Gambaran Analisis untuk Pasangan Mata Wang Utama pada 2025.11.28

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 1.1589
• Ditutup Sebelum: 1.1594
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: +0.04%

According to the ECB meeting minutes from October 29-30, most Governing Council members considered it appropriate to keep interest rates unchanged amid heightened uncertainty. Some even noted that further monetary easing may not be necessary. Policymakers concluded that the current stance is “in good shape,” supported by the resilience of the eurozone economy and inflation gradually approaching the target.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 1.1583, 1.1550, 1.1503
• Tahap rintangan: 1.1613, 1.1653

The situation has remained virtually unchanged since yesterday. The euro is forming a flat accumulation with boundaries of 1.1583-1.1613. For buy deals, it is best to use 1.1583, but with confirmation. There are currently no optimal entry points for sales, but a breakout and consolidation of the price below 1.1583 could trigger a decline to 1.1550.

Senario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.1587
• Res: 1.1613
• Note: Look for buys from 1.1587 with confirmation. A break below may trigger a drop to 1.1550.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 1.3235
• Ditutup Sebelum: 1.3237
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: +0.02 %

Despite the OBR’s downgrade of the UK’s 2025 growth expectations, the budget was generally well-received by markets. Many experts believe weak growth prospects will eventually weigh on GBP, while sterling’s current strength is largely driven by US dollar weakness amid expectations of a Fed rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 1.3213, 1.3156, 1.3111, 1.3080
• Tahap rintangan: 1.3256

Technically, the British pound is in a bullish medium-term trend and on Wednesday reached the resistance level of 1.3256, where previously opened purchases began to be fixed. The price is now forming a flat accumulation with boundaries of 1.3213-1.3256. For buy deals, we are waiting for a bullish initiative from 1.3213. A breakout and consolidation of the price below 1.3213 will cause a decline to 1.3156.

Senario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 1.3113
• Res: 1.3256
• Note: Look for buys from 1.3213 with confirmation. A break below may trigger a drop to 1.3156.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 156.43
• Ditutup Sebelum: 156.26
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: -0.10 %

On Friday, the yen held near 156.3 per USD, ending the week almost flat, supported by strong macro data. October industrial production and retail sales exceeded expectations, unemployment remained stable, and Tokyo core inflation came in above prognoses. This strengthened expectations that the BoJ may begin raising rates in the coming months. Meanwhile, Japan’s Cabinet approved a new stimulus package worth ¥21.3 trillion, with at least ¥11.5 trillion to be financed through additional bond issuance.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 155.73, 155.00
• Tahap rintangan: 156.26, 157.11, 157.87

Technically, price is consolidating in a narrowing triangle. Liquidity is tightening, signaling an impending breakout. For buys, wait for an impulsive breakout above the triangle. If no breakout occurs, price may continue trading within the triangle until week’s end. No optimal sell entries at present.

Senario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 155.73
• Res: 157.11
• Note: Look for buys after an impulsive breakout from the narrowing triangle.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 4164
• Ditutup Sebelum: 4159
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: +0.12%

On Friday, gold rose to $4,190/oz, nearing a five‑week high. The main driver was growing investor confidence in a December Fed rate cut. Additional support came from reports that Kevin Hassett, considered the leading candidate to replace Jerome Powell, aligns with President Trump’s preference for lower rates. The probability of a 25 bp Fed cut in December now exceeds 80%, compared to about 30% a week ago. Markets also see the chance of three more cuts by the end of 2026.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 4167, 4145, 4108, 4031, 4007, 3966
• Tahap rintangan: 4210, 4246, 4379

On Friday’s Asian session, the price impulsively broke above 4167, opening the path to 4210. Buys can be considered from EMA lines or the broken 4167 level, but with confirmation from a buyer reaction. No optimal sell entries at present.

Senario alternatif:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 4145
• Res: 4210
• Note: For buy deals, consider 4167 or EMA lines with confirmation. Profit target: 4210.