility of two more 25 basis point rate cuts at the remaining Fed meetings this year, and expectations of continued monetary policy easing are contributing to a 40% rise in the price of bullion today.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 3700, 3672, 3637, 3615, 3600
• 阻力价位: 3750, 3800

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. The rally in gold continues. There are no prerequisites for selling at the moment, as there is no reaction from sellers and technical indicators show no divergence. Without the formation of a locked balance above the resistance level, a reversal of the movement is unlikely. To continue the rally, it is best to use EMA lines or support levels broken on impulse.

选择场景:

if the price breaks the support level of 3636 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.