主要货币对的分析概要 2026.01.21

The EUR/USD currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 1.1642
• 前一收盘价: 1.1724
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.70%

The euro continued to strengthen, rising above $1.17 to reach its highest level since January 6. This move was driven by stronger-than-expected economic data from Germany and persistent pressure on the US dollar due to geopolitical factors. The single currency was supported by the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, which surged to 59.6 points in January, its highest reading since July 2021 and significantly above market expectations of 50. Such data points to a notable rise in optimism regarding the German economy’s prospects for 2026, despite ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy. Meanwhile, the dollar weakened under the influence of new threats from US President Donald Trump, who reiterated the possibility of imposing 10% tariffs on goods from several European countries to pressure Denmark into selling Greenland.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 1.1697, 1.1660, 1.1645, 1.1634, 1.1618
• 阻力价位: 1.1727, 1.1765

Yesterday, the euro reached the resistance level of 1.1765, where profit-taking on previously opened long positions began. The bias on the hourly time frame remains with the buyers. Today, the focus is on the intermediate resistance level of 1.1727. An impulsive breakout of this level would open the way for the price to retest 1.1765. However, if 1.1727 is held by sellers, a corrective decline toward 1.1697 should be expected.

选择场景:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1697
• Res: 1.1727
• Note: Consider buy trades after a breakout of the 1.1727 resistance level. If no breakout occurs, expect the price to decline to 1.1697.

The GBP/USD currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 1.3411
• 前一收盘价: 1.3437
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.19 %

Investors assessed fresh UK labor market data amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. The country’s unemployment rate for the three months to November remained at 5.1%, slightly higher than market expectations. Simultaneously, annual wage growth excluding bonuses slowed to 4.5%, the weakest reading since April 2022. The pound received additional support from a weakening dollar following renewed threats from President Donald Trump to impose trade duties as world leaders gathered at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Trump stated that Europe is unlikely to “resist too much,” warning again of potential tariffs against eight European countries if the US is refused the “purchase” of Greenland. Any escalation in the trade conflict could be particularly painful for the UK and Germany, as they are the most vulnerable European exporters to the American market.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 1.3426, 1.3411, 1.3389
• 阻力价位: 1.3456, 1.3486, 1.3503, 1.3526, 1.3586

The British pound, like the euro, rose sharply yesterday, strengthening to 1.3486 where profit-taking began. Currently, the price is trading near the moving averages within the 1.3426-1.3456 range. For long positions, consider support levels 1.3426 or 1.3411, but with confirmation. Longs can also be considered after a breakout of 1.3456. There are no optimal entry points for short positions at this time.

选择场景:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3426
• Res: 1.3456
• Note: Long trades can be considered from 1.3426 or 1.3411, or following a breakout of 1.3456. No optimal entries for sells at this time.

The USD/JPY currency pair

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 158.03
• 前一收盘价: 158.14
• 过去一天的变化%: +0.07 %

On Wednesday, the Japanese yen remained near the 158 per dollar mark, showing relative stability but remaining under pressure after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s proposal to reduce the 8% sales tax on food heightened concerns about the state of public finances. Investors were unsettled by the uncertainty regarding how the government intends to offset the resulting budget revenue losses. Earlier this week, Takaichi announced plans to dissolve parliament on Friday and set snap elections for February 8. Traders also continue to price in the risk of potential currency intervention by Japanese authorities amid fears that a weakening yen could exacerbate domestic inflationary pressures.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 157.89, 157.51, 156.56, 156.26
• 阻力价位: 158.30, 158.59, 158.88

A seller demonstrated presence at the 158.59 resistance level, from which the price declined sharply, forming a new locked balance. The intraday bias is currently with the sellers, so traders should focus on short positions today. For sell deals, it is best to use the 158.30 or 158.59 levels. For take-profits, target 157.89 and 157.51.

选择场景:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 157.89
• Res: 158.88
• Note: Focus on levels 158.30 or 158.59 for sell trades. Target 157.89 and 157.51 for take-profits.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

货币对的技术指标:

• 前一开盘价: 4674
• 前一收盘价: 4762
• 过去一天的变化%: +1.88 %

On Wednesday, gold continued its strong upward momentum, rising above $4,800 per ounce and hitting a new all-time high amid surging demand for safe-haven assets due to escalating tensions over Greenland. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, the US President Donald Trump reaffirmed his determination to acquire the Arctic island. Gold was further supported by a sharp slump in the Japanese government bond market, which heightened investor fears regarding the fiscal stability of the world’s major economies. This stimulated a so-called “trade against currencies and sovereign debt,” as market participants sought to reduce risk and move into hard assets.

交易建议

• 支撑价位: 4787, 4750, 4677
• 阻力价位: 4900, 4950, 5000

As before, at all-time highs, attention is on the option (psychological) levels of 4900, 4950, and 5000. Currently, the price has deviated significantly from the EMA lines, so caution is advised with new long positions. There are no optimal entry points for short positions, as there is no reaction from seller,s and no large sellers are present. It is not recommended to “catch a pullback” during such strong growth.

选择场景:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4787
• Res: 4900
• Note: It is recommended to refrain from trading gold today.