Ana Döviz Çiftlerine Analitik Bakış 2026.03.26

The EUR/USD currency pair

Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:

• Öncekini Aç: 1.1612
• Öncekini Kapat: 1.1560
• Son güne göre % değişim: -0.45%

The euro stabilized around 1.1580 dollars. ECB rhetoric remains cautious: Christine Lagarde confirmed readiness to act “at any meeting,” but the market has already begun to revise expectations toward easing. Whereas investors previously expected three rate hikes by the end of 2026, the current decline in energy prices has forced them to limit expectations to just two hikes. This reassessment reflects the market’s belief that US diplomatic pressure on Iran will ultimately prevent the worst‑case scenario of a “stagflationary winter” for the Eurozone.

İşlem önerileri

• Destek seviyeleri: 1.1546, 1.1522, 1.1490
• Direnç seviyeleri: 1.1575, 1.1639, 1.1666, 1.1707

The European currency consolidated below 1.1575, increasing the likelihood of further decline toward 1.1546 or even 1.1522. Under such market conditions, sell trades may be considered intraday from 1.1575 or from EMA lines, but with confirmation. For buying, it is important to see a return of the price above 1.1575, which will open space for growth toward 1.1630 and higher.

Alternatif senaryo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1546
• Res: 1.1575
• Note: Sell trades may be considered intraday from 1.1575 or from EMA lines, but with confirmation. For buying, it is important to see a return of the price above 1.1575.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:

• Öncekini Aç: 1.3413
• Öncekini Kapat: 1.3368
• Son güne göre % değişim: -0.34%

The British pound stabilized at 1.34 dollars, ignoring February inflation data and focusing entirely on the geopolitical agenda. Although the UK core CPI rose to 3.2%, slightly above predictions, investors considered these figures outdated, as they do not reflect the shocks from the later‑developing Middle East conflict. Investors believe that de‑escalation in the Persian Gulf will allow the Bank of England to avoid aggressive tightening, keeping the pound in a narrow range while awaiting real steps toward a ceasefire.

İşlem önerileri

• Destek seviyeleri: 1.3331, 1.3300
• Direnç seviyeleri: 1.3378, 1.3457, 1.3508, 1.3556

Technically, sellers are beginning to dominate intraday: the price consolidated below 1.3378, and there is a high probability of further decline toward 1.3331 or even 1.3300. For growth to resume, the price must consolidate again above 1.3378; while it remains below this level, intraday setups favor selling.

Alternatif senaryo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.3331
• Res: 1.3378
• Note: Sell trades may be considered intraday from 1.3378 or from EMA lines, but with confirmation. For buying, it is important to see a return of the price above 1.3378.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:

• Öncekini Aç: 158.66
• Öncekini Kapat: 159.41
• Son güne göre % değişim: +0.47%

The Japanese yen weakened to 159.5 per dollar, losing ground for the third consecutive day. The decline was caused by a stronger dollar amid a diplomatic deadlock: Iran officially rejected the American “15‑point plan” and issued a counter‑ultimatum with five demands. These include recognition of Tehran’s full sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz and payment of war reparations – conditions Washington has already called unacceptable. Against this backdrop, global oil prices resumed rising, increasing inflationary pressure on Japan’s economy, which depends on imports for 90% of its raw materials from the conflict zone. Nevertheless, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s government is taking emergency steps to stabilize the situation. This Thursday, Japan began the largest oil release from state reserves in its history (around 80 million barrels) in coordination with the IEA.

İşlem önerileri

• Destek seviyeleri: 159.03, 158.26, 157.87, 157.32
• Direnç seviyeleri: 159.62, 160.21

The Japanese yen consolidated above 159.03 and continues to weaken against the dollar. The price is near levels of previous interventions, so caution is needed with long positions above 159. For selling, evaluate the price reaction at the resistance level of 159.62. There are currently no optimal entry points for buying.

Alternatif senaryo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 159.03
• Res: 159.62
• Note: For selling, evaluate price reaction at 159.62. There are currently no optimal buying opportunities.

 

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Döviz çiftinin teknik göstergeleri:

• Öncekini Aç: 4480
• Öncekini Kapat: 4505
• Son güne göre % değişim: +0.55%

Gold stabilized around 4,500 dollars per ounce, failing to extend the growth of the last two sessions due to the diplomatic stalemate. Iran officially rejected the possibility of direct negotiations and issued a counter‑ultimatum. Markets are alarmed not only by Iran’s militant rhetoric demanding sovereign control over the strategic waterway, but also by Washington’s order to deploy additional forces of the 82nd Airborne Division, which heightened fears of a possible ground invasion. In March, gold already experienced a 25% correction from its peaks, as investors began to view the energy shock primarily as an inflationary threat, raising government‑bond yields and the cost of holding a non‑yielding metal.

İşlem önerileri

• Destek seviyeleri: 4442, 4169, 4027
• Direnç seviyeleri: 4600, 4732

Gold has fallen to the support level of 4442, where price action must be evaluated. Buyers must avoid allowing the price to consolidate below the root of the upward impulse; otherwise, the price may sharply fall again to 4300 or lower. On the other hand, if buyers show initiative at 4442, the price may resume growth toward 4600.

Alternatif senaryo:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 4442
• Res: 4600
• Note: Intraday, look for buys from 4442, but with mandatory confirmation. If sellers show initiative and the price consolidates below 4440, the downtrend may resume with new strength.