L'aperçu analytique des principales paires de devises sur 2026.02.12

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indicateurs techniques de la paire de devises:

• Précédent Ouvrir: 1.1893
• Précédent Fermer: 1.1871
• % vari. au cours du dernier jour: -0.18%

The euro has surrendered its morning gains and is trading near $1.185 as the dollar strengthens on the back of robust US employment data. In January, the economy added 130,000 jobs, and unemployment fell to 4.3%, dampening expectations for an imminent Fed rate cut – markets are now pricing in easing only in July, with minimal probability of a move in March. Previously, the euro was supported by signals of the ECB’s calm stance toward its appreciation and news of the potential resignation of François Villeroy de Galhau. Christine Lagarde noted an improvement in inflation outlooks, emphasizing that the regulator will not make decisions based on isolated, volatile data points.

Recommandations de trading

• Niveaux de support: 1.1833, 1.1777, 1.1754, 1.1726
• Niveaux de résistance: 1.1894, 1.1955, 1.2050, 1.3000

The euro dropped to 1.1833 following the NFP publication and entered a flat phase within the 1.1833-1.1894 range. It is crucial for buyers to hold 1.1830: an impulsive consolidation below this level could open the path for a decline toward 1.1777. Selling is advisable near 1.1894, but only upon confirmation of seller initiative.

Scénario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1833
• Res: 1.1894
• Note: Consider buy deals from the 1.1833 support level. For sales, evaluate the price reaction at 1.1894.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indicateurs techniques de la paire de devises:

• Précédent Ouvrir: 1.3649
• Précédent Fermer: 1.3627
• % vari. au cours du dernier jour: -0.16 %

The British pound pulled back to $1.365 amid dollar strengthening following strong US labor market statistics: January employment rose by 130,000, and unemployment decreased to 4.3%. Markets have revised Fed rate expectations, now fully pricing in a cut only in July. Domestically, the pound was supported by easing political tension surrounding Keir Starmer, though expectations of further Bank of England easing are capping growth. The regulator maintained the rate at 3.75%, signaling that inflation could return to the 2% target as early as April.

Recommandations de trading

• Niveaux de support: 1.3614, 1.3547, 1.3514
• Niveaux de résistance: 1.3675, 1.3697, 1.3732, 1.3787, 1.3871, 1.4000

The British pound is testing the 1.3614 support for the third time, with buyer reaction weakening with each approach. This increases the risk of an impulsive breakout: consolidating below this level could trigger a decline to 1.3547. If buyers manage to hold 1.3614 and a reversal is confirmed, intraday buys can be considered with a target near 1.3675.

Scénario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3614
• Res: 1.3675
• Note: Intraday, it is appropriate to look for buys from the 1.3614 support level, but only with confirmation. An impulsive break of 1.3614 will lead to a sell-off down to 1.3547.

 

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indicateurs techniques de la paire de devises:

• Précédent Ouvrir: 154.22
• Précédent Fermer: 153.23
• % vari. au cours du dernier jour: -0.64 %

On Thursday, the yen strengthened beyond 153 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth consecutive session amid fresh verbal interventions from Tokyo and expectations that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s fiscal policy will support domestic demand. Authorities stated their readiness to respond to exchange rate fluctuations, especially following the strong US labor data. Since the start of the week, the yen has gained nearly 3% following Takaichi’s election victory. Investors expect her stimulus program to bolster economic growth and create conditions for further Bank of Japan rate hikes.

Recommandations de trading

• Niveaux de support: 152.17, 152.17, 151.54
• Niveaux de résistance: 153.83, 154.58, 155.19

The yen continues to strengthen despite the rising dollar, confirming the resilience of the USD/JPY downward movement. There is a high probability the price will test liquidity below 152.17; therefore, the intraday priority remains on selling. The optimal zone for shorting is the 153.83 resistance. There are currently no suitable entry points for buying.

Scénario alternatif:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 152.17
• Res: 153.83
• Note: Looking for sell deals from the 153.83 level, but with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for longs.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indicateurs techniques de la paire de devises:

• Précédent Ouvrir: 5027
• Précédent Fermer: 5082
• % vari. au cours du dernier jour: +1.09 %

On Thursday, gold declined toward $5,050 per ounce, paring some of the previous session’s gains as US monetary policy expectations were reassessed. Strong January employment data, the largest job growth in a year, and an unexpected drop in unemployment, confirmed labor market resilience in early 2026 and reinforced the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance. Consequently, markets shifted expectations for the first rate cut from June to July. Investor focus now turns to Friday’s CPI data, which may provide further signals on the Fed’s next steps. Despite the pullback, gold remains above the psychological $5,000 level, recovering about half of the sharp 13% drop seen earlier this month. Prices continue to find support from steady central bank demand and ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Recommandations de trading

• Niveaux de support: 4968, 4745, 4605, 4400
• Niveaux de résistance: 5086, 5145, 5230

Gold attempted to consolidate above 5086, but the breakout proved false; price returned below the level and continues to form a flat structure within 4968-5086. In this scenario, intraday sales can be considered from 5086, but only with confirmation (weak buyer reaction, reversal structure formation, increased volume on the pullback, etc.). As long as the price holds below this level, it acts as range resistance. A buying scenario will only become relevant in the event of a confident consolidation above 5145, which would open potential movement toward 5313. However, such an impulse would require a trigger – strong macro data or heightened geopolitical tension. Until a catalyst appears, the base case is trading within the range with a focus on current flat boundaries.

Scénario alternatif:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4968
• Res: 5086
• Note: Consider selling from the 5086 resistance level, but with confirmation. For buys, an impulsive move above 5145 is required.