مین کرنسی پیئرز کا تجزیاتی جائزہ بمطابق 2025.08.28

The EUR/USD currency pair

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 1.1641
• سابقہ کلوز: 1.1638
• آخری دن میں % chg.: -0.03 %

The EUR/USD pair hit a three-week low on Wednesday. The euro came under pressure on Wednesday after Germany’s September GfK Consumer Confidence Index unexpectedly fell to a five-month low. In addition, political turmoil in France is weighing on the euro, as French Prime Minister Bayrou has called for a confidence vote that could bring down his government as early as next month. On the geopolitical front, diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine remain unsuccessful.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 1.1611, 1.1589, 1.1528, 1.1485, 1.1375, 1.1313
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 1.1659, 1.1687, 1.1737, 1.1770

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bullish. Yesterday, sellers pushed the price to the priority change level of 1.1589, but buyers responded with another impulsive initiative. Below the support level of 1.1611, a “locked” balance has formed, which can be used as a basis for opening buy trades. Intraday, the price may fall to 1.1611. Sellers may also react to the resistance level of 1.1658.

متبادل حالات:

if the price breaks the support level of 1.1590 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 1.3476
• سابقہ کلوز: 1.3498
• آخری دن میں % chg.: +0.16 %

The UK Retail Sales Index, calculated by the Confederation of British Industry, rose slightly to negative 32 in August 2025 from negative 34 in July, beating market expectations of negative 33. The latest data shows that retail sales have been declining for the 11th consecutive month. The expectations for September improved to negative 16. According to the CBI, weak demand and rising labor costs are squeezing margins, undermining confidence, and forcing companies to cut hiring and investment. Retailers are also under pressure from the employment tax increase set by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves and the sharp rise in the minimum wage.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 1.3490, 1.3445, 1.3396, 1.3313, 1.3214, 1.3137
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 1.3530, 1.3586

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the currency pair GBP/USD is bullish. Today, the focus is on the broken level of 1.3490. If buyers react here, consider buying up to 1.3530. If the price impulsively falls below 1.3490, we expect a sell-off to the support level of 1.3445, which is also the border of the “locked” balance after the liquidity grab.

متبادل حالات:

if the price breaks through the support level of 1.3396 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 147.35
• سابقہ کلوز: 147.37
• آخری دن میں % chg.: +0.02 %

The Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates if its expectations for economic activity and prices proves accurate, said board member Junko Nakagawa in her speech. She stressed the importance of the upcoming September Tankan survey, which will help assess the impact of global trade negotiations. Nakagawa noted that “there remains considerable uncertainty about the future course of trade policy and its impact,” warning that this could weaken sentiment among businesses and households both in Japan and abroad. Although Japan’s economy is recovering at a moderate pace, some areas remain weak.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 147.00, 146.75, 146.35
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 147.94, 148.03, 148.52, 149.18, 150.34

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY is bearish. The Japanese yen continues to trade in a wide range flat with boundaries of 147.00–147.94. Yesterday, the price attempted to consolidate above 147.94, but after testing liquidity, the price impulsively returned to balance. Currently, the price is testing the lower border of the range at 147.00, where buy trades can be considered if buyers react. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below 147.00 will open the way for the price to the support level of 146.75.

متبادل حالات:

if the price breaks through the resistance level of 148.53 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 3389
• سابقہ کلوز: 3396
• آخری دن میں % chg.: +0.20 %

Gold is trading at $3380 per ounce, but is close to a two-week high as investors await new signals from policymakers ahead of Friday’s PCE Price Index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Political and institutional uncertainty in relations between the US administration and the Federal Reserve continues to support the metal. President Trump recently decided to fire Fed Chair Lisa Cook, but her lawyer has vowed to challenge the decision in court, setting the stage for litigation. Traders have also raised their bets on Fed policy easing: the probability of a 25 bp rate cut in September is estimated by the markets at 89%, compared to 82% a week earlier. New York Fed President John Williams said the issue of a rate cut is under consideration, echoing Chairman Powell’s comments in Jackson Hole. Meanwhile, demand in Asia remained strong: net gold imports to China via Hong Kong in July rose 126.8% compared to June, more than double the previous month.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 3383, 3374, 3362, 3350, 3327, 3311, 3281
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 3402, 3433

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bullish. The situation with gold has not changed significantly. Currently, the price is heading towards the resistance level of 3402. Given the MACD divergence, a corrective movement may begin here. Buy deals in continuation of the trend should be considered from 3383. For sales, 3402 can be considered, but only if there is initiative on the part of sellers.

متبادل حالات:

if the price breaks the support level of 3281 and consolidates below it, the downtrend will likely resume.