The EUR/USD currency pair
Technical indicators of the currency pair:
- Prev. Open: 1.1517
- Prev. Close: 1.1569
- % chg. over the last day: +0.45%
On Tuesday, the euro strengthened to 1.16 USD, reaching its highest level since November 18. The rally was driven by dollar selling after weaker-than-expected US economic data. September retail sales rose less than projections, while the ADP report indicated an accelerated pace of job losses over the four weeks ending November 8. The Producer Price Index rose by 0.3% m/m, in line with expectations. The combination of weak data and dovish Fed comments boosted expectations of a third rate cut this year in December. In contrast, the ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged until the end of 2026, relying on the resilience of the Eurozone economy.
Trading recommendations
- Support levels: 1.1583, 1.1550, 1.1503
- Resistance levels: 1.1613, 1.1653
The euro surged yesterday, closing above the accumulation zone. Intraday bias is now with buyers, who must hold above 1.1583. Otherwise, the price may sharply correct to 1.1550. Best buy levels: 1.1583 or 1.1550 (with confirmation). Profit target: 1.1613. No optimal sell entries at the moment.
Alternative scenario:- Trend: Up
- Sup: 1.1583
- Res: 1.1613
- Note: Look for buys from 1.1583 or 1.1550, but with confirmation.
News feed for: 2025.11.26
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US Durable Goods Orders (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US GDP (q/q) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US PCE Price index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (HIGH)
- US Chicago PMI (m/m) at 16:45 (GMT+2). – USD (MED)
The GBP/USD currency pair
Technical indicators of the currency pair:
- Prev. Open: 1.3105
- Prev. Close: 1.3164
- % chg. over the last day: +0.45 %
Today, the UK autumn budget will be published, potentially setting the medium-term tone for sterling. The budget outlines tax policy, government spending, and ultimately BoE rate expectations. Scenarios range from moderate fiscal tightening (supporting chances of a December rate cut) to aggressive measures exceeding £25bn, which could weigh on growth and sterling. Traders should expect volatility and watch the budget’s tone: cautious or stimulative policy may pressure the currency in the medium term.
Trading recommendations
- Support levels: 1.3156, 1.3111, 1.3080
- Resistance levels: 1.3214
Sterling, similar to the euro, impulsively broke above accumulation. Price reached resistance at 1.3214, where sellers showed initiative. A new accumulation zone is forming between 1.3156–1.3214. Buys should be considered from 1.3156 with confirmation. For sell deals, watch the price reaction at 1.3214. A break below 1.3156 could trigger a drop to 1.3111.
Alternative scenario:- Trend: Neutral
- Sup: 1.3153
- Res: 1.3214
- Note: Look for buys from 1.3156 with confirmation. A break below may trigger a sell-off to 1.3111.
News feed for: 2025.11.26
- UK Autumn Prognosis Statement at 14:30 (GMT+2); – GBP (HIGH).
The USD/JPY currency pair
Technical indicators of the currency pair:
- Prev. Open: 156.82
- Prev. Close: 156.03
- % chg. over the last day: -0.50 %
The yen strengthened slightly on Wednesday, supported by speculation of possible Japanese government intervention in FX markets. The upcoming US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday will lower liquidity, potentially amplifying intervention effects. Tokyo is prepared to act to offset the negative economic impact of a weak yen.
Trading recommendations
- Support levels: 155.73, 155.00
- Resistance levels: 156.26, 157.11, 157.87
The yen corrected to support at 155.73, where buyers stepped in. Price is now near resistance at 156.26. A breakout above could open the path to 157.11. No optimal sell entries at present.
Alternative scenario:- Trend: Up
- Sup: 155.73
- Res: 156.26
- Note: For buy deals, wait for breakout and consolidation above 156.26.
No news for today
The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)
Technical indicators of the currency pair:
- Prev. Open: 4132
- Prev. Close: 4132
- % chg. over the last day: 0.0%
Gold stabilized around $4,150/oz, holding at its highest levels since mid-November. Prices are supported by weak US data, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. The US retail sales rose just 0.2% in September (vs. 0.6% in August and 0.4% projections). ADP data showed the private sector cut an average of 13,500 jobs per week in the four weeks to November 8. Markets now price in over 80% probability of a 25 bp cut in December.
Trading recommendations
- Support levels: 4148, 4108, 4031, 4007, 3966
- Resistance levels: 4210, 4246, 4379
Gold impulsively broke resistance at 4148. Buyers must hold above to continue the rally. A close below 4148 could trigger a correction to 4108, possibly with a false break lower. Buy deals – consider at 4148, but with confirmation or from the 4108 level on correction. Sell deals – only if the price impulsively closes below 4148.
Alternative scenario:- Trend: Up
- Sup: 4148
- Res: 4210
- Note: For buy deals, consider a support level of 4148 (with confirmation) or 4108 if a correction occurs.
News feed for: 2025.11.26
- US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US Durable Goods Orders (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US GDP (q/q) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
- US PCE Price index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (HIGH)
- US Chicago PMI (m/m) at 16:45 (GMT+2). – USD (MED)
This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.